The Guesser
"Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump"
Wisconsin Primary - Republican Winner Tue 4/5 401 Ted Cruz wins Wisconsin Primary -870 6:00AM 402 Field wins Wisconsin Primary +490
GENIUS
Trump should have went 3rd party right from the beginning! If it becomes apparent that he will fall short
of 1237 he should immediately take that route maybe in late May when he can get on all significant state
ballots. In a 3rd party run he will take contributions from supporters and the take would be huge. The only
reason he may not reach 1237 is that though he's financing his own campaign he's Scottish & I know how
tight the Scots can be, he hasn't put out the dough he easily could have to cement the nomination.
As a 3rd party candidate he'll easily be 34% solid & remember in May 1992 the polls read Bush 34%,
Perrot 35% & Clinto 24%. Donald Trump is a full bore cultural phenomenon Perrot was not.
I can see it now November 2016. Trump 35%, Clinton or Sanders 34%, Ryan, Kasich or Cruz 25% with
5% the libertarian Johnson. Trump will not let them take the nomination from him lying down!
Hopefully, when/if Drumpf gets blitzed in Wisky, he'll immediately stomp his feet, hold his breath, cry about everything being unfair, withdraw and go 3rd party. That would be
IDIOT
WI is irrelevant.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates. You are so THICK. It is incomprehensible how THICK you are.
He will take New York by a Land Slide you numskull.
Cruz can stick WI up his and your ass.
You are a Politics FAIL
You are a history Fail.
You pathetic, sick, no life Brit Twit. Learn our system, if you have 39,000 posts about it. You are a LIFE Fail. Wisky is VERY relevant. Most delegates doesn't matter if it ain't 1237 Delegates.IDIOT
WI is irrelevant.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates. You are so THICK. It is incomprehensible how THICK you are.
He will take New York by a Land Slide you numskull.
Cruz can stick WI up his and your ass.
You are a Politics FAIL
You are a history Fail.
You pathetic, sick, no life Brit Twit. Learn our system, if you have 39,000 posts about it. You are a LIFE Fail. Wisky is VERY relevant. Most delegates doesn't matter if it ain't 1237 Delegates.
Most delegates will matter, the one with the 1237, gets it automatically. But you are thick enough to believe that Trump if he just misses the magic figure won't get it. Best of luck with that you paranoid sicko.
Frightened Trump will stick A yellow star on you, or you will be sent off to an extermination camp, or you will be deported.
Get out of the 1920's and 1930's, you loser. Boy, get an education.
You paranoid sick fool who believes Trump rallies are like Hitler rallies.
Trump will be the nominee, you uneducated delinquent.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates.
That is a fact.
I did not say he would go in with the 1237 you uneducated imbecile.
Use you brain and read the post again, here it is
Originally Posted by superbeets
IDIOT
WI is irrelevant.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates. You are so THICK. It is incomprehensible how THICK you are.
He will take New York by a Land Slide you numskull.
Cruz can stick WI up his and your ass.
You are a Politics FAIL
You are a history Fail.
That is a fact.
I did not say he would go in with the 1237 you uneducated imbecile.
Use you brain and read the post again, here it is
Originally Posted by superbeets
IDIOT
WI is irrelevant.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates. You are so THICK. It is incomprehensible how THICK you are.
He will take New York by a Land Slide you numskull.
Cruz can stick WI up his and your ass.
You are a Politics FAIL
You are a history Fail.
The Turd is trying his luck in this thread now
No thicko, failed English language , you should have attended classes.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates.
That is a fact.
I did not say he would go in with the 1237 you uneducated imbecile.
Use you brain and read the post again, here it is
Originally Posted by superbeets
IDIOT
WI is irrelevant.
Trump will go to the convention with the most delegates. You are so THICK. It is incomprehensible how THICK you are.
He will take New York by a Land Slide you numskull.
Cruz can stick WI up his and your ass.
You are a Politics FAIL
You are a history Fail.
BREAKING: Clint Eastwood Announces He Will Be Doing A Campaign Rally For This Candidate
Recently, Donald Trump announced that he would be teaming up with Clint Eastwood, delivering a speech at his event. That’s
OCCUPYLIBERALS.COM
How Trump gets the nod.
Ever since Donald Trump emerged as the Republican front-runner, talk of a contested convention has been proposed to stop his nomination.
All of this speculation relies on Trump failing to get the 1,237 delegates necessary to win.
However, there is still a path for the New York real estate developer to be named the nominee on the first ballot of voting.
The most recent polling out of the next key primary state, Wisconsin, shows Trump losing. But this is just a bump in the road for The Donald as the states following Wisconsin are favorable to him.
Per the Associated Press, Trump currently has the support of 736 pledged delegates. Trump is 501 delegates short of the nomination and he can finish April with 200 more delegates. These delegates would come from strong finishes in Trump-friendly states such as New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.
