W WORLD CUP Brazil vs Australia alt total over 2 goals (-151) 5dimes *** 5 units ***
One of things that separates actual handicappers from gamblers who just bet on anything and everything is the fact we're able to decipher (even with juice), what qualifies as a play worth making opposed to what doesn't. Sure, it's all subjective but actual handicappers often times dig deep and go past the bullshit and media headlines especially when they're making big time plays (everybody has their own standards on what's big and what's not). Risking $755 to win $500 is big to me and I have no problem at all stating that. We have another round of 16 knockout match, you win and advance, there is no tomorrow if you lose.
One of the headlines I keep on reading and hearing is the fact Brazil hasn't conceded a single goal yet throughout this World Cup. I can't stress enough how faulty this headline and story really is. This Brazil backline has not faced an attacking opposition with the type of speed Australia has. This is not an opinion but 100% fact. Australia's confidence is at an all time high right now and I have no doubt in my mind they are going to take their shots against this Brazilian backline. They honestly feel they can exploit them and I 100% agree. If they get sucker punched by Brazil, fine. I'm not placing a bet on who wins, I'm placing the bet on the over. The one thing Brazil has going for them is the fact many players (especially attacking talent) like Marta and 37 year old Formiga were rested against Costa Rica in preparation for this battle with Australia. Only reason why I'm not getting down on over 2.5 is the fact both teams might play for extra time if it's 1-1 late, that possibility scares me enough to take the much safer route (like I tend to do) but in the end, it's just business.
One of things that separates actual handicappers from gamblers who just bet on anything and everything is the fact we're able to decipher (even with juice), what qualifies as a play worth making opposed to what doesn't. Sure, it's all subjective but actual handicappers often times dig deep and go past the bullshit and media headlines especially when they're making big time plays (everybody has their own standards on what's big and what's not). Risking $755 to win $500 is big to me and I have no problem at all stating that. We have another round of 16 knockout match, you win and advance, there is no tomorrow if you lose.
One of the headlines I keep on reading and hearing is the fact Brazil hasn't conceded a single goal yet throughout this World Cup. I can't stress enough how faulty this headline and story really is. This Brazil backline has not faced an attacking opposition with the type of speed Australia has. This is not an opinion but 100% fact. Australia's confidence is at an all time high right now and I have no doubt in my mind they are going to take their shots against this Brazilian backline. They honestly feel they can exploit them and I 100% agree. If they get sucker punched by Brazil, fine. I'm not placing a bet on who wins, I'm placing the bet on the over. The one thing Brazil has going for them is the fact many players (especially attacking talent) like Marta and 37 year old Formiga were rested against Costa Rica in preparation for this battle with Australia. Only reason why I'm not getting down on over 2.5 is the fact both teams might play for extra time if it's 1-1 late, that possibility scares me enough to take the much safer route (like I tend to do) but in the end, it's just business.
Australia 1 Brazil 0 Brutal. Goes down not only as a loss but a double whammy considering I had a feeling Australia was going to upset Brazil here. Just brutal. I need to grow some balls. I know I played Dustin Johnson to win the US OPEN but still, I need to grow some bigger balls and back up my thought process with some actual money (bet) even if it's a decent dog. It's something I have to work on.
21-13-2 +16.51 units on the year at the rx
21-13-2 +16.51 units on the year at the rx
It just stings. It stings a lot. These moments don't feel good and these are the moments where a gambler really has to be cautious. One can go down the wrong path if he isn't careful. Reading that preview, you would question why that person wouldn't fire on Australia to win the game or at least advance. So much money left on the table, it's f'n ridiculous. Brazil had a post shot and some chances but Australia was the better team, point blank.
But it's done, match is over, can't do anything about it, except learn and move on and I've learned taking the safe route isn't always profitable. I really, really have to stand by my thoughts and fire on dogs even if they're big.
But it's done, match is over, can't do anything about it, except learn and move on and I've learned taking the safe route isn't always profitable. I really, really have to stand by my thoughts and fire on dogs even if they're big.
Brewers and Rockies go over. France 3 South Korea 0, France dominant from start to finish. Canada 1 Switzerland 0, match stays under. I did notice many of the Switzerland players were on the receiving end of some rough tackles that actually went for not (not called). The epic ending at Chambers Bay, the icing on the cake (a bad cake today). 3 putt from 14/15 feet away for DJ will be remembered for quite some time (especially after Day helped him out on the read).
AMAZING, AMAZINGLY BAD.
23-15-2 +15.49 units on the year at the rx
AMAZING, AMAZINGLY BAD.
23-15-2 +15.49 units on the year at the rx
One of the more harsh realities in this business is the fact you'll eventually suffer brutal days. No matter how much time you put into your handicapping, no matter how much experience or skill you think you might have, sometimes things just won't end up going your way. It was one of those days yesterday for me. It hurt twice as hard because everything I didn't fire on (won) and everything I fired on (lost). When those days happen, it's your duty to not go off the deep end. Whether it's physically hurting yourself or others, chasing your losses (putting in crazy bets to win everything you just lost) etc.. Another thing I want to touch on is the fact when I hear touts or other gamblers speak about their recent losses and somehow magically think everything is going to be all right the next day and time and time again you hear them say "lets get it back today or tomorrow or this week". You just lost (if you even bet) and everybody who followed you just lost as well and you have the balls to make one of the most ignorant and uneducated statements of all time in this business by claiming "lets get it back today/tomorrow", which is the COMPLETE OPPOSITE of the what you're supposed to do. You're supposed to sit back, relax, drink some coffee or whatever your preference is and see what's available. If there's a play worth making, play it, if not, move on. Don't ever try to win back everything you lost the previous day or even week or EVER. What's done is done, move on and make whatever adjustments you have to make. The end to Chambers Bay yesterday somewhat exemplifies the roller coaster ride a sports gambler goes through capping off one of the worst days I've had in recent times. 3 putt from 12 feet away, a 3 PUTT FROM 12 FEET AWAY. Really, I mean really? Classic.
Such a symbolic ending, the higher power or powers have some dope sense of humor bruh.
Such a symbolic ending, the higher power or powers have some dope sense of humor bruh.
