Global Warming or Global Bullshit?

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[ Why has no DemoScum in the history of this forum, NEVER spoken out against the climate change scam? Brainless fucks. And, why did charlatan
Al Gore not respond to this wager that temps would not go up? Hmmm? ]



[h=1]Kesten C. Green: Climate Bet 10 Years on: What Became of Al Gore’s ‘Tipping Point’?[/h]
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ap_ap-photo984-wi-640x427.jpg
The Associated Press

by KESTEN C. GREEN9 Feb 2018284
[h=2]In 2007, University of Pennsylvania Professor J. Scott Armstrongchallenged former U.S. Vice President Al Gore to a bet on what would happen to global average temperatures over the following 10 years.[/h]Armstrong’s challenge was in response to Gore’s warning of a looming dangerous “tipping point” in global mean temperatures. His proposal of a $10,000 bet was intended to draw attention to the need to assess the predictive validity of climate forecasts in an objective manner. Armstrong issued his challenge based on the knowledge that predictions of dangerous global warming were the product of methods that violated 72 of 89 forecasting principles relevant to the forecasting problem.
Emails to Gore were unproductive: after several attempts at engagement, his staff informed Armstrong that Gore did not take bets. The important question of whether public policies should be based on the alarming projections remained, so Armstrong commissioned theclimatebet.com site to track how the bet would have turned out had Gore accepted.
At the time of the challenge, Gore warned that the climate was warming at such a rate that, without immediate action, disasters would occur. His book Assault on Reason — published in April 2007 — stated that: “Many scientists are now warning that we are moving closer to several ‘tipping points’ that could — within as little as ten years — make it impossible for us to avoid irretrievable damage of the planet’s habitability for human civilization.”
Formulating the Climate Bet
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Gore’s warning was not directly testable: he failed to provide a quantitative forecast. The 2001 U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report’s “business as usual” projection of 3°C per-century was used to stand for Gore’s forecast. Adopting the IPCC projection favored Gore, as it was less extreme than his “tipping point” alarm.
Armstrong bet that the global mean temperature would not change; in other words, that temperature increases and decreases would tend to balance out over time. That forecast is consistent with a statement in the aforementioned IPCC technical report: “In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
The bet was monitored monthly using satellite data on lower troposphere temperaturesfrom researchers at the University of Alabama at Huntsville. In contrast to surface data, these satellite data cover the whole Earth, are fully disclosed, and are not contaminated by poor maintenance and location of weather stations, changes from mercury to electronic measurement, and unexplained adjustments.
In calling for the rapid implementation of expensive policies, Gore was presumably highly confident about his alarming forecast. Armstrong was not: a simulation using 150 years of temperature data suggested that, due to natural variation in global temperatures, his chance of winning a bet for as short a period as ten years was only 70 percent.
Findings
Gore’s warning of dangerous warming was based on the predictions of experts. Experts, however, have a poor record in forecasting. Politicians are not exceptions. As Winston Churchill observed, “The most essential qualification for a politician is the ability to foretell what will happen tomorrow, next month, and next year, and then to explain afterwards why it did not happen.”

The most effective way to compare the accuracy of forecasts from different forecasting methods is the relative cumulative absolute error. By that measure (measure 1 in the table), the no-change forecast errors were 12 percent smaller than those of the IPCC dangerous warming projection. Seven other measures are provided to help readers draw their own conclusions as to whether, with the benefit of hindsight, it would have been better in 2007 to plan for a tipping point, or no change, over the next decade.
kesten_graph1.png
* For detailed findings table and technical details see here.
Ten More Years
Longer is better for assessing climate forecasts, and so Armstrong has agreed to extend the bet for another ten years, sticking with the original 2007 global mean temperature as the starting point. This time he has reason to be more confident. Validation tests published two years after the original bet compared no-change model forecasts with IPCC dangerous warming forecasts for horizons from one to 100 years, and found that no-change forecasts were considerably more accurate; especially over longer horizons. That study, followed all of the relevant scientific forecasting principles, with only a minor exception. To our knowledge, the study remains the only peer-reviewed paper published in a scientific journal that provides scientific forecasts of long-term global mean temperatures.
kesten-graph2.png
* See data here (updated January 4, 2018 from Version 6.0 as of April 2015)
Kesten C. Green (kesten.green@unisa.edu.au) teaches managerial economics in the University of South Australia Business School.
 

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Tonight 6 inches of snow

4 days later Wednesday 71 degrees :beavis1::beavis1::beavis1:
 

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6 inches as advertised

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 21
DAY
70°HI
Nice and warm with intervals of clouds and sunshine
 

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Tell me it's okay for it to be 70 degrees on February 21 Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))Slapping-silly90))
 

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The record high is 59 degrees set in 1991.

