you been playing them too?
I'm really not one to make plays based on a system or anyone else really but it does seem like an interesting and easy handicapping logic.
Basically it's a "if it looks too good to be true, it prob is"
I personally like the system and will be following....
Not sure if I can pull the trigger on any plays yet but
The only runs I have seen like this is when I was holding the action. Had a friend of a friend who went on the most unbelievable run in college hoops in or around 2002. I held the action and got murdered! I knew the guy and knew he was not doing anything mind blowing, so I just kept hanging in there waiting for it to change.... His run actually outlasted my will and I finally shut it down. About 3 years later, he came back wanting to play the NFL and I ended up getting stiffed when he finally lost. Fucking hate that guy!
With me & Football, NFL especially, and it's funny as hell:
If I just actually BET the lines that at first glance make me say "WTF THATS TOTALLY WHACKED"
I actually cash about 63-67% of those plays.
They are really hard to make though, to pull the trigger on bcuz one feels so godamned stupid making those plays.
Like Baltimore + 10 when the Steelers were coming in averaging 31 ppg over the 3 weeks prior and Baltimore looked like a Junior Varsity team over those 3 weeks.
Not the best example, thats a Divisional Game of course but everyone here knows exactly what I mean.
Its in our Nature to think we are smarter than the linesmakers. The success of the "system" this thread discusses and other things suggest we may not be smarter than the linesmakers.
Thats the crazy part he dont have a clue about public betting or any of that like i said before he could tell you what some of the divisions these baseball teams are in all he does is adds up the era...
Like ive stated ive been doing this too long i never follow peoples plays i never fade them i believe in handicapping but i just havent seen a run like this from someone whoi mean doesnt even have a clue who half of the guys even are pitchers etc
Like ive stated ive been doing this too long i never follow peoples plays i never fade them i believe in handicapping but i just havent seen a run like this from someone whoi mean doesnt even have a clue who half of the guys even are pitchers etc
