How to win at nfl, +EV Teasers - {teaser selections 58/70 for 82.8% }

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Hi AKillies - we did not get burned hedging - u and I know we both intended to hedge if we were able to with Miami - it was part of our strategy - It is very difficult to hedge during live wagering as psychologically most people will constantly change there mind on whether to hedge or not - it is similar to day trading the stock market most people lose because psychologically they will buy and sell at the wrong time

GL ALL

OddsHunter
 

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going to make these now as i dont think the lines will move, but why take a chance. I know the jets qualify and i dont like them at all. I will be on sd big in some form.
wheel these in 3team 6pt teasers all 1 to win 1.8
Was 8.5
TB 7.5
Dnvr 7.5
KC 10.5
 

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Hi AKillies - good week last week - I played a 2 team 6 pt. teaser wash + 8 1/2 Den + 7 1/2

GL

OddsHunter
 

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I don't like KC in your teaser. Oakland could blow them out whether Palmer plays or not. That's the only one I'd be wary of.
 

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good numbers dont help, as carolina left the backdoor open and washington not able to take advantage. One losing team makes this a losing day. -1.2 for the day.
 

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week 7 results -

teasers 1w - 3l for a total loss of 1.2
ytd +14.2 units
so far winners on 26 of 31 teams picked or 83.9%
 

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loads of qualifiers this week
N O -8
nyj +2.5
Mi. +4.5
Oak -7.5
N E -9
Phi -7.5
personally I dont trust oak or the pats and will NOT be playing them.
round robin the other 4 qualifiers in 3team 6pt teasers all 1% to win 1.8%
 

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so you would play these this weekend?

No no no
Jets jets miami
Miami philly philly

Jets
Miami
philly

is this correct? or is there more?
 

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N O -8
nyj +2.5
Mi. +4.5
Oak -7.5
N E -9
Phi -7.5

i thought the range was 1.5-2.5 & 7.5-8.5?

How is NE and Miami in your group?

Thanks.
 

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If you need more action, or unable to find +4.5 on Miami or n. Orleans -8. here are others teams to consider, in order of preference:
cin +3 [at least +2]
st. Louis +3 [at least +2]
san diego +5.5
atl -6.5 [not -7]
 

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N O -8
nyj +2.5
Mi. +4.5
Oak -7.5
N E -9
Phi -7.5

i thought the range was 1.5-2.5 & 7.5-8.5?

How is NE and Miami in your group?

Thanks.
in order to win with teasers you have to make adjustments to basic strategy. this is due to the books trying to combat this system and changes in the game itself creating different results for specific subsets of basic strategy. i covered this in the beginning of the thread. basically home favs of 7-9 and road dogs of 4-6.5 are very profitable situations.
 

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raiders and pats both lose outright, sometimes its all about who you dont play. those two ruined a bunch of teasers.
my selections go 7 -0....
big chance for a middle or layoff on mnf.
 

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