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Apr 22, 2018
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Thursday, April 26, 2018
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(911) Seattle Mariners (Paxton)
(912) Cleveland Indians (Clevinger)
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Cleveland Indians (Clevinger) (-106)
 

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Thursday, April 26, 2018
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(81) San Jose Sharks
(82) Vegas Golden Knights
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Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (+186)
 

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Friday, April 27, 2018
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(973) Oakland Athletics (Manaea)
(974) Houston Astros (Keuchel)
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Houston Astros (Keuchel) -1.5 (+120)
 

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Let me tell you a little about how this idea of group buy came about...



To make a long story short, me and the wife went on a vacation to Vegas in March, met a guy at the sports book, chit chat about sports betting and plays blah blah blah he tells me about the group which he is a member for over 4 years, so I follow for 17 days. I like the results and ask him how I can continue getting these plays and he tells me he needs to introduce me to the group to be able to join the group, so I gave him my contact info and he introduced me.



This guy wasn't trying to sell me anything, so he had no reason to lie, I myself decided to follow then ask him how to get access after I saw some decent results for 17 days.



After the original contact with the group I ask them pricing, I almost fell off my chair when then told me $10,000 monthly to join the group. I played it cool, as if I was a high roller, told them I could only commit after a trial period, they gave me the month of April as a trial.



Even though I had a gut feeling that I finally found the right source because it wasn't a salesman with a sales pitch making me join, I was waiting for results to start going bad just like with every other service I joined, but results didn't go bad.



One week passed, two weeks passed, three weeks passed, and then I was like damn, these guys are good, now how in the world am I going to join them in May, that is when the group buy idea came to mind.
 

Biz

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Handicapper
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Oct 29, 2011
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10k per month. You're serious.

High priced ML plays and they made them -1.5. Thats worth 10k a month??

Someone would have to have a screw loose if they:
A) Thought someone was worth 10k per month
or
B) Actually took you up on this offer.

Not to mention the fact that you have given zero proof that it doesn't cost 50 bucks a month and you'll pocket the rest. Not saying you will, but how on earth does anyone know this is legit.

Good Luck.
 

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Apr 22, 2018
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10k per month. You're serious.

High priced ML plays and they made them -1.5. Thats worth 10k a month??

Someone would have to have a screw loose if they:
A) Thought someone was worth 10k per month
or
B) Actually took you up on this offer.

Not to mention the fact that you have given zero proof that it doesn't cost 50 bucks a month and you'll pocket the rest. Not saying you will, but how on earth does anyone know this is legit.

Good Luck.

Thanks for your opinion, but I myself am more then happy with their results. I have been betting for 22 years and I know how hard it is to profit long term, if it wasn't hard not only 2% would profit long term, 98% lose long term. So as long as they are making me money I don't care what their method or style is, I want to make money, not worried about a cool method, style or whatever you are looking for, I myself am looking to make money.

Screw the group buy then if you don't believe me, I am selling their plays for $100 a month, who wants in is more then welcome to join. Membership is $100 monthly, what I pay others is not important then if you think it is too much, focus on the $100 monthly because that is the cost per person, forget the rest.
 

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Apr 22, 2018
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Saturday, April 28, 2018
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(915) Tampa Bay Rays (Chirinos)
(916) Boston Red Sox (Price)
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Boston Red Sox (Price) -1.5 (+105)


Saturday, April 28, 2018
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(917) Texas Rangers (Colon)
(918) Toronto Blue Jays (Garcia)
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Texas Rangers (Colon) (+157)
 

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So what is their record for April?
 

New member
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Apr 22, 2018
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Saturday, April 28, 2018
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(911) New York Mets (Vargas)
(912) San Diego Padres (Lucchesi)
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San Diego Padres (Lucchesi) -1.5 (+160)
 

New member
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Apr 22, 2018
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DON’T GET FOOLED BY “WIN PERCENTAGE” IT IS WORTHLESS!


Many services focus on win percentage, but it is the most worthless stat, and I will show you why below using the plays I posted in the forum.


The group I am trying to get us to have access in May only talk about “Effective Win Percentage”, and in their opinion this is the only way you can see the real value of a service.


What is Effective Win Percentage?


Effective Win Percentage is the win percentage equivalent to if every bet was made on a -110 line.


