Damn, I love quite a few of these plays, I hope I don't jinx your games, lol!
Does anybody remember how line movement went for these picks last year? Just trying to see if there are any trends to get some additional line value...
I would tend to think that since the idea is pretty much based on fading the public opinion and laying teams that are a large public consensus, on most of this games it should be better to place your bets closer to kickoff because public perception and their bets would just move these lines a bit further towards the public side?
I get it that other circumstances like suspensions, injuries and ineligible players might push the line into the wrong direction, but maybe somebody remembers from years past if there were any such trends...
I would tend to think that since the idea is pretty much based on fading the public opinion and laying teams that are a large public consensus, on most of this games it should be better to place your bets closer to kickoff because public perception and their bets would just move these lines a bit further towards the public side?
I get it that other circumstances like suspensions, injuries and ineligible players might push the line into the wrong direction, but maybe somebody remembers from years past if there were any such trends...
According to Aces and Faces, the last three bowl seasons have yielded 10-2 ATS, 7-5 ATS, and 8-3 ATS respectively. I believe it's best to subtract "emotion" as much as possible from the process and just follow the procedure as enumerated. That's what I plan to do. No one can argue with the success of this "system." It's all documented.
Let's all prosper from this! Good luck to everyone! :toast:
yep, i read the records...followed along before. I expect him to have another great year. Some of the picks I think are the wrong side (e.g Duke, Toledo)....and hence are probably the right sideThis is often a very good time of the year to fade the public on these plays....
Duke and Toledo wins SU
