2024 election forecast based on most accurate poll of 2020
Electoral college:
Trump: 323
Harris: 215
Popular vote:
Trump: 50.7% (+3.1)
Harris: 47.6%
Battleground margins:
ME: Harris+2.5
VA: Harris+1.8
NH: Harris+0.8
MN: Trump+1.4
MI: Trump+4.1
NV: Trump+4.8
PA: Trump+5.7
WI: Trump+6.4
AZ: Trump+6.7
GA: Trump+7.6
NC: Trump+8.1