Will be a new record looks like 64

Tomorrow 71 @):)
 

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I'm going swimming in February @):)
 

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TODAY













FEB 21
Sunny77[SUP]°[/SUP]45[SUP]°[/SUP]20%WSW 12 mph60%
 

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Yesterday 81

Today 37 :beavis1::beavis1::beavis1:
 
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[ Another Global Warming Scam prediction gone way wrong ]

[h=1]Delingpole: Penguin ‘Supercolony’ Discovered in Antarctica; Another Global Warming Scare Story Bites the Dust[/h] 5790






penguin-colony-640x480.png
AP/Maxi Jonas

by James Delingpole4 Mar 20181,510
[h=2]Researchers in Antarctica have discovered a supercolony of 1.5 million Adélie penguins whose existence was previously unknown to biologists.[/h]According to Science News:
On an expedition to an icy island chain off the Antarctic Peninsula’s northern tip, researchers discovered a massive supercolony of more than 1.5 million Adélie penguins, according to a study published March 2 in Scientific Reports.
Scientists had known of an Adélie penguin colony (Pygoscelis adeliae) in these Danger Islands, but satellite images revealed more guano on the rocky islands than could be explained by the colony’s expected numbers.
Even though the tiny island chain is only about 10 kilometers across, researchers hadn’t realized the extent of the penguin population, says study coauthor Heather Lynch, an ecologist at Stony Brook University in New York. “In the Antarctic, distances are so vast, something major could be just around the corner and you wouldn’t know.”
Obviously this is great news for Adélie penguin fans. But terrible news for environmentalists. The penguin is what you might call their ‘polar bear of the south’ – that is, the cute, lovable, telegenic species most frequently cited in their propaganda stories about polar critters threatened by “climate change.”
Here are a few examples.
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From the WWF website:
Adélie penguins are increasing in Antarctica. However, in areas where climate change is established, Adélie populations have fallen by more than 65% in the past 25 years. The biggest threat to them right now is climate change (other penguins, like gentoos, are better adapted to warmer climates).
From a NASA-funded study:
In a paper published June 29 in the journal Scientific Reports, the researchers project that approximately 30 percent of current Adélie colonies may be in decline by 2060, and approximately 60 percent of the present population might be dwindling by 2099. They also found the penguins at more southerly sites in Antarctica may be less affected by climate change.
From a CBS News story, headlined ’11 Species Threatened by Climate Change’
As global warming reshapes the Antarctic coast, the Adélie penguin could be one of the many species that suffers. The loss of sea ice coverage is expected to negatively impact its annual migration and winter survival while projected heavier snowfall could reduce the suitability of nest sites.
From a Guardian yarn headlined ‘Penguin disaster as only two chicks survive from colony of 40,000’
Elsewhere, human pressures including climate change have already been having a severe impact on the numbers of Adélie penguins. On the Antarctic Peninsula, which has been badly affected by climate change, populations have been decreasing, and some researchers suggest they may become extinct there.
And – my favorite – check out this hysterical quote offered to the Independent by the WWF ‘s Head of Polar Programs, talking about the Adélie penguin breeding problem:
“This devastating event contrasts with the Disney image that many people might have of penguins. It’s more like ‘Tarantino does Happy Feet’, with dead penguin chicks strewn across a beach in Adélie Land.
[I would so pay to see that movie.]
Anyway, you get the idea. Even before this discovery, the Adélie penguin was in no more in danger of extinction than the polar bear – and for much the same reasons: because there are lots and lots and lots of them; because there is no evidence that they are in any way troubled by “climate change.”
Now, 1.5 million more of the pesky critters have been discovered out of the blue. And for all we know – the experts clearly don’t – this could be the first of many supercolonies which have hitherto evaded the attentions of Antarctic research teams.
Oh – one more thing (H/T Dave Burton in the comments at Paul Homewood’s): this new colony has been discovered at the very tip of the Antarctic peninsula. That is, at the warmest part of the Antarctic. In other words, we have a supercolony thriving under exactly the conditions that alarmist ecologists are telling us will prove disastrous for the penguins because climate change.
Climate alarmism: it really is now way, way beyond the realms of satire, is it not?
 

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The fool is at it again.

Gore travels to Dubai, warns: ‘Global warming’ triggering ‘flying rivers, rain bombs’

Gore issues new climate warning: Bizarre weather such as “flying rivers” and “rain bombs”
are just some of the recent effects of climate change, warned former US vice-president
Al Gore at the Global Education and Skills Forum (GESF) in Dubai on Sunday...global weather
is becoming “extreme” and “disruptive”, mainly because of global warming Gore said.

You've got to be shitting me, flying rivers and rain bombs? WTF is that?
How can anyone possibly take him seriously?
 
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[ Liberals are so fucking stupid. ]

[h=1]Los Angeles painting city streets white in bid to combat climate change[/h]By Travis Fedschun | Fox News





1523372114843.jpg

Officials in Los Angeles are painting streets white to reduce the effect of urban "heat islands." (LA Street Services)



California officials are hoping their latest attempt to stem the rising tides of climate change leads to a more socially conscious -- and cooler -- summer.
Officials in Los Angeles have been painting streets white to reduce the effect of urban "heat islands" and combat the effects of climate change.
The LA Street Services began rolling out the project last May, which preliminary testing shows has reduced the temperature of roadways by up to 10 degrees. The project involves applying a light gray coating of the product CoolSeal, made by the company GuardTop.


