game over National Rasmussen Tracking Obama 50, McCain 44 Obama +6 sept 27

[Willie99]

"game over"

on a gambling forum no less hno:

 

[gtc08]

the surge worked because fox news told legend i aint the surged work.

 

[CapNCash]

Kerry was ahead 8 points in the weeks leading up to the election.

 

[BetIt]

Kerry was ahead 8 points in the weeks leading up to the election.

Find me one that showed this. He was up 6-8 in the summer but that was it. Tracking polls had Bush up a few in the weeks prior if I remember correctly.

 

[CapNCash]

From Rasmmussen website

"For polling data released during the week of September 28-October 3, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.0% Democratic, 33.6% Republican, and 27.4% unaffiliated. For the preceding week, September 21-27, 2008, the partisan weighting targets were 39.0% Democratic, 33.5% Republican, and 27.5% unaffiliated."

 

[gtc08]

capncash is fighting for his life right now trying to reason for his boy mccain.

 

[CapNCash]

yeah because what this country really needs is an inexperienced minority running it. As much as the media and clueless conspiracy types want to believe, its not going to happen

 

[barman]

From Rasmmussen website

"For polling data released during the week of September 28-October 3, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.0% Democratic, 33.6% Republican, and 27.4% unaffiliated. For the preceding week, September 21-27, 2008, the partisan weighting targets were 39.0% Democratic, 33.5% Republican, and 27.5% unaffiliated."

CAP, those numbers might appear skewed, but they accurately represent the political party breakdown of the voting public at large.

If a poll targeted and equal number of Repubs and Dems it would not be in balance with the actual voting population.

 

[barman]

Here in Florida, last stats I saw (in 2006) had us at about 44.5% Democrat, 37.5% Republican and about 18% Indy.

 

[BetIt]

CAP, those numbers might appear skewed, but they accurately represent the political party breakdown of the voting public at large.

If a poll targeted and equal number of Repubs and Dems it would not be in balance with the actual voting population.

very true

and they update it on a rolling basis

most polls (anyone worth a shit) use weighting

 

[Romanowski]

if thats true that would suggest republicans win elections because dems dont vote

weigh that in

 

[punter]

if thats true that would suggest republicans win elections because dems dont vote

weigh that in

One more thing you can thank Dubya for, there will be a record Dem turnout.

 

[gtc08]

yeah because what this country really needs is an inexperienced minority running it. As much as the media and clueless conspiracy types want to believe, its not going to happen

why? because you say so? who are you, your a nobody like the rest of us.

 

[Risk44]

why? because you say so? who are you, your a nobody like the rest of us.

Minority... Another Republican at his best...

 

[Dilrod]

The surge worked because we started bribing the Sunnis to stop killing people. Seriously.

 

[BetIt]

if thats true that would suggest republicans win elections because dems dont vote

weigh that in

uhhh....that's what they're doing.

they are weighing likely turnout (more dems will turnout this year the pubs)

it's why dems are always up by a few more in registered ...it's more drastic of a split then what they are weighing here