My bad. I assumed you read the response in this thread. http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1002531&page=2&p=10782373&highlight=#post10782373
With regard to your opinion of LSU's offense: Their strength is the offensive line and their rushing game. Their approach today will be to run right at Ole Miss' smaller play makers instead of around them. This will be effective as long as the down distance doesn't make them predictable. Look for LSU to employ this strategy with success, but only if they can throw the ball enough to avoid being overly predictable, and avoid facing eight or nine men in the box. LSU can’t afford to always run on first and second down and then be faced with an obvious passing situation on third-and-long. In his midweek radio show, Les Miles implied that they will dial up a passing play about 50% of the time on first down unless they are in need of running out the clock, and I hope that’s the case.
Also, Bo Wallace is known to be somewhat erratic. Although there’s been much more of “Good Bo” than “Bad Bo,” I can’t help but believe that if LSU is able to keep Wallace uncomfortable by bringing the heat from the edge with Jamal Adams and Danielle Hunter, good things will happen for LSU.
Against Alabama, A&M, and Tennessee, the Rebels benefited from a combined turnover ratio of 9-1. The Tigers can’t afford to be on the losing end of the turnover margin in today’s game. Like turnovers, hidden yards generated by special teams could be very significant today. (Think punt returns, field position, etc.). Last week LSU’s special teams were outstanding, and if they can get similar production from his units in this contest, it might very well be the difference in the game.
Good stuff. I agree with you on a lot of it, but there's a lot of "if's" in there, if you know what I mean.
If LSU can run enough to make play action effective. If LSU can get pressure on Bo(he hasn't turned the ball over in 4 SEC games). If they can win the TO battle(Ole Miss has done a fantastic job creating turnovers in conference play). If they can win ST's(Ole Miss has one of the best kick and punt coverage teams in the country, is really good in kick return, but is awful in punt return).
IMO, LSU's biggest advantage here is their kicker is much more reliable than Ole Miss. We have to get that figured out or it could cost us a game(including this one). They also do a much better job than Ole Miss in punt return, and they obviously run the ball better(not saying much, as neither of them have been great in that facet of the game this year).
I agree that LSU is going to have to throw the ball early more to be competitive here. I don't think they can just line up and run the ball and win this game. My opinion is that if people think that is what Miles is going to do, they are wrong. The one thing that worries me most(besides our kicking game), is that I fully expect Miles to have some trickery up his sleeve today. I think he knows he needs it, and I could see it being a difference maker tonight if LSU is to win the game.