good week for movies...

[HPark1]

Happy with a 16.5 Sat with Bond coming in just under 15.5. SBD has 16.4 for Bond but a better source indicates otherwise. I'm happy to bet against SBD.

So Bond with just over 30 million and Happy between 28/28.5 thus far. Looks like Bond may not get to 41, can only afford a 30% dropoff from Saturday.

 

[Labeeb]

How do Sundays stack up to Saturdays in terms of dropoff in general? I realize that with these two movies there are obviously different demos, but in general...

 

[HuskerFan1]

this is gonna be a fu-king NAILBITER boys...Hpark is right...SBD # is wrong...dougny had bond coming in mid 15M on saturday...

this is from DHD...(i friggen hope the little blurp at the end is right)

SUNDAY AM: (Refresh for latest) I'm told only $132K separated the #1 and #2 movies at the box office office this weekend. In the end, Warner's Happy Feet bested Sony/MGM's Casino Royale $41.254 million to $41.122 million after a nailbiter of a race that gave studio moguls' flop sweat. That's because there's an immense PR value in declaring a movie No. 1 in the U.S. market. (Who knows -- since these numbers include Sunday estimates, the winner could change by Monday. About Warner, one box office guru told me this AM, "They are being extremely aggressive with their number, and I am not sure come tomorrow that they will be able to live up to the heights they are setting today." But other experts say that the margin may wind up bigger than even reported now -- $42 mil to $40 mil -- in Happy Feet's favor.)

 

[HPark1]

Bom out now with Bond at 30.6 now and Happy Feet at 28.45. They estimate Bond at 40.6 and Happy Feet at 42.3.

I don't agree with their estimates (not as if its worth much) but I think Bond can do more and Happy Feet can do much less.

 

[HuskerFan1]

yup MOJO is in and they have 42M for Happy 40.6 for Bond...

god i hope this sticks...and the actual #s are close....sucks having to wait until late monday afternoon....ARRGGHHHH....i want this middle...

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2006-11-18&p=.htm

 

[HuskerFan1]

i sorta agree with you Hpark that their sunday falloff on bond looks a slighter bigger than what i may be but they also have friday # at 14.9...im hoping if anything that actual comes in a couple 100k lower....maybe a 14.6 14.7....that would give sunday a little extra to work with...

nothing at this point is set in stone except lets go to prison and the over bond 37.5 and 38's that were at cris/greek and pinny before they moved it....we saw what happened last week with STF as it came in 700k light...if you have over 41 on HF you still cant count your money on that yet bc these are just the estimates...

the actuals should be interesting to say the least....

 

[HPark1]

sbd chimes in with Happy at 41.565 and Bond at 41.145.

 

[HuskerFan1]

ya i just got it 5min ago...that # is junk though...have to wait for stupid mojo...

they did bump sundays total to 10.8 (mojo had a flat 10)...i think the 10.8 makes more sense...

this goddamn thing gonna come down to the actuals on each day and if they are slightly higher or lower...

 

[HPark1]

fyi- sbd adjusted their Saturday totals just before they put up their Sunday estimates. They brought Bond down to 15.6 and Happy up to 17.1ish. With the adjustments in comparison to BOM Happy was a couple hundred thousand more than BOM and Bond was a couple hundred thousand below BOM.

Looks like both will settle in between 41 and 41.75.

 

[HPark1]

Actuals in. Happy 41.533 and Bond 40.833.

Just missed out on a Happy middle at 41.5. Darn it!

Nice hit Husker.

 

[HuskerFan1]

thanks hpark....

it was higher on sunday by 700k....picked up 150k on friday and 300k on saturday...that was the difference...arty:

4 new movies being released this week...pinny should have lines up in a couple hours....