Help.... Been having this debate with an RXer...

[celticGreen+]

That up there ^

 

[PatsFan1283]

Where Defyings idea would work is a long future. I.e you got the Arizona Cardinals at 99-1 to make the superbowl in 2008. They play in the worst division in the NFL and get in. Start shocking the world in the playoffs and all of a sudden are only slight dogs to win it all.

They make the superbowl and are a 2-1 dog to the Steelers. Well maybe you've got no opinion on that game and think it is a fair price so you hedge then to get some $ out of this bet that was once undervalued and now is fairly valued. However, you don't just hedge a -110 straight bet with a -110 straight bet

 

[HacheMan]

I would go for the middle.
#1 even though you are off to a great start there is still a chance the game will go under.
#2 this is not a hedge.

You have a very real chance of winning both bets.

Thats a huge middle where the odds are pretty close to 50% that you will win both bets.

Agreed

I wouldn't middle it in all cases/scenarios, but some Large Middles I would.

The logic "Why make the wager to begin with if you are going to get off of it" doesn't tell the whole story, and, those making that argument are leaving out the part that the 2nd half could go way under (like we've all seen many times) and you ending up losing the original wager to begin with.

Depends on how that first half went.

Lot's of factors involved, but I've done quite well with large middles in the past.


NBA is the best sport to take advantage of them...

 

[kidman232]

isint the middle 18 points?

 

[JudgeWapner]

I sometimes will play for a middle in these situations. Never for more than 25% of my original play. Not saying its right or wrong, just what I do.

 

[Defying]

isint the middle 18 points?

lol thanks..


That's what I'm saying.

 

[Defying]

18 points to hit both sides. I think it should be done at least half the time for 25-50% of your bet..

Like last night, I needed Texas +7.5 at half they were up 10-3

UCLA -3.5 2H

Now I have Texas +7.5 and UCLA +3.5

Both Cash...

Same thing happened in the Georgia USC game...

I think middles that big, like in the orginial example must be played, not blindly but at least half the time. for 25% to 50% of your original bet.

 

[PatsFan1283]

If the cost to bet was free like the cost to trade equities pretty much is then middling would make a lot more sense.

That 4.55% adds up over time though

 

[FairWarning]

I sometimes will play for a middle in these situations. Never for more than 25% of my original play. Not saying its right or wrong, just what I do.

me too.

 

[HottyToddy]

I middle the shit out of it... Just me though.