Throughout his campaign Trump has performed strongly in the Northeast, with the notable exception of Maine. Unless a loss in Wisconsin changes the narrative dramatically, he will pick up a majority of delegates in most of these states, and all of them in winner-take-all Delaware.
It is important to note that 54 of Pennsylvania’s delegates are unbound to any candidate going into the first ballot of the GOP convention. The other 17 from the state are winner-take-all on a state-wide basis.
Trump would then be going into May with about 940 delegates. As with April, May is full of states that give an edge to Trump.
The New York real estate developer would need to win in Indiana, West Virginia, Oregon, and Washington. These states all fit the profile of a Trump state — heavily white and fairly moderate. Indiana is a state where Texas Sen. Ted Cruz could perform strongly, so Trump would need to focus on his message in the Hoosier State.
Nebraska is a winner-take-all state in May, and its 36 delegates most likely will go to Cruz. The Cornhusker State is similar to midwestern states where Cruz has succeeded, and its junior senator, Ben Sasse, is one of Trump’s toughest critics.
With Trump wins in these four states he could gain about 115 delegates in May. He would be entering June with about 1,055 delegates. Trump would then need to get around 200 delegates in June to secure the nomination.
Two of the states in June are distinctively favorable to Trump – New Mexico and New Jersey. New Mexico is a border state and Trump would need to repeat results similar to Arizona. With a similar finish here he would get 12 delegates.
Trump has received the endorsement of New Jersey’s Gov. Chris Christie and if the state follows the patterns of its neighbor New York, Trump will end up winning 51 delegates. The Garden State is winner-take-all.
One primary in June is likely to go to Cruz and that is Montana. He is performed strongly in similar states and the Texas senator is currently trying to get Ohio Gov. John Kasich thrown off the ballot there.
South Dakota holds its primary as well in June, however it does not elect candidates and instead chooses unbound delegates to send to the national convention in July.
California then becomes mightily important for Trump with over 172 delegates up for grabs. If Trump has stayed on a steady track to the nomination by this point he would need about 119 delegates.
The New York real estate developer would need to win the state and get the 13 delegates that are awarded winner-take-all on a state-wide basis. The other 159 are also winner-take-all by congressional district.
This would mean that Trump would need to secure the support of 74 percent of California’s congressional districts.
But what if Trump doesn’t get that strong performance in California? After-all the most recent polling in the state has him ahead of Cruz by only one percent. If Trump fell short and won say 65 delegates in California, he is still not out of contention from winning on first-ballot. In this scenario he would be in need of 41 more delegates to secure the nomination.
This is where those 54 unbound delegates from Pennsylvania and other places such as Colorado come into play.
There are 323 unbound delegates up for grabs on the first ballot, these include those that have backed candidates that have since dropped out.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio is currently fighting to keep the 171 delegates that he won bound to him on the first ballot. This is an unprecedented effort and is unknown how successful it will be. A Rubio aide told MSNBC this effort was in order to “give voters a chance to stop Trump.”
If Rubio is successful that would still leave 151 delegates. The Trump campaign has already acknowledged they plan to win over these free agent delegates before the convention.
Barry Bennett, a Trump advisor on delegate strategy, has said, “you’ve got 40 days between the last primary and the convention to go woo the appropriate number of unbound delegates.” He added, “You still have a chance to put together 50 or 75 delegates to win on the first ballot.”
So there’s the scenario which gives Trump the nomination.
There is no such scenario for either Cruz or Kasich.
Ever since Donald Trump emerged as the Republican front-runner, talk of a contested convention has been proposed to stop his nomination.
All of this speculation relies on Trump failing to get the 1,237 delegates necessary to win.
However, there is still a path for the New York real estate developer to be named the nominee on the first ballot of voting.
The most recent polling out of the next key primary state, Wisconsin, shows Trump losing. But this is just a bump in the road for The Donald as the states following Wisconsin are favorable to him.
Per the Associated Press, Trump currently has the support of 736 pledged delegates. Trump is 501 delegates short of the nomination and he can finish April with 200 more delegates. These delegates would come from strong finishes in Trump-friendly states such as New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.
Throughout his campaign Trump has performed strongly in the Northeast, with the notable exception of Maine. Unless a loss in Wisconsin changes the narrative dramatically, he will pick up a majority of delegates in most of these states, and all of them in winner-take-all Delaware.
It is important to note that 54 of Pennsylvania’s delegates are unbound to any candidate going into the first ballot of the GOP convention. The other 17 from the state are winner-take-all on a state-wide basis.
Trump would then be going into May with about 940 delegates. As with April, May is full of states that give an edge to Trump.
The New York real estate developer would need to win in Indiana, West Virginia, Oregon, and Washington. These states all fit the profile of a Trump state — heavily white and fairly moderate. Indiana is a state where Texas Sen. Ted Cruz could perform strongly, so Trump would need to focus on his message in the Hoosier State.
