Cruz has no realistic path to the nomination. End of story.If Trump does well in Wisconsin its over.
If Trump loses Wisconsin its not over.
If Cruz can't beat Trump in Wisconsin with the favourable demographics for Cruz, and all the ground work he has done, and the support of Scott Walker, then he has little chance of winning anywhere.
By Eugene Robinson
April 05, 2016
WASHINGTON -- Not so fast, everybody. To paraphrase Winston Churchill, Wisconsin will not be the end of Donald Trump. It will not even be the beginning of the end. But it might be the end of the beginning.
To be sure, Trump had a terrible, horrible, atrocious week. But imagine the worst-case scenario for him: He wins none of Wisconsin's 42 convention delegates in Tuesday's primary, while his nearest rival, Ted Cruz, wins them all.
Even with that improbable result, Trump would have a huge lead over Cruz in the delegate race, 736 to 505. A Wisconsin shutout would make it more difficult for Trump to reach the magic number of 1,237 -- an absolute majority, sealing the Republican nomination. But it would remain nearly impossible for Cruz to get there.
Meanwhile, the next states to vote -- New York on April 19; Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island on April 26 -- look like much friendlier terrain for Trump than for Cruz or John Kasich. In the primaries where the two biggest delegate hauls are at stake, Trump leads Cruz by 34.3 points in New York and Kasich by 18 points in Pennsylvania, according to the Real Clear Politics polling averages.
So reports of Trump's demise are surely premature. Once again, I'm afraid, they may be largely the product of wishful thinking.
April 05, 2016
WASHINGTON -- Not so fast, everybody. To paraphrase Winston Churchill, Wisconsin will not be the end of Donald Trump. It will not even be the beginning of the end. But it might be the end of the beginning.
To be sure, Trump had a terrible, horrible, atrocious week. But imagine the worst-case scenario for him: He wins none of Wisconsin's 42 convention delegates in Tuesday's primary, while his nearest rival, Ted Cruz, wins them all.
Even with that improbable result, Trump would have a huge lead over Cruz in the delegate race, 736 to 505. A Wisconsin shutout would make it more difficult for Trump to reach the magic number of 1,237 -- an absolute majority, sealing the Republican nomination. But it would remain nearly impossible for Cruz to get there.
Meanwhile, the next states to vote -- New York on April 19; Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island on April 26 -- look like much friendlier terrain for Trump than for Cruz or John Kasich. In the primaries where the two biggest delegate hauls are at stake, Trump leads Cruz by 34.3 points in New York and Kasich by 18 points in Pennsylvania, according to the Real Clear Politics polling averages.
So reports of Trump's demise are surely premature. Once again, I'm afraid, they may be largely the product of wishful thinking.
I'm beginning to think from all your posts that you either have a soft spot for Cruz or
worse you could be a silent Cruz supporter. Even DeFinch seems to be more even handed
in the Republican contest. Be aware that in the 'most useless poster contest' the author
of the contest allows voters to change their preferences and I could easily change my #1
vote from DeFinch to you, elevating you to the top spot!!!!! Go Trump 2016
Trump will end up getting the minimum delegates needed to get the nomination on the first ballot.
I gave him no delegates in Wisconsin, no delegates in Colorado, no delegates in North Dakota and
I left out the 54 uncommitted delegates from Pennsylvania and Trump still comes up with 1, 243 delegates.
I also have him losing in Nebraska and South Dakota. So, in reality I gave him a worse case scenario.
Right now Trump has 754 delegates. By the morning of April 27th he will just be shy of 1,000 delegates.
After that he will win Indiana because it is a rust belt state. He will win West Virginia. I also gave him
an equal split with Washington and Oregon even though I think he'll win both. The last primaries of California,
New Jersey and New Mexico will all go to Trump. My best guess is 1,254 delegates for Trump before the convention.
I gave him no delegates in Wisconsin, no delegates in Colorado, no delegates in North Dakota and
I left out the 54 uncommitted delegates from Pennsylvania and Trump still comes up with 1, 243 delegates.
I also have him losing in Nebraska and South Dakota. So, in reality I gave him a worse case scenario.
Right now Trump has 754 delegates. By the morning of April 27th he will just be shy of 1,000 delegates.
After that he will win Indiana because it is a rust belt state. He will win West Virginia. I also gave him
an equal split with Washington and Oregon even though I think he'll win both. The last primaries of California,
New Jersey and New Mexico will all go to Trump. My best guess is 1,254 delegates for Trump before the convention.
Funny stuff. Cruz would be a DISASTER for America, probably as bad as Drumpf, minus the Concentration camps. But whatever keeps Drumpf from 1237 is what I'm for, even if it means the disgusting Cruz wins a few states. Get to a contested convention, both those wretched choices will be discarded, and hopefully the GOP makes the wise choice (Kasich) to beat Hillary.
Please do switch your vote. I need some help to pass up Finchy.
BLOWOUT Win for Lyin Ted in Wisky. Hopefully the #LOSER Drumpf holds his breath, stomps his feet, calls everyone unfair, and continues to self destruct.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-...primary-as-ted-cruz-gains-momentum-1459893675
http://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-...primary-as-ted-cruz-gains-momentum-1459893675
Drumpf is gonna crush it in NY, but it won't matter much towards 1237. 1237 is the most important number since Babe Ruth's 714 was passed. It's all over but the cryin for Drumpf, unless Lyin Ted drops out and gives his delegates to Drumpf with the promise of being his VP. That's the only way either of them are on the GOP ticket.
hno:??? LMAO. This was clearly written by one of Drumpf's bimbos, who have to call him Mr Drumpf, or else one of Drumpf's brown shirt goon squad will Michelle Fields her arm out of it's socket.It looks like Trump will the 35% most of the polls suggested so he didn't slip, I didn't expect
any delegates but it looks like Trump will get 6 delegates that's a plus & women voters supported
Trump as much as men did in Wisconsin proving there is no women problem as the media suggested.
The anti-Trump faction won the state of Wisconsin Cruz certainly did not. A Trojan Horse for the establishment
that's Cruz for sure. One more guy got on my sh.t list Scott Walker!
+16
SEE YOU IN NEW YORK: Trump, who leads in the overall nationwide contest, will have to nurse his wounds for two weeks until the Empire State's primary on April 19
+16
SO GRACIOUS: Trump's campaign said in a post-election statement that 'Ted Cruz is worse than a puppet – he is a Trojan horse, being used by the party bosses attempting to steal the nomination'
.
Waukesha County
The Texas senator has nearly 60% of the vote in an area which has long been the Republican base in the Badger State. In the racially polarized Milwaukee area, statewide Republicans have long relied on running up the score in Waukesha to win general elections. It seems among these suburban voters, Cruz is the favorite.
The Texas senator has nearly 60% of the vote in an area which has long been the Republican base in the Badger State. In the racially polarized Milwaukee area, statewide Republicans have long relied on running up the score in Waukesha to win general elections. It seems among these suburban voters, Cruz is the favorite.
