This was my response to another poster elsewhere but wanted to share more info. The main objection was that I discarded playoff games or the late season games in capping this Super Bowl..
Important factors for bettors to know...
IF I thought that current/recent play results weren't important - I wouldn't have posted KC to win the last 2 games vs Balt and Buffalo.
I compare season long stats and outcomes which includes turnovers and yardage - because thats the bigger and better sample of what teams are capable of.
**Its Baltimores' regular season stats AND WINS that were way off to their record.
**Same with Buffalo.
Ravens played many games vs backup QB's and teams with bad QB's. It was in the first post.
Buffalo came on at the end of the season, but they struggled in Miami in the season final and it was was too vivid to play them in the KC game. They had many problems all year.
But because they out- gained the Chiefs in a close game, makes KC much softer than the 27-24 win they had over Buffalo.
When you see that KC killed Miami - a week after Maimi played Buffalo -- it showed me that Miami was doomed in the KC deep freeze.
So when you ask about how theyre playing lately and you claim it is more important??? They are playing no better than they played during the season. The last 5 games down the stretch they lost to Buffalo and the last 4 after then they never played a good team. The played the Raiders - which they lost to, - Cincy with backups (like the Ravens played) and the never-win Chargers, THATS WHO AND HOW they played in the late part of the second half!
The odds makers made them the dog because the public was liking Baltimore even after the Miami lopsided win. But the masses were on Baltimore...
Remember... The media prediction for the SB was SF and Baltimore and the media kept saying that, to brainwash the public opinion to at the least, those expectations. That was pounded on Media when KC was playing below their standards in the season. Even after the first game when they lost to Detroit!
In the Bills game At Buffalo, KC was the dog because Buffalo beat them SU weeks before, 20-17 IN KC!
There is your example of how they played lately.
Buffalo won that game in yards in the playoff game... like I said. But lost on the scoreboard.
So NOW - in the SB - they have the public masses again ON the wrong team... just like the 2 games with KC and Balt and KC/Buff,..
The Bills played the Jets twice with no offense...Result??? any team would have won those games as well, if they were a playoff team.
And - even though the Jets won the first game, it showed that Buffalo wasnt going to be the team they were in the past at that point.
The Jets LOST Rodgers on the first series!
(IFyou like what Flacco did for Cleveland the Jets next year are the team to watch when Rodgers is back. They're well coached and have a solid defense).
ONLY - because the Chiefs played better defense all year was how they were my prediction in their last 2 games.'But they played TWO over-rated playoff teams based on competition level. Three (3) if you count Miami.
SF is NOT over rated and that again - is why none of your posts above (Window#51) that are simply challenging all my factors, will have have any effect on this SB game.
I also think that Detroit and Green Bay were true to the numbers and not over rated in any way. Thats importamt!
For the last time.
SF won all their games vs playoff teams (With Winning records) during the season and KC didn't.
GL to all of the forum readers.
Tutow