Nebraska is a winner-take-all state in May, and its 36 delegates most likely will go to Cruz. The Cornhusker State is similar to midwestern states where Cruz has succeeded, and its junior senator, Ben Sasse, is one of Trump’s toughest critics.
With Trump wins in these four states he could gain about 115 delegates in May. He would be entering June with about 1,055 delegates. Trump would then need to get around 200 delegates in June to secure the nomination.
Two of the states in June are distinctively favorable to Trump – New Mexico and New Jersey. New Mexico is a border state and Trump would need to repeat results similar to Arizona. With a similar finish here he would get 12 delegates.
Trump has received the endorsement of New Jersey’s Gov. Chris Christie and if the state follows the patterns of its neighbor New York, Trump will end up winning 51 delegates. The Garden State is winner-take-all.
One primary in June is likely to go to Cruz and that is Montana. He is performed strongly in similar states and the Texas senator is currently trying to get Ohio Gov. John Kasich thrown off the ballot there.
South Dakota holds its primary as well in June, however it does not elect candidates and instead chooses unbound delegates to send to the national convention in July.
California then becomes mightily important for Trump with over 172 delegates up for grabs. If Trump has stayed on a steady track to the nomination by this point he would need about 119 delegates.
The New York real estate developer would need to win the state and get the 13 delegates that are awarded winner-take-all on a state-wide basis. The other 159 are also winner-take-all by congressional district.
This would mean that Trump would need to secure the support of 74 percent of California’s congressional districts.
But what if Trump doesn’t get that strong performance in California? After-all the most recent polling in the state has him ahead of Cruz by only one percent. If Trump fell short and won say 65 delegates in California, he is still not out of contention from winning on first-ballot. In this scenario he would be in need of 41 more delegates to secure the nomination.
This is where those 54 unbound delegates from Pennsylvania and other places such as Colorado come into play.
There are 323 unbound delegates up for grabs on the first ballot, these include those that have backed candidates that have since dropped out.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio is currently fighting to keep the 171 delegates that he won bound to him on the first ballot. This is an unprecedented effort and is unknown how successful it will be. A Rubio aide told MSNBC this effort was in order to “give voters a chance to stop Trump.”
If Rubio is successful that would still leave 151 delegates. The Trump campaign has already acknowledged they plan to win over these free agent delegates before the convention.
Barry Bennett, a Trump advisor on delegate strategy, has said, “you’ve got 40 days between the last primary and the convention to go woo the appropriate number of unbound delegates.” He added, “You still have a chance to put together 50 or 75 delegates to win on the first ballot.”
So there’s the scenario which gives Trump the nomination.
There is no such scenario for either Cruz or Kasich.
BREAKING: Clint Eastwood Announces He Will Be Doing A Campaign Rally For This Candidate
Recently, Donald Trump announced that he would be teaming up with Clint Eastwood, delivering a speech at his event. That’s
OCCUPYLIBERALS.COM
His appearence at last RNC was a total disaster. He was like the drunk uncle embarrassing himself.
Where's the lipstick? Sarah Palin posts a picture of herself alongside the carcass of a pig she shot as she issues Twitter plea to Wisconsin voters to say 'enough' to the status quo ahead of Tuesday's primary
The former Vice Presidential candidate urged the electorate to say 'enough' to the status quo in politics in a Facebook post next to an image of her crouching over the remains - but did not mention Donald Trump by name once. It could be seen as a personal dig at President Obama who once said in reference to the former Governor of Alaska: 'You know, you can put lipstick on a pig, but it's still a pig.' Trump has acknowledged the possibility of a loss to Cruz in Wisconsin. However he still believes he will capture the nomination regardless. Palin is hoping she can help Trump bounce back from a negative week for his campaign, where he was forced to backtrack on comments he made about abortion, nuclear weapons and GOP rival Cruz.
+3
The former Vice Presidential candidate urged the electorate to say 'enough' to the status quo in politics in a Facebook post next to an image of her crouching over the remains - but did not mention Donald Trump by name once
.
+3
Palin is seen campaigning for Trump in Wisconsin on Saturday. The picture she posted could be seen as a reference to sexist remarks made by President Obama in 2008. Describing the former Governor of Alaska, he said: 'You know, you can put lipstick on a pig, but it's still a pig.'
.
+3
The former Vice Presidential candidate urged the electorate to say 'enough' to the status quo in politics in a Facebook post next to an image of her crouching over the remains - but did not mention Donald Trump by name once
.
+3
Palin is seen campaigning for Trump in Wisconsin on Saturday. The picture she posted could be seen as a reference to sexist remarks made by President Obama in 2008. Describing the former Governor of Alaska, he said: 'You know, you can put lipstick on a pig, but it's still a pig.'
.
A great night in West Allis, Wisconsin! Thank you! #VoteTrumpWI #WIPrimary https://www.facebook.com/DonaldTrump/posts/10156883852800725:0 …
