I got the push with COL -7. Got a narrow win with LV under 97.5. Also had GA and SJ this week. 3-0-1. The value of getting the best number has sure proven to be true. Could easily have lost LV and COL bets. Thankfully for me the CMB 2 point conversion missed and the COL 2 point conversion was good.
What a day... whooped ass on sides. For the record, I'm dropping the Nashville o/u in with totals, as an individual team total is also a total. Don't let this record fool you.... look at the units...
Las Vegas (-1) @ Columbus ROMP W (+4.76 units)
Las Vegas @ Columbus under 90 and 96 1 too many L (-2.5 units)
Georgia (+6.5 and ml) @ New York W (+2.81 units)
Colorado (-6.5) @ Nashville W (+3.81 units)
Nashville over 41.5 points L (-1.5 units)
For the day...
Record: 3-2
Net: +7.38 units
Add this to yesterday...
Saberkitties vs. Philly under 113.5 W (+1.90 units)
Week 7 thus far...
Record: 4-2
Net: +9.28 units... guaranteed the winning week on a massive card
YTD...
Against the opening line: 18-7
Against that same closing line: 14-9-1 (Colorado going in the loss column)
Sides Record: 12-9 (+15.32 units)
Totals Record: 13-6 (+17.78 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
2nd half: 2-3 (-1.87 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 1-3 (-2.48 units)
Composite Record
YTD: 29-24 (54.7%... creeping up there)
Net: +28.20 units
Units Wagered: 141.5 units
Units Won: 28.20 units
Net %: 19.93% profit per unit wagered
Sunday Card
New Orleans/Orlando over 98.5 (1.5 units)
Chicago/Grand Rapids over 99.5 (3 units at +117)
Grand Rapids +45.5 points (2 units at -108)
All 4 games over 99.5 (1 unit at +136)
Okay, now what I have to say about today in as few words as possible... Everything went pretty as planned except Colorado, and even then, they proved they were better than the line suggested. Vegas is back after absolutely f---ing Columbus. Clint Dolezel is healthy, and with that defense, this is an Arena Bowl bound team... book Colorado vs. Las Vegas in the American Conference Championship game. Georgia had the game won in several instances and did it with their defense. I think this team is the better team than NY. NY is still soft. Georgia is battle tested. This will come back as a big asset down the rocky road that is the Southern Division. I'm more scared of this team now than before and that's after a loss. But it's good to see the sides level out. I needed that for some confidence later in the year on my sides. My apologies to anyone that sat on Colorado -7.5 and up. 7, you made out alright... lol... no complaints over 2-0-1 ever.
Now THAT'S a recap.... More money to be made tomorrow.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Brews for us on the work done tonight!
Las Vegas (-1) @ Columbus ROMP W (+4.76 units)
Las Vegas @ Columbus under 90 and 96 1 too many L (-2.5 units)
Georgia (+6.5 and ml) @ New York W (+2.81 units)
Colorado (-6.5) @ Nashville W (+3.81 units)
Nashville over 41.5 points L (-1.5 units)
For the day...
Record: 3-2
Net: +7.38 units
Add this to yesterday...
Saberkitties vs. Philly under 113.5 W (+1.90 units)
Week 7 thus far...
Record: 4-2
Net: +9.28 units... guaranteed the winning week on a massive card
YTD...
Against the opening line: 18-7
Against that same closing line: 14-9-1 (Colorado going in the loss column)
Sides Record: 12-9 (+15.32 units)
Totals Record: 13-6 (+17.78 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
2nd half: 2-3 (-1.87 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 1-3 (-2.48 units)
Composite Record
YTD: 29-24 (54.7%... creeping up there)
Net: +28.20 units
Units Wagered: 141.5 units
Units Won: 28.20 units
Net %: 19.93% profit per unit wagered
Sunday Card
New Orleans/Orlando over 98.5 (1.5 units)
Chicago/Grand Rapids over 99.5 (3 units at +117)
Grand Rapids +45.5 points (2 units at -108)
All 4 games over 99.5 (1 unit at +136)
Okay, now what I have to say about today in as few words as possible... Everything went pretty as planned except Colorado, and even then, they proved they were better than the line suggested. Vegas is back after absolutely f---ing Columbus. Clint Dolezel is healthy, and with that defense, this is an Arena Bowl bound team... book Colorado vs. Las Vegas in the American Conference Championship game. Georgia had the game won in several instances and did it with their defense. I think this team is the better team than NY. NY is still soft. Georgia is battle tested. This will come back as a big asset down the rocky road that is the Southern Division. I'm more scared of this team now than before and that's after a loss. But it's good to see the sides level out. I needed that for some confidence later in the year on my sides. My apologies to anyone that sat on Colorado -7.5 and up. 7, you made out alright... lol... no complaints over 2-0-1 ever.
Now THAT'S a recap.... More money to be made tomorrow.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Brews for us on the work done tonight!
Vegas closed at 98 on Pinny... But really, don't worry about it for the most part. I'm chalking it up to some good fortune this week, but I believe the reads were in general right. Didn't plan on Dolezel letting them drop 60 against Columbus, but even still, just a play short of an even better day. I knew under 90 was screwed after Dolezel came back, but 96 could've happened very easily. One bad break, one good break. Everything else was earned. Rarely will you see me complain about breaks because I know they happen both directions. For you tonight, 2 in the right direction... for me, 1 up, 1 down. Still, cashing a 5 unit and 2 4 units is real nice.
--AFLGuru:toast:
--AFLGuru:toast:
Couple things here Scott...
Vegas has also already shut down LA and NY, two not-slacker offenses... yeah, LA has been awfully inconsistent, but it's not like they've played no one yet this year. San Jose dropped a ton on them, but I think we'll see that's more of a case of SJ being superior, especially once Robinson came into the game for the Glads. Look for this defense to remain the best in the league for a good chunk of the year. And now that they finally played an over game??? Back to unders next week... lol
Also, starting in about an hour, I've got the Tampa/Arizona game almost for certain... anyone else watching GR/Chi? Check here for updates. Today should go smoother than yesterday day because I'm not trying to watch AFLNet on my computer AND college basketball on my TV, as well as juggling IMs and 3 games at the same time... lol. Should be much more efficient following a total of 2 (ok, and perhaps bits of a CBB game... I want to watch this UK/UF game too... hate them Gators).
Back in about 35 minutes.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Vegas has also already shut down LA and NY, two not-slacker offenses... yeah, LA has been awfully inconsistent, but it's not like they've played no one yet this year. San Jose dropped a ton on them, but I think we'll see that's more of a case of SJ being superior, especially once Robinson came into the game for the Glads. Look for this defense to remain the best in the league for a good chunk of the year. And now that they finally played an over game??? Back to unders next week... lol
Also, starting in about an hour, I've got the Tampa/Arizona game almost for certain... anyone else watching GR/Chi? Check here for updates. Today should go smoother than yesterday day because I'm not trying to watch AFLNet on my computer AND college basketball on my TV, as well as juggling IMs and 3 games at the same time... lol. Should be much more efficient following a total of 2 (ok, and perhaps bits of a CBB game... I want to watch this UK/UF game too... hate them Gators).
Back in about 35 minutes.
--AFLGuru:toast:
arty:
