Fish, I dont have exacly what you are looking for. There are few teaser options out there in hoops that are positive expectations, you know that better than anyone on this board. Still many teasers get played and I see this game as a game likely to be about right to the Vegas line.
tease it down to 1 1/2 points, one point wins are rare
Just in case Iowa plays its heart out and loses.
Iowa is a horrible home team covering the number (always have been) so I dont think them covering the number by essestionaly 9 points is possible.
But home dogs this time of year (as discussed) often play well as the other team is not in focus (this is not that huge of a game for Illinois other than against it hated rival from the Deon Thomas era)
I think on power numbers and home court Illinois is -4 1/2 but the new Iowa power number figured totally in games without that player would have it -8.
I just think Vegas has this one pretty close to the likely outcome Ill by 9.
arty:
