Homedawg's Monday Play 39-31. +10.05

[cut-paste-hero]

Down 2 at half, after going 7 mins or so with just 2 points, I will take it.

 

[homedawg]

i think i have learned my lesson and will ride the full game bet out.

 

[GimmeDattt]

i think i have learned my lesson and will ride the full game bet out.

learned this the first week of the year and will never do it again. Gl hope you hit it.

 

[homedawg]

2 Units

2nd Half Ark St/Ind St Under 66 -110

Didn't think game total should have been this high. Both teams struggling offensively and expect this continue as both teams lack a significant scoring punch, and have not shown the ability to get to the free throw line

 

[Intruder]

2 Units

2nd Half Ark St/Ind St Under 66 -110

Didn't think game total should have been this high. Both teams struggling offensively and expect this continue as both teams lack a significant scoring punch, and have not shown the ability to get to the free throw line

66 1/2 at Betjam, I loved the under here.....not sure if that is good news for you though.

Best of luck

 

[substyle]

i think i have learned my lesson and will ride the full game bet out.

i'm assuming you are referring to your tenn. bet yesterday, but i hope you wouldnt let that shoot down your confidence. i remember I ignored your advice on taking syracuse for the 2nd half against kansas last week and rode out my orange ML...it was a winning bet but i missed a chance to double up. just throwing it out there in case it helps put things in perspective.

 

[cut-paste-hero]

29-25 good guys...

18:36

hope you don't mind the hi-jack....

In game for those who are not watching on-line

 

[cut-paste-hero]

Same Score,

17:04

Hope Indiana State stays on 25 for a bit longer

:toast:

 

[cut-paste-hero]

37-30 Arkansas ST

score keeps going up and down? for indiana st

11:11

 

[GimmeDattt]

Looking good for you guys. Hope it holds. Gl

 

[homedawg]

41-38. 7:16

 

[homedawg]

i'm assuming you are referring to your tenn. bet yesterday, but i hope you wouldnt let that shoot down your confidence. i remember I ignored your advice on taking syracuse for the 2nd half against kansas last week and rode out my orange ML...it was a winning bet but i missed a chance to double up. just throwing it out there in case it helps put things in perspective.

Confidence is not shook in the least. was just referring to doubling up on a game at half when the lines are basically the same. i am a firm believer of being on the right side and losing. i believe if you put yourself on the 'right' side win, lose, or draw, almost all the time you will win in the long run. There are 3 bets i made last week that i feel were bad bets after reviewing my daily wagers. Tenn 2nd half happened to be one of those bad bets, that's all.

 

[homedawg]

66 1/2 at Betjam, I loved the under here.....not sure if that is good news for you though.

Best of luck

yup saw that. i actually moved my money out after the baseball season since they don't post opening lines. wish I still had some in for these occasions though. Looks like you had a good feel for that under. hope you played it!!:toast:

 

[homedawg]

Arkansas St +4

If you are a stat guy there is no way you can play against Ark St here. John Brady has them winning games the way I like to see. They only have 1 player averaging more than 10 points a game, but Brady has them winning games with defense and rebounding. Those are the 2 things I look at first when capping games, defense and rebounding. They do just that. Get this no team has shot better than 40% against them this year, and no team has out rebounded them. Miss 36% +1 rb avg, Lyons 32% +15, Murray St 37% +9, UT Martin 36% +10, Ball St 40% +16. Those are just crazy numbers, and they seem to be buying into Brady's defensive approach that he said he planned on implementing when he took over this summer. And why shouldn't they be buying in? They have won at a very good Tenn Martin team that was picked to win the OVC, and at an improved Ball St team over the weekend. They beat a team that was guard oriented with all american Lester Hudson of the Skyhawks, and an established big in Nevill of Ball St. Winning those 2 games on the road should give them confidence while traveling to the Hulman Center to face the Sycamores. Conversely Indiana St is 0-4, and have only shot better than 42% in 1 game, and has been out rebounded in each. 2 things which seem to give a strong edge to Ark St. I still say the loss of Stinson before the season was a death blow for the year before the first game was played. These are 2 programs heading for a totally opposite year, and expect the confident Arkansas St team to come in and get another win.

41-38 ark st....Ind St shooting 27% and Ark St +8 rebounds

 

[homedawg]

49-46 4:11

 

[cut-paste-hero]

I know there is still a ton of time left, but I am glad to know I tailed the right side, and your write up is/was spot on.

Indiana state is shooting 30% and Ark st is +10 in rebounds..

Hope they win this outright, but thanks for putting us on the right side, either way

:toast:

49-46 Ark St

4:11

 

[cut-paste-hero]

Didn't see you typed the same thing 3 mins before.

:lol:

 

[homedawg]

I know there is still a ton of time left, but I am glad to know I tailed the right side, and your write up is/was spot on.

Indiana state is shooting 30% and Ark st is +10 in rebounds..

Hope they win this outright, but thanks for putting us on the right side, either way

:toast:

49-46 Ark St

4:11

going to make the 2nd half under interesting i guess

 

[homedawg]

52-52 2:35

 

[homedawg]

54-54 1:10


making this interesting