past 2 seasons' playoffs
if the rio contest were run last season, only 4 of the 22 selections would have had a correct side (indy vs den, sea/gb over, car/phi under, car/ne over). the season before, 10 games came in 17+ points off of the line (5 sides, 5 totals).
with 190 entrants, i guess you would expect around 10 winners if this season is like last season, and few to none if closer to the season before.
extremely incidentally, last season two games landed exactly 16 points off of the number (car vs dal and indy/kc over).
all of my lines come from wagerline, which was kind of a pain to use for that purpose. can anyone point me to a better site for historical lines?
hope i didnt screw up any math...