New Mexico +1/-1
Biggest play of the year to date. San Diego's season is basically over. They mind as well cash it in. If their last game, a loss vs San Jose St was any evidence of what the rest of the season will hold it may be a long 3 months for the Torrero's. A team already short handed, lacking offensive fire power received the death blow 2 games ago against San Diego St when all league performer Brandon Johnson ruptured his achilles. He was the one who made San Diego go. Without him they will be in trouble, especially against supremely talented teams like New Mexico. The Lobo's return 4 starters to go along with the #9 rated national recruiting class. The balance shows up in the stat sheet with 6 players averaging between 9 - 12 points per game. They have a balanced attack where they get baskets from both the back and front court. Their depth should be able to ware down the short handed Torrero's. Alford has New Mexico playing strong defense, holding opponents to 38% from the field, while out rebounding the opposition by 3 a game. Without Johnson SD's season is all, but over. They won't have the talent to keep up with a superior New Mexico team.
Harvard +4.5
Tommy Amaker has done a good job of bringing some big time talent to the team. He gained recognition by bringing in a nationally rated recruiting class, something unheard of for an Ivy League school. The talent brought in gives the Crimson supreme depth that shows up in this years scoring averages. There are players who started in previous years, and that have averaged double figures that now are not even the first ones off the bench. Evan Harris is one of those guys. He averaged double figures his sophmore, and junior season, to come off the bench this year. Another one is Drew Houseman who averages 7.3ppg this year, down from 13.2 his soph, and 10.6 his junior year. This isn't exactly bad. It shows the talent that Amaker has brought in. Keith Wright, and Max Kenyi are 2 of the players responsible for this. Both average double figures and give Harvard excellent depth, something they haven't had in years past. One starter who remained in the lineup is the Asian assassin Jeremy Lin who averages 20.5ppg. He is a slasher who can take it to the basket, to go along with solid rebounding. He is the type of player that can give the Crimson a bucket by creating his own shot if they really need one. With the increased athleticism Harvard has also improved rebounding the ball. This will be the key to the game as Northeastern has been poor on the glass this season. In fact they have been outrebounded in all, but their first game this season where they were +1 against IUPUI. Also their only player who averages double figures is Matt Janning. However their all league player has been in a slump as of late putting up shooting numbers of 1-11, 4-14, 5-8, and 4-15. Without his scoring NE is lost on offense where they struggle anyways. They shoot just 40% as a team, and even worse 37% on the road. None of those numbers bode well where they are running into a surprisingly talented, and deep team, on their home court. I think Harvard has a good chance of winning this one.