How To Bet Preseason Nfl

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EX BOOKIE
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The current preseason formula (for teams playing the common four exhibitions) goes something like this.

Game One--Starters go a couple of series or about one quarter; top backups into the second half; then mostly reserves, rookies and free agents the rest of the way.

Game Two--Starters go most or all of the first half; backups deep into the third (or early fourth) quarter; reserves the rest of the way.

Game Three--This is usually a team's main dress rehearsal for opening day. Starters play one-half to three-quarters of the game, backups most of the rest of the way; reserves see action depending mostly on the situation.

Game Four--This is often a "throwaway" game for coaches, who are usually much more concerned about their opening-day opponent than they are about this practice finale. Starters often play only a couple of series or so; maybe less; some maybe not at all. Any key players with nagging injuries will be held out. Backups and reserves play the majority of the game, with promising youngsters getting one final chance to win a spot on the roster.

THE BIGGEST EDGE OF ALL. The biggest edge is, of course, when one team is going to employ vastly superior talent that day, in that game than is its preseason opponent. This situation can occur due to injuries, scheduling dynamics, or when one coach's determination for his team to emerge victorious is matched vs. another coach's semi-indifference. It rarely hurts to have the better-focused, superior players going for you in any contest, practice or not.

TOTALS. Many handicappers like to play the "under" in early preseason games, figuring that the use of numerous quarterbacks, so-called "vanilla" offenses, and semi-predictable defenses will tend to produce low-scoring games. In 2003 that line of thinking was right, but not by much, as there were 8 "overs" and 9 "unders" in the first full week of the preseason plus the previous week's Hall-of-Fame game. However, during the last 9 preseasons, "overs" in the first one-plus weeks of the campaign lead the "unders" 87-78.

FOR ME....I WILL BET A FEW IN THE 1ST 3 WEEKS FOR THE ACTION,THE 4TH WEEK WILL BE THE WEEK TO KNOW WHAT GOING TO HAPPEN IN THE 1ST WEEK(THE GAMES THAT COUNT)....AFTER WEEK 2, I HOPE TO HAVE"MY LINE" KICK IN....THAT WHEN THE FUN STARTS
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Pump n Dump
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Good article Ace-Ace. Does the site you found it have anymore useful Pre-Season info? Do you plan on betting the Pre-Season?

Best of luck to you.
 

EX BOOKIE
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LEYKIS101 said:
Good article Ace-Ace. Does the site you found it have anymore useful Pre-Season info? Do you plan on betting the Pre-Season?

Best of luck to you.

OVER THE YEARS,I HAVE MADE A LOT OF FOOT NOTES..I HAVE PUT THEM IN BOOK FORM....ONES I LIVE BY

ONLY SMALL BETS FOR ME DURING PRESEASON
 

EX BOOKIE
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ONE MORE THAT I LIKE FOR WEEK 3 OF THE PERSEASON

0-2 TEAMS. Coaches, by and large, are a worrisome breed and tend to get very antsy when their team starts the preseason with two straight losses, even though they know the games don't count. The spread in their next game (when not facing similar winless opponents). Over the last seven years, 0-2 teams are 30-21 vs. the spread; over the last 19 years, a solid 59 per cent.
 

RX 25 to life
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ace ace it has been a long off season hope you pick up were you left off i followed some of your bb plays and your kick ball lock lol looking foward to your plays this year. thanks again tbird
 

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why botherwith pre-season. Its bad enough when a pro screws up and costs bettors money. why have a bet on and be dependant on some kid who will be back on a sandlot next week. 16 games + playoffs + college is betting exhibition really smart money management? its like betting baseball in sept between two teams who are out o it and are pitching rookie pitches. why bother. ace-ace looking forward to a good seaso you made last year fun. thanks heart 222
 

Professional At All Times
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heart222:

Believe it or not, NFL Preseason can provide a number of solid opportunities when you are provided with enough information about a particular match-up regarding player rotations, coaches decision on planned playing time for various units, and overall game approach. When you find a mismatch in approach and a soft line, making a play is both reasonable and can be profitable. Best of luck this football season.
 

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I always look for new coaches that don't have a lot of HC experience. They usually want to prove something and want to get the fans energized early.

Crennel and Nolan might not fall into this category because they have been around the NFL for so long and can see the bigger picture. Im going to watch Saban closely.
 

Rx. Senior
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I will just jump in here before Panther starts the gibberish.

Good to hear from you TED, hope alls well. Have to laugh at the trend you have set here, many moons ago for good reasons, you posted that you were going. Now it seems daily, for no reason at all, posters are playing the same card. Who says us old boys are gone at the game.:103631605

Anyways, first thing first. Gamblings a cruel game that will hit the majority of punters. So when you bet on the pre-season, the majority of you are going to lose, and when you do, you are going to rail at why you got involved with something that nobody else cares about, lovely start to the season.

My own personal opinion is Pre-season football, like the regular, is now a different animal. Depth charts on Teams are so thin nowadays that coaches have had to re-evaluate their build-up to the season. Gone are the old tricks like, he wants to win, he wants to lose, he will try this, he will try that. The main goal is getting to week 1 all intact, and only an Idiot would think differently.

So, where years ago there was advantages, its only fools gold today, keep your powder dry. On a side note, I cant believe how nonchalent posters are getting thinking they have the upper edge on the books. I will say that all the geezers in London that I know in bookmaking are completely on top of their game, far superior to us( well you not me) with their odds and having a jolly good old time, not like some of those carib off-shore jokers:drink:
 

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I have to disagree with all you guys that say betting the NFLX is a crap shoot. I have made a science out of it using many of the tools set forth in Ace's post. It's just a matter of knowing how to use them. I haven't shown a loss in the exh season in the last 5 years. I shoot for a profit of 20 units for the season. Last year, the first year I started posting, I was +13 units. To me it's easy because the lines are way off and are not as sharp as the regular season.

I will be posting my plays every week and if you want to win money this season piggyback me for the 4 weeks. After that I stop posting plays and piggyback the better cappers.
ESQAJM
 

Oh boy!
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Thanks for posting the info Ace. I look forward to reading your posts this fall.

Let's make some real money!
 

Pump n Dump
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ESQAJM,

I look forward to seeing your preseason posts then. Five straight profitable years is very impressive. <SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2050429", true); </SCRIPT>
 

EX BOOKIE
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winbet said:
Anyways, first thing first. Gamblings a cruel game that will hit the majority of punters. So when you bet on the pre-season, the majority of you are going to lose, and when you do, you are going to rail at why you got involved with something that nobody else cares about, lovely start to the season.

My own personal opinion is Pre-season football, like the regular, is now a different animal./QUOTE]

THERE'S RARELY A FAST TRACK TO SUCCESS.....BUT ACHIEVING ANY GOAL STARTS WITH A WILLINGNESS TO STEP OFF THE SIDELINES AND STEP ON THE GAS....
IF YOU CAN FIND A EDGE....BET SMALL...(FOR ACTION)....DONT TRY TO PUT THE GAS TO THE FLOOR UNTILL WEEK 1.....
 

Rx. Senior
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ACE,

You are correct, a little action hurt nobody and no finer people to follow than you and ESQAJM, he squeezed the Books nuts before they had time to settle in. Best of luck to all.:103631605
 

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info starting to come in.

Like 2004, Curtis Martin will have a sizable role in New York's pre-season games.
He carried the ball nearly 30 times last year, his most in years. The best year of his career followed, so the Jets will stick to the same formula
 

in your heart, you know i'm right
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ESQAJM said:
I have to disagree with all you guys that say betting the NFLX is a crap shoot. I have made a science out of it using many of the tools set forth in Ace's post. It's just a matter of knowing how to use them. I haven't shown a loss in the exh season in the last 5 years. I shoot for a profit of 20 units for the season. Last year, the first year I started posting, I was +13 units. To me it's easy because the lines are way off and are not as sharp as the regular season.

I will be posting my plays every week and if you want to win money this season piggyback me for the 4 weeks. After that I stop posting plays and piggyback the better cappers.
ESQAJM

i remember last year...i am ready
 

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