I've won powerball three times in a row, and had 4 consecutive perfect brackets. I'm also proposing to Angelina this weekend, my dog doesn't crap in my condo while I'm at work, and I don't have a painful boil on my ass right now. Chicks dig my Taurus, which I drive b/c I lost my powerball winnings investing in bre-x. I never actually bet on the brackets, that was done just for fun.
No really, that powerball stat from CNN impressed me. One perfect bracket=2 consecutive power ball wins???
:realtongu
No really, that powerball stat from CNN impressed me. One perfect bracket=2 consecutive power ball wins???
:realtongu
Belch One said:
The odds are 1 in 5.7 billion if each pick has a 50/50 chance. But we all know that not every pick is 50/50. Do you think Duke/Southern is 50/50? Do you think UCLA/Belmont is 50/50? Once you look at it like that the odds come way down.
Odds are roughly one in nine quintillion assuming 50/50 on each game; if you assume that the top three seeds in each region will win their first round game and that the number one seeds will win their second round game with everything else being 50/50 then the odds go down to roughly one in 36 trillion.
Belch One said:
Your way off on your odds. If the odds are 36 trillion to 1 how do you explain the fact that I heard of at least 3 people doing it in the last 5 years. Have you never seen the specials on sportscenter where they interview the people when they get them all right?
There are several people that are still perfect right now in this years tourney on both ESPN and Cbs.sportsline right now.
There are nine quintillion possibilities. That is a fact.
If you can eliminate the fact that Oral Roberts won't go to the Championship game, that immediately elimates like 300,000 possiblities.
1 in 36 trillion includes thing like an all 12 seed final four. That wont happen, and nobody fills that out.
If you can eliminate the fact that Oral Roberts won't go to the Championship game, that immediately elimates like 300,000 possiblities.
1 in 36 trillion includes thing like an all 12 seed final four. That wont happen, and nobody fills that out.
Belch One said:
And someone won 1 million dollars 2 years ago in the ESPN bracket. They interviewed the guy on SportsCenter after the tourney.
Its a fact. Its been done. More than once. Why is this so hard to understand.
This is not an opinion, its plain fact.
Please post link were its been done you have a better chance of winning the lottery ask Dr. Math
NCAA Tournament Possibilities
Date: 03/14/2001 at 15:28:45From: Jill PaskoffSubject: NCAA tournament possibilitiesIf I had an NCAA Tournament office pool, where each person fills out the brackets by selecting who he or she thinks will win each game, how many possible combinations of choices are there?</PRE><HR>
Date: 03/14/2001 at 17:12:28From: Doctor PaulSubject: Re: NCAA tournament possibilitiesA great question at a wonderful time of the year!First notice that the 64 teams play 63 total games: 32 games in the first round, 16 in the second round, 8 in the 3rd round, 4 in the regional finals, 2 in the final four, and then the national championship game.32+16+8+4+2+1= 63Now let's answer an easier question.If there were four teams, and they played three games, how many different ways would there be to fill out a bracket? You can write them down. There are only eight of them. Where do that eight come from? Well, there are three games, and you have two possible choices for each game. Hence, 2^3 = 8 possibilities.Now back to the real tournament. Since there are 63 games to be played, and you have two choices at each stage in your bracket, there are 2^63 different ways to fill out the bracket.2^63 = 9,223,372,036,854,775,808That's more than nine quintillion possibilities.Perhaps now you can see why CNNSI is so willing to give away ten million dollars to the person that fills out a perfect bracket. It's just not likely to happen.Even if every person in America filled one out (300 million people), the probability of someone winning is:300,000,000----------- = .00000000003253 2^63I don't think anyone is going to fill out a perfect bracket any time soon.- Doctor Paul, The Math Forum</PRE>
NCAA Tournament Possibilities
Date: 03/14/2001 at 15:28:45From: Jill PaskoffSubject: NCAA tournament possibilitiesIf I had an NCAA Tournament office pool, where each person fills out the brackets by selecting who he or she thinks will win each game, how many possible combinations of choices are there?</PRE><HR>
Date: 03/14/2001 at 17:12:28From: Doctor PaulSubject: Re: NCAA tournament possibilitiesA great question at a wonderful time of the year!First notice that the 64 teams play 63 total games: 32 games in the first round, 16 in the second round, 8 in the 3rd round, 4 in the regional finals, 2 in the final four, and then the national championship game.32+16+8+4+2+1= 63Now let's answer an easier question.If there were four teams, and they played three games, how many different ways would there be to fill out a bracket? You can write them down. There are only eight of them. Where do that eight come from? Well, there are three games, and you have two possible choices for each game. Hence, 2^3 = 8 possibilities.Now back to the real tournament. Since there are 63 games to be played, and you have two choices at each stage in your bracket, there are 2^63 different ways to fill out the bracket.2^63 = 9,223,372,036,854,775,808That's more than nine quintillion possibilities.Perhaps now you can see why CNNSI is so willing to give away ten million dollars to the person that fills out a perfect bracket. It's just not likely to happen.Even if every person in America filled one out (300 million people), the probability of someone winning is:300,000,000----------- = .00000000003253 2^63I don't think anyone is going to fill out a perfect bracket any time soon.- Doctor Paul, The Math Forum</PRE>
