I'm not just saying this because they're 0-2, I thought this when the offseason was pretty much over. I think they had a terrible offseason to get rid of Caruso, KCP, Schroder and bring in Russ and old guys that are all 8th men at best. Their 3-12 right now is significantly worse than it was the last 2 years to me, they won't play a truly meaningful game in 5-6 months so maybe they can flip Horton-Tucker or he can emerge or they can get a buyout market guy or two but right now they lack the requisite 3+D guys you want around LeBron/AD.
I get why they got Russ, get a 3rd guy and figure the rest out later but he's just too diminished/poor fit imo. I think it is questionable if he is even better than Schroder for them.
But I'd probably have them closer to +300 to +350 to win the West rather than +190.
And I thought healthy they would win it the last 2 years.
I was disappointed they let go of Caruso, but not as much about KCP and Schroeder. Schroeder was a horrible fit, and KCP too often put up blanks offensively (though it's not like Caruso was a gem offensively either).
Westbrook is still a much better player than Schroeder. I don't think Westbrook is an ideal fit, but I think he can be valuable if used right. I think he could be a tremendous sixth man. Westbrook tends to play better in the second half of the season historically, last season not being an exception. He can still bring value to a contender, if used right. He'll never be the best fit for them, but it's absolutely an upgrade over Schroeder.
I don't know if I agree with the 3-12 analysis. Westbrook is the best third player they've had in LeBron's stretch in LA. I think guys like Nunn and Monk could be pretty good fits. It would have been nice if they kept a Caruso and had someone like Buddy Hield to help with floor spacing I also think that 3-12 last year was just pretty bad.
I think the right price for them winning the West is more around +240 or +250. We have to consider the rest of the conference when judging that obviously; the rest of the West, while I would say is pretty deep with
solid teams, is not nearly as strong at the top as it used to be. All the contenders have question marks:
-Suns could be susceptible to a hangover from the previous year, and just genuinely don't have that much upside. They're a good team, but their trip to the Finals was largely due to lucky circumstance. All 3 rounds in the West involved injuries to key players for the opposition. I mean, they got pushed to 6 by the Kawhi-less Clippers for fuck's sake.
-Jazz have proven year after year they don't belong in the championship hunt. Gobert doesn't bring enough offesnively, and relying on Clarkson to be your second offensive option isn't conducive to playoff success (unless your 2018 LeBron James)
-Clippers w/o Kawhi for much of the year
-Nuggets w/o Murray, too reliant on Jokic
-Uncertainty with how Klay will be for the Warriors