I agreee with you about players being out, but it's still the college level - and the player skill separation isnt always as critical as we believe sometimes.
I also know Saban is one coach who finds a way to win after close games and his stall full of Stallions that usually come back stronger after those games.
In addition - I dont believe that Texas is as good now, as they were a year ago. Its a great program but they have half of their defense back from a year ago.
Traveling to Bama without a top ten defense for Texas is a plus for the Tide.
Last year Bama had one of their 2 lowest total yardage games on offense in that game. Their two lowest totals were both road games.
This is a game that will be completely different in overall performance and I expect that Texas will never reach the play level they had last year at home in Texas again, now playing in Bama.
The line on LY game was Bama -21. Now its only 7.5 because the public watched a great game LY that Bama should have lost, but ended up winning 20-19..
But in real capping factors - with a Bama team that historically reloads with superior talent every time - even after only returning 10 total players and a new QB - that program with never have a 14 point spread correction, especially now playing at home.
Appreciate the feedback and your view on the game.
Hope you have a great week..