Homedawg's Wednesday Plays

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Dynasty
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Sep 19, 2007
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New Mexico -1 -110 (3units)
New Mexico +1 -110 (2units)
Indiana -1.5 -110 (2units)
Indiana pk -110 (1unit)
Bradley +3 -110 (3units)
Harvard +4.5 -110 (3units)
Washington St +5 -110 (2units)


Some nice home dogs here.
 

Dynasty
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New Mexico +1/-1

Biggest play of the year to date. San Diego's season is basically over. They mind as well cash it in. If their last game, a loss vs San Jose St was any evidence of what the rest of the season will hold it may be a long 3 months for the Torrero's. A team already short handed, lacking offensive fire power received the death blow 2 games ago against San Diego St when all league performer Brandon Johnson ruptured his achilles. He was the one who made San Diego go. Without him they will be in trouble, especially against supremely talented teams like New Mexico. The Lobo's return 4 starters to go along with the #9 rated national recruiting class. The balance shows up in the stat sheet with 6 players averaging between 9 - 12 points per game. They have a balanced attack where they get baskets from both the back and front court. Their depth should be able to ware down the short handed Torrero's. Alford has New Mexico playing strong defense, holding opponents to 38% from the field, while out rebounding the opposition by 3 a game. Without Johnson SD's season is all, but over. They won't have the talent to keep up with a superior New Mexico team.


Harvard +4.5

Tommy Amaker has done a good job of bringing some big time talent to the team. He gained recognition by bringing in a nationally rated recruiting class, something unheard of for an Ivy League school. The talent brought in gives the Crimson supreme depth that shows up in this years scoring averages. There are players who started in previous years, and that have averaged double figures that now are not even the first ones off the bench. Evan Harris is one of those guys. He averaged double figures his sophmore, and junior season, to come off the bench this year. Another one is Drew Houseman who averages 7.3ppg this year, down from 13.2 his soph, and 10.6 his junior year. This isn't exactly bad. It shows the talent that Amaker has brought in. Keith Wright, and Max Kenyi are 2 of the players responsible for this. Both average double figures and give Harvard excellent depth, something they haven't had in years past. One starter who remained in the lineup is the Asian assassin Jeremy Lin who averages 20.5ppg. He is a slasher who can take it to the basket, to go along with solid rebounding. He is the type of player that can give the Crimson a bucket by creating his own shot if they really need one. With the increased athleticism Harvard has also improved rebounding the ball. This will be the key to the game as Northeastern has been poor on the glass this season. In fact they have been outrebounded in all, but their first game this season where they were +1 against IUPUI. Also their only player who averages double figures is Matt Janning. However their all league player has been in a slump as of late putting up shooting numbers of 1-11, 4-14, 5-8, and 4-15. Without his scoring NE is lost on offense where they struggle anyways. They shoot just 40% as a team, and even worse 37% on the road. None of those numbers bode well where they are running into a surprisingly talented, and deep team, on their home court. I think Harvard has a good chance of winning this one.
 

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my book now has Harvard +2.5 and Bradley a Pick. Do you still play both of these at those numbers. Thanks and GL
 

Dynasty
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Bradley +3

Another live home dog. Fact is the home team has won 15 consecutive contests between these 2. I don't think it will change tonight. Of course it would be easier if Andrew Warren was playing, but he will sit out again as he recovers from a broken leg. i still don't think it will matter as Bradley is always strong at home with the support of 10,000 fans at a packed Carver Arena. Bradley is very strong in the back court. They have a handful of guys that can handle the ball against a stingy Butler defense. Playing on their home court will also benefit their 3 point shooters. They have 3 excellent ones in Dodie Dunson 36.8%, Chris Roberts 37%, and Sam Mansiscalco who has struggled this year, but showed last season that he has the ability to light it up from 3 point range. Shooters always benefit from playing on their home rims, and that should hold true tonight. Another important factor is Bradley's improved ability to rebound the ball. Take away the Michigan St, and Florida games where they were out manned physically, and athletically they have out rebounded every opponent. Led by athletic Theron Wilson's 7.9 rpg Bradley has turned a weakness into a strength. This is an area where they can exploit Butler. Butler isn't particularly strong on the glass so being able to limit them to 1 shot, while giving yourself extra opportunities here and there could prove a difference. Butler is also a very inexperienced team. You can't expect them to go into every arena and come out with a win. They trailed the whole game against Clev St, and if it wasn't for Clev St self implosion they could have lost there. With Bradley's strong guard play I don't see the same kind of implosion. This is a team that plays very well at home, and has no excuse for not winning this game.

Washington St +5

Home dog. +5 to a Tony Bennett team on his home court is an early christmas present. rivalry game all that fun stuff. thanks for the 5, really shouldn't have to explain anything else. Washington St is no slouch. They have guys who are used to winning. They have a solid inside outside combination. Baynes is a load down, and Thompson, and Harmeling can fill it up from outside. Rochestie has ran the show for a while and is a solid point guard who won't be rattled. This team will lock you up on defense, and most importantly will be extremely well coached, and play as hard as they can. They won't make mistakes and kill themselves, something Pargo has shown he will do from time to time. I expect, and would hope that the crowd would be a little bit more lively then they were against Baylor where there were a ton of empty seats. This is a rivalry game, and I fully expect this place to be rocking. I think the 5 points is a gift that I will graciously take.
 

Dynasty
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my book now has Harvard +2.5 and Bradley a Pick. Do you still play both of these at those numbers. Thanks and GL

I would be hesitant just because there is so much value lost, but I do like both to win. GL with whatever you decide
 

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That was my thought as well. I did load up on New Mexico. GL. Waiting on WSU to see if that line goes up a little bit more as the public jumps on the Zags.
 

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Locked & Loaded on New Mexico!

Only going to be with you on the Lobos tonight. Since I made them last night before looking at your's, I am opposite on all your other plays that you've posted so far. :ohno:

However, I managed to get New Mexico at +2 (+1.5 bought hook, -120) last night.

Let's go Lobos! :aktion033

+2
Good luck, Homedawg! :toast:
 

RX Senior
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Gl tonight with the Homedawgs. Hoping to see you bounce back to where your supposed to be.
 

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Is this a home game for San Diego....?

I am so damn hard headed , if this is a home game for San Diego im going to have to go against the great Mr. Homedawg.

If i win i will be very very humble.....if i lose i will have learned my lesson.......good luck to everyone .
 

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Is this a home game for San Diego....?

I am so damn hard headed , if this is a home game for San Diego im going to have to go against the great Mr. Homedawg.

If i win i will be very very humble.....if i lose i will have learned my lesson.......good luck to everyone .

Do you know that San Diego's TOP scorer and probably their MVP is OUT? :think2:

Good luck, Uncle Buick! :toast:
 

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may want to hold off on WSU if you like them, can already get 6 at some places...as a Washington resident, i think i will pass and enjoy this one...this is a different Zag team this year, imo the best they have ever had, and basketball season is what that school lives for. Nobody remembers the humiliation on their home court last year more than them and they will be seeing blood tonight. Also a different WSU team, although it is still Bennett's system the lack of experience and ability will hurt them. I agree the points are tempting in this one, but would not be surprised if the Zags run them out of their own gym. BOL
 

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SD against SJ showed me more than enough reason to never be on SD for the rest of the season...their hearts were torn out when he went down...their season is OVER...poor SD
 

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New Mexico is probably the right side with all the trouble San Diego is having with injuries. With that said it is San Diego or nothing for me. Poor coaching is the doom of New Mexico in this one. Worst game coach in college hoops...Steve Alford. Sat through enough of it to know how bad he is. Hope you guys hit it but Stevie is enough to scare me away.
 

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Like the Bradley play myself, gl and this year as well!!!!
 

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I C said the dumb blind man

You are so right Mr. Basket Case...
Go....!! New Mexico Polo Loco's
Also they are 0-5 ATS if they don't cover Im using them in my 48 Buick bet .......bet i unit tonite they cover
next game ...bet 2 units they cover ( if lose)
next game ...bet 6 units they cover "
next game ...bet 16 units they cover.......:smoking:
Sorry Mr. Homedawg for doubting you
staythecourse
 

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You are so right Mr. Basket Case...
Go....!! New Mexico Polo Loco's
Also they are 0-5 ATS if they don't cover Im using them in my 48 Buick bet .......bet i unit tonite they cover
next game ...bet 2 units they cover ( if lose)
next game ...bet 6 units they cover "
next game ...bet 16 units they cover.......:smoking:
Sorry Mr. Homedawg for doubting you
staythecourse

:think2:

Not sure what you have written is all about.

Don't let me sway you on what team you play in this New Mexico-San Diego game.

I just wanted to point out that San Diego's TOP player is OUT, and it has affected the team chemistry greatly.

Listen to Homedawg. He's the expert, I'm not! :lolBIG:
 

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