German Weekend

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sunday early games:

Düsseldorf- München: Düsseldorf pk,-0.5 @ 1.95

Düsseldorf with three losses so far, but actually not playing so bad. they are a very strong home team and their home loss to Berlin was the first since almost 2 years. they have their playmaker christ avaiable again today which should give them a boost to continue the home dominance.
München also playing well but loosing both away games. it will be a close game, but i trust home strength over away weakness.

Bielefeld-Ingolstad: Bielefeld pk,-0.5 @ 2.01 and over 2.5 @ 1.91 !! 2 units!!

Both teams at the bottom with 0 points. For Bielefeld that s a big negative surprise, for Ingolstadt it s not expected but they were picked to play against relegation anyway. main problem of both teams is a lack of defense. all three games of both teams went over the number so far and not only by conceiding, but also they scored themselves in every match (Bielefeld 1-2,1-2,1-3;Ingolst 1-4,1-4,1-2). so both teams should get on the board against the other s weak defense.
Schedule wise Bielefeld had the much stronger opposition so far, playing Frankfurt,Cottbus and Berlin and you can understand loosing these game somehow.Ingolstadt had a tough start too vs. Duisburg and Augsburg but loosing at home vs. a mediocre Oberhausen shows some lack in quality...Bielefled the better team here and at home should get their first points in a high scoring game.

Augsburg- Osnabrück: Augsburg -1,1.5 @ 1.99

Augsburg preseason fav got off to a flying start with 3 wins, while oSnbarück will play against relegation and finally got their first points in last week s 3-2 home win..that should take some pressure off them ,so they are not to desperate for points here. Augsburg the much better team playing at home.

Aue- Duisburg: Duisburg pk @ 1.80

Aue will be a mid table team. they have a strong defense but not particular good offense. Duisburg as Augsburg one of the pre-season favs for promotion had also a great start with 3 wins. they are scoring lots of goals and have shown with away win at Osnabrück that they are also capable of winning on the road. they should at least not loose that with a very good chance for a win.

back with 1.Liga in a few.

BOL so far.
 

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1. Bundesliga

St-Pauli- Hamburg: Hamburg -0.5 @ 2.00 and over 2.5@ 1.87

that s the highly anticipated in-town derby. the small st.pauli meets the big HSV. it s the first time for ages that this match happens and whole city is lookingforward to it.
for the first time this derby is played in the small st.pauli stadion straight on the famous "Reeperbahn" (so far in history they played it always in HSV arena to allow more fans in).
And this is already the only factor going here in favour for St.Pauli. they are playing in their normal home arena and HSV players will experience a heated atmosphere. still overall Hamburger SV is the much bettter team here and after a start with 7 points from 3 games they have shown already soild form this season.
St.Pauli started season with a 3-1 away win at Freiburg ,but you have to see that they were down by a goal with 10 minutes to go. this was followed up with losses to Hoffenheim and Köln.
overall this will be a very physical and open game as St.Pauli will show off lots of pride and will not sit back. that should leave enough room for HSV to get the win and use their technical advantage.
as i expect st.pauli not sitting back doesnt matter what the score will be and Hamburg sometimes vulnurable on defense i also like both team getting on the board and therefore a great chance for an over..should be a fun game to watch if you are able to get a stream of it.
 

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Leverkusen- Nürnberg: Leverkusen -1,-1.5 @ 2.05

Leverkusen struggled a bit in last two games (loss to Gladbach and draw vs. Hannover) after a great start with win at Dortmund. but they have shown good form in thursday s 4-0 win over Rosenborg,which are no walk over.
At home they are usually very strong and their offense is especially powerful and high scoring.
They own Nürnberg over the last years, winning their last 4 home matches vs. them by at least 2 goals.
Nürnberg is expected to play against relegation this year and they have shown very mixed results so far, drawing at Gladbach and Hamburg and losing at home to Freiburg.
Leverkusen just the much better team and playing at home.
regarding the over i like the side much more. if this should go over Leverkusen has to score at least twice normally 3 times and thouls be enoughto cover the side bet
 

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Schalke- Dortmund: Schalke pk @ 1.78

That s the biggest derby we have in germany. clubs hate each other and a win in this game is more important than anything else. that s a big chance for schalke which is struggling so far this season loosing all three games + the ECL game at Lyon. still they are a solid team and expected to play for the championship and will come back. the derby today might be the right kickstart. they actually havent played badly in their losses (besides the Hannover match) and they own Dortmund lately , not loosing this match for quite some time.
Dortmund has a very solid start in the season and should be up for the task. i simply see this as a very open match and home advantage migh be the difference for Schalke, but a draw is also a good possibility.

BOL to all
 

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had an awful weekend...-11 units, giving everything back...will start againbuilding it up.

rec after last weekend 35-36 (-4.55 units) pushes rec as no play
 

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Midweek session

Tuesday

1.Bundesliga

Mainz- Köln: Köln +0.5 @ 2.04

Mainz is surprise of season so far, winning all 4 games playing great offense, but actually counter attack football. they had a favourable schedule so far for their way of football as they played team that like an open-style game. today will be different. Köln is ,especially away, a very solid and defensive minded team. Mainz cannot play the type of football of first 4 games today and i see them struggling to make the play and break down a defensive minded team.
they are also absolutely hyped here in germany and they are in danger of getting influenced by that.
Köln came back strong after starting the season with two losses winning at home to st.pauli and drawing 0-0 at bayern München...what has changed for them in these games? they played back to their strength of last season with a defense firt approach and were easily able to handle eben the bayern offense mainly strengthend by the comeback of their defensive leader Geromel (who missed first 2 games). today they are also welcome back their captain Mohammad who was suspended and will even more strengthen the defense.
Both teams will be confident after recent results and i see a very tight game...this might come down to who scores first and i see this as a difficult matchup for Mainz.

Hannover Bremen: over 3 @ 1.95

Hannover is a high scoring team especially at home at both ends (scoring and conceiding). Bremen has big injury problems,especially on defense. i think there only chance is scoring,which they havent done in last two matches, but should be able vs. a weak hannover defense.

Hoffenheim- München: under 2.5 @ 2.04

i think münchen has a good chance to get out of the slump today, but at -0.5 it s not the right price for me.
i like more the under. München is struggling to score at the moment, but plays quite solid defense. their result including the ECL-ROma match are 2-1,0-2,0-0,2-0,0-0...lot s of under so far. Hoffenheim although havbing already 2 overs this season tends also to have a different approach this season and goes from a strong defense. i see scoring chances at a premium for today as both teams in the end might be happy with a draw.
 

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2.Bundesliga

Cottbus- Fürth: Cottbus pk,-0.5 @1.92 and over 3 @ 2.02

Berlin- Karlsruhe: over 3 @1.90

BOL to all
 

"i had a hundy but i bet a grand"
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well that might be the quickest goal of the season no?...hoffenheim..wow...like the over 3 in the bremen game...cheers
 

"i had a hundy but i bet a grand"
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this bremen game should have about 6 goals in it by now..they need a lil more tachnique and less showboat when trying to tuck one in the back of the net
 

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