"CoolSeal is applied like conventional sealcoats to asphalt surfaces to protect and maintain the quality and longevity of the surface," according to the company website. "While most cool pavements on the market are polymer based, CoolSeal is a water-based, asphalt emulsion."
While each coasting could can last up to seven years, they are also pricey, with the estimated cost of $40,000 per mile, the L.A. Daily News reported.
1523372233477.jpg

Each coating of CoolSeal is estimated to cost $40,000 a mile, city officials told the LA Daily News. (LA Street Services)


CoolSeal does pass the California skid test in addition to the slip test for wet traction, and is applied in two coats, each 50 microns thick, over an asphalt roadway or a slurry-sealed asphalt roadway, according to the streets department.
BOY, 13, FOUND ALIVE AFTER FALLING INTO LOS ANGELES DRAINAGE DITCH 'MAZE'
By reducing the temperature of the city streets, officials say it can help reduce temperatures in the neighborhoods where the sealant is applied.
With its numerous streets and freeways, Los Angeles suffers from the "heat island" effect, which causes urban regions to become warmer than their rural surroundings, forming an "island" of higher temperatures.
1523372302173.jpg

The sealant has reduced roadway temperatures by up to 10 degrees in testing. (LA Street Services)


"Heat islands occur on the surface and in the atmosphere," according to the Environmental Protection Agency. "On a hot, sunny summer day, the sun can heat dry, exposed urban surfaces, such as roofs and pavement, to temperatures 50–90°F hotter than the air1, while shaded or moist surfaces—often in more rural surroundings—remain close to air temperatures."
Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, who may make a run for president in 2020, has used the project as part of an overall plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the city by 45 percent below 1990 levels by 2025.
"Climate change is a fact of life that people in Los Angeles and cities around the world live with every day. It is a grave threat to our health, our environment, and our economy — and it is not debatable or negotiable," he said in a statement last year after President Trump said he would walk away from the Paris Climate Agreement.


 
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$40,000 per mile to reduce the temperature on the road by "up to 10 degrees."

Is there anyone willing to stand up to these brainless idiots in California?

You couldn't pay me enough to live in that shit hole.


[ Liberals are so fucking stupid. ]

Los Angeles painting city streets white in bid to combat climate change

By Travis Fedschun | Fox News





1523372114843.jpg

Officials in Los Angeles are painting streets white to reduce the effect of urban "heat islands." (LA Street Services)



California officials are hoping their latest attempt to stem the rising tides of climate change leads to a more socially conscious -- and cooler -- summer.
Officials in Los Angeles have been painting streets white to reduce the effect of urban "heat islands" and combat the effects of climate change.
The LA Street Services began rolling out the project last May, which preliminary testing shows has reduced the temperature of roadways by up to 10 degrees. The project involves applying a light gray coating of the product CoolSeal, made by the company GuardTop.


"CoolSeal is applied like conventional sealcoats to asphalt surfaces to protect and maintain the quality and longevity of the surface," according to the company website. "While most cool pavements on the market are polymer based, CoolSeal is a water-based, asphalt emulsion."
While each coasting could can last up to seven years, they are also pricey, with the estimated cost of $40,000 per mile, the L.A. Daily News reported.
1523372233477.jpg

Each coating of CoolSeal is estimated to cost $40,000 a mile, city officials told the LA Daily News. (LA Street Services)


CoolSeal does pass the California skid test in addition to the slip test for wet traction, and is applied in two coats, each 50 microns thick, over an asphalt roadway or a slurry-sealed asphalt roadway, according to the streets department.
BOY, 13, FOUND ALIVE AFTER FALLING INTO LOS ANGELES DRAINAGE DITCH 'MAZE'
By reducing the temperature of the city streets, officials say it can help reduce temperatures in the neighborhoods where the sealant is applied.
With its numerous streets and freeways, Los Angeles suffers from the "heat island" effect, which causes urban regions to become warmer than their rural surroundings, forming an "island" of higher temperatures.
1523372302173.jpg

The sealant has reduced roadway temperatures by up to 10 degrees in testing. (LA Street Services)


"Heat islands occur on the surface and in the atmosphere," according to the Environmental Protection Agency. "On a hot, sunny summer day, the sun can heat dry, exposed urban surfaces, such as roofs and pavement, to temperatures 50–90°F hotter than the air1, while shaded or moist surfaces—often in more rural surroundings—remain close to air temperatures."
Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, who may make a run for president in 2020, has used the project as part of an overall plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the city by 45 percent below 1990 levels by 2025.
"Climate change is a fact of life that people in Los Angeles and cities around the world live with every day. It is a grave threat to our health, our environment, and our economy — and it is not debatable or negotiable," he said in a statement last year after President Trump said he would walk away from the Paris Climate Agreement.


 

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Snow flurries today

75 degrees Saturday.....About time
 

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@):) 80 degrees in the Big Apple today @):)
 

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Yesterday 78 degrees

Today 44 degrees ##)##)##)##)##)##)##)##)##)##)##)
 

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Is this still even an issue? Dumbest concoction scam bullshit by the lying scum reject dipshit libtards ever. Scam
 

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