*****G-Man's College Plays. 2024 Aug24-Sept 2nd.*****

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Thursday
Minnesota +2 over North Carolina.. 4 units

Line crossed over. Minn open was -1.
Loss of Starting NFL grade QB is a hard replacement. Just ask FSU.

Of 100 plus teams in College, only a dozen or so make it to the NFL draft, worthy of playing at the NFL level.
NC has lost theirs.
They did replace the loss of Drake Maye, they got a transfer from Texas AM. He is Max Johnson, a backup to King, at A&M .
Max averaged hitting 62% of his passes with 9 TD's and 5 ints. with a QB rating of 136.7 @A&M which is about average in College - but that was with a team that also returned a whopping 20 starters. 10 on offense -10 on defense.
NC is returning 13 this year with 7 on defense that allowed a not so solid 27 points per game.
Missesota retuned 16 starters with a Staring QB in their 5th straight season. Problems is they only averaged 21 points per game while allowing 27. A negative -6 scoring team..
Im Counting on the defense of Minnesota to win this and cover the number. Minny defensive talent should improve with 8 starters back. . IM looking for them to allow far less this year ,which NC may not be any better than last year by allowing 27.
With the returnees for Minn and the lack of an NFL grade QB for NC, I see the production number reversing from what they were a year ago - now in Minnesota's favor.

Fridy Aug 30th,

Wisconsin -23.5 over Western Michigan. 4 units

We have two teams on the rise. Both return Starting QB's. Wisconsin actually has a Transfer from Miami now as the possible starter. - Tyler VanDyke.
More importantly Wisky has a strong defense returning as they only allowed 2 teams to score more than 24 points LY.
Their problem was on offense where they only averaged 23 per game which was lowest in 5 years.
Can VanDyke improve on that number? In week one he should, because he is facing W.Mich who allowed 32 pts per game vs low level talent teams. Not on the level of the Big 10..
There may be a QB Duel in Wisky, with the starter LY was Brayden Locke. Not sure who will start this game?
W. Mich is also solid in returning starters. In fact, in the top 20 teams this year with 17 they have an an outstanding group of starters. .
The last time they returned 12 or more players, they ended up a winning team with a plus scoring advantage on the seasons.
That being said - means the point spread record from a ear ago will have a drastic effect in the outcome ATS this year..
W.Mich had only 2 games all year that were +24.5 and +28.5. They lost both ATS. But now they have a solid squad and amu cover this especially if Wisky plays 2 QB's in this somewhat easy opener.
Wisky also has another soft team next week, so basically Wisky is playing 2 non-divison foes who are not on the Big-Ten level.
Week three is a different story as they will face Alabama.
Knowing all this, is why I believe they will be experimenting with the QB scenarios in the first 2 games.
The goal this year For Minn is scoring on offense. The defense is already set.
Look for a big scoring game from Wisconsin today.


More on Friday
Atrocious pick with Wisconsin.
 

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Thursday
Minnesota +2 over North Carolina.. 4 units

Line crossed over. Minn open was -1.
Loss of Starting NFL grade QB is a hard replacement. Just ask FSU.

Of 100 plus teams in College, only a dozen or so make it to the NFL draft, worthy of playing at the NFL level.
NC has lost theirs.
They did replace the loss of Drake Maye, they got a transfer from Texas AM. He is Max Johnson, a backup to King, at A&M .
Max averaged hitting 62% of his passes with 9 TD's and 5 ints. with a QB rating of 136.7 @A&M which is about average in College - but that was with a team that also returned a whopping 20 starters. 10 on offense -10 on defense.
NC is returning 13 this year with 7 on defense that allowed a not so solid 27 points per game.
Missesota retuned 16 starters with a Staring QB in their 5th straight season. Problems is they only averaged 21 points per game while allowing 27. A negative -6 scoring team..
Im Counting on the defense of Minnesota to win this and cover the number. Minny defensive talent should improve with 8 starters back. . IM looking for them to allow far less this year ,which NC may not be any better than last year by allowing 27.
With the returnees for Minn and the lack of an NFL grade QB for NC, I see the production number reversing from what they were a year ago - now in Minnesota's favor.

Fridy Aug 30th,

Wisconsin -23.5 over Western Michigan. 4 units

We have two teams on the rise. Both return Starting QB's. Wisconsin actually has a Transfer from Miami now as the possible starter. - Tyler VanDyke.
More importantly Wisky has a strong defense returning as they only allowed 2 teams to score more than 24 points LY.
Their problem was on offense where they only averaged 23 per game which was lowest in 5 years.
Can VanDyke improve on that number? In week one he should, because he is facing W.Mich who allowed 32 pts per game vs low level talent teams. Not on the level of the Big 10..
There may be a QB Duel in Wisky, with the starter LY was Brayden Locke. Not sure who will start this game?
W. Mich is also solid in returning starters. In fact, in the top 20 teams this year with 17 they have an an outstanding group of starters. .
The last time they returned 12 or more players, they ended up a winning team with a plus scoring advantage on the seasons.
That being said - means the point spread record from a ear ago will have a drastic effect in the outcome ATS this year..
W.Mich had only 2 games all year that were +24.5 and +28.5. They lost both ATS. But now they have a solid squad and amu cover this especially if Wisky plays 2 QB's in this somewhat easy opener.
Wisky also has another soft team next week, so basically Wisky is playing 2 non-divison foes who are not on the Big-Ten level.
Week three is a different story as they will face Alabama.
Knowing all this, is why I believe they will be experimenting with the QB scenarios in the first 2 games.
The goal this year For Minn is scoring on offense. The defense is already set.
Look for a big scoring game from Wisconsin today.


More on Friday
Wisconsin pick was completely wrong.
 

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Man…. Wisconsin was the wrong side tonight. They looked like ass!
Yeah,
Like I wrote up - we had to see what VanDyke was going to do. he was a big improvement. But they ran the ball too much with 46 carries that killed clock and yards per play.

The Wisky defense was napping a bit
But in 1st downs and total yardage the Badgers should have done more on both sides of the ball.

Next game Wisconsin should