I am sure you will agree that 5-4 (55.6%) +0.55 units is not the same as 5-4 (55.6%) +3.02 units.


How is Effective Win Percentage calculated?


Effective Win Percentage is calculated with simple math and will give you the true value of a service, (Units Won/0.909)/(Units Won/0.909+Games Lost)*100=.


Using the plays I posted on the forum as an example, 5-4 record and +3.02 units, the calculation would be (7.02/0.909)/(7.02/0.909+4)*100=… with the result being 65.9%.


- - -


I have done what I could on my end to try to show you we have a golden opportunity on the table, all it takes is 90 people who are interested in these plays from May 1 to 31 for only $100.


I have less then 48 hours to send payment if I want to have access to plays in May, therefore if you are interested please send me an email to dcbuygroup@protonmail.com as soon possible.


It isn’t every day we have the opportunity to join a high quality private group like this one, and on top of it for only $100 monthly, a $10,000 value for only $100, how can you go wrong paying only 1/100th of the value?


- - -


I will leave you guys alone in the forum as of now, my email is above and this golden opportunity is available for the next 48, so if you are interested all you have to do is shoot me an email as soon as possible.


Best of luck to all with your sports betting!
 

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Apr 22, 2018
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[FONT=&quot]Honestly, I am pretty sure I am miscalculating Effective Win Percentage, but I am too embarrassed to ask them exactly how to calculate it, don't want them thinking I am dum, so if any math wiz can help that would be great.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]I calculate 5-4 +3.02 units as 65.9% Effective Win Percentage, but 9 plays at -110 odds with a 6-3 record which is 66.7% would give us a +2.45 units, and they are much higher then that over 9 plays, so I think I am miscalculating something as they probably need to be at like 70% on what is posted here in the forum, so if there is any math wiz on the forum that can help me out it will be much appreciated.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Please remember it was recommended for example at -120 odds to wager 1.00 to win 0.83 units, and at +120 odds to wager 1.00 to win 1.20 units.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Going to be hard to get 90 people for sure, but I am sure in the near future people are going to be begging me to join and the doors will be closed, I really don't see how anyone can go wrong with $100, even if you just want to wager $10 per play the first month just to cover your $100, this is an opportunity of a lifetime and those that aren't willing to take a small $100 risk are going to be left out in the rain because I guarantee that those reading this and laughing at me today will be begging me in the future to join! Life is about choices, and the choices you make today reflect your life in the future![/FONT]
 

New member
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Someone sent me the following and makes more sense then my calculation and looks correct, making the Effective Win Percentage close to 70%.

Since they use, for example, at -120 odds wager 1.00 to win 0.83 units, and at +120 odds wager 1.00 to win 1.20 units, over 9 games the wagered amount would be 9 units, meaning the break even point at -110 odds would be 4.7142 won and 4.2858 lost, giving us a total of 9 units.

Now the profit of +3.02 needs to be factored in at the same time keeping the wagered amount at 9 units, so +3.02 would be divided in two and half will be added to the won column and half would be deducted from the loss column.

So
4.7142 won and 4.2858 lost, would change to 6.2242 won and 2.7758 lost when factoring in the +3.02 profit.

In my previous post we saw that 6-3 record is 66.7% and would only give us +2.45 units, and they are higher then that at +3.05 units, so we knew they had to be above 66.7%, I stated probably around 70%.

Therefore with a 6.2242-2.7758 record the correct Effective Win Percentage is 69.2%.
 

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It really just comes down to ROI.
Records don't matter much. Value and return is what matters.
 

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It really just comes down to ROI.
Records don't matter much. Value and return is what matters.

Thank you, had a mod on another forum tell me [FONT=&quot]Effective Win Percentage is not important, that win rate is important.

[/FONT]
[FONT=Segoe UI, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Roboto, Oxygen, Ubuntu, Cantarell, Fira Sans, Droid Sans, sans-serif]So I ask him, [/FONT][FONT=&quot]as a sports bettor you would rather go 6-3 (66.7%) +2.45 units then 5-4 (55.6%) +3.02 units? Really can understand some people and there lack of knowledge.

Then he told me if I wanted 10k to get the plays to get a loan. Really? Get a loan for sports betting? I had to ask him if he was a problem gambler, who in their right mind gets a loan to gamble?[/FONT]
 

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