I had the over for the 2nd Half. I didn't see the game until 2:57 left and both teams had scored 17 each in the 4th and 11 point game at that point.
I am not a big conspiracy theory guy, but for me to win a game that had no business going over is unreal. 29 points in the final 3 minutes and Denver not killing as much clock as possible.
The other thing that struck me as odd, is that last night Houston played defense straight up until about :30 down 6, but all of a sudden Utah starts fouling down 8.
Someone please explain to me how they score 34 points in 9:03, but score 29 points in 2:23, Denver killed final :34 with a offensive rebound and running the clock out.
Seriously 29 points in 2:23?
I won, but man I don't know what to think about future games.
I am not a big conspiracy theory guy, but for me to win a game that had no business going over is unreal. 29 points in the final 3 minutes and Denver not killing as much clock as possible.
The other thing that struck me as odd, is that last night Houston played defense straight up until about :30 down 6, but all of a sudden Utah starts fouling down 8.
Someone please explain to me how they score 34 points in 9:03, but score 29 points in 2:23, Denver killed final :34 with a offensive rebound and running the clock out.
Seriously 29 points in 2:23?
I won, but man I don't know what to think about future games.
This game had fix written all over it!! Did you notice everytime D Will or anyone else took it to the rim in the last 3 mins that they called every little ticky tack foul that they could?? So Utah shoots 36% and Denver 46% but yet the game goes over because of 86 FT attempts?!?!!? 
Wow....This is almost as bad as the Sac/LA playoff game that Donaghy did. Don't tell me JR Smith had anything to do with this over either because he only had his run in the 1st Half and this game was well on its way to being under after that. Only in the NBA...^<<^
Wow....This is almost as bad as the Sac/LA playoff game that Donaghy did. Don't tell me JR Smith had anything to do with this over either because he only had his run in the 1st Half and this game was well on its way to being under after that. Only in the NBA...^<<^I had the OVER and was thinking conspiracy 2 thirds of the way
into the 4th qtr. Utah had taken about 100 shots and had 20 offensive rebounds, how the fuck can they not have at least 150 points by themselves. This fucking thing is fixed! Somebody paid off the Jazz to miss tip ins left and right. When was the last time you saw so many freaking tip ins missed ???Jesus!!!
Then a freethrowathon broke out, the OVER bettors greatest friend and an UNDER bettors curse. The game goes easily goes OVER. I'm left with a winning ticket and a smile, the losers are left with a frown and a conspiracy theory.
Losing tickets and conspiracy theories go together like winning tickets and smiles. There is a definite cause and effect going on there.@)
If this game would have been UNDER I would have had overwhelming evidence of a conspiracy being perpetrated against the OVER, plenty of evidence.
As it stands, what conspiracy? This was an easy OVER, anyone with half a brain could see that, I'm a freaking genius.
into the 4th qtr. Utah had taken about 100 shots and had 20 offensive rebounds, how the fuck can they not have at least 150 points by themselves. This fucking thing is fixed! Somebody paid off the Jazz to miss tip ins left and right. When was the last time you saw so many freaking tip ins missed ???Jesus!!!
Then a freethrowathon broke out, the OVER bettors greatest friend and an UNDER bettors curse. The game goes easily goes OVER. I'm left with a winning ticket and a smile, the losers are left with a frown and a conspiracy theory.
Losing tickets and conspiracy theories go together like winning tickets and smiles. There is a definite cause and effect going on there.@)
If this game would have been UNDER I would have had overwhelming evidence of a conspiracy being perpetrated against the OVER, plenty of evidence.
As it stands, what conspiracy? This was an easy OVER, anyone with half a brain could see that, I'm a freaking genius.
For the sake of learning, I totally disagree. The right side was the OVER. 2 defenseless teams with better than average offenses screams OVER. It played out that way, Utah had 93 shots but hit on only 36% of them, they had 20 offensive boards, the pace was back and forth AND there were 86 free throws attempted between the 2 teams! Both teams attempt more freethrows per game than average. Freethrows mean free shots at the basket with no clock moving, that is the main reason these 2 have played more OVER games than UNDERS. If the line would have been 215, like I thought it should be I would have passed on this game. At 218 and I would have looked the UNDER, but at 208/209 it was a natural OVER bet. I can't see a logical argument for the UNDER, but hey that's what gambling is all about; opinions.
Respectfully, Occam (<)<
The Nuggets are actually a severely underrated defensive team this season and while I respectfully disagree with your thoughts, no over bettors from last night should be proud of their win.
Once again, this game had no business going over and the under was the right side without a doubt in my mind.
Anyone putting their hard earned money on GS, PHX, DEN, or LAC unders especially at home are insane. There is no "right side" when teams don't play defense. You spend 2 hours praying a 2 minute lull during 48 minutes of run and gun.
Play the overs and lean on 55%+ hit rate if you play them at all.
Play the overs and lean on 55%+ hit rate if you play them at all.
Based on what? Obviously not data. The line was clearly set by DEN home PA vs. PF numbers (207) with a line move as bettors pounded the over which hits at 55.3%.
DEN is fighting to hold onto their seed and get home court in the first round or two. They were going to come out firing.
The over was a safer bet based on the factors.
Both are middle of the pack when it comes to OV/UN.
193, 205 and 198 are the scores when they've played each other this eason. Lakers don't have a top Defense. Offense is top 10.
Houston exactly the opposite, top D, no top offense. Everything cancels out.
You don't have 2 defenseless teams which usually indicates an OVER and you dont have 2 top defenses that usually point to the UNDER. The number, 196 is right. No value. A big gamble no matter which way you go. Flip a coin, there's better bets out there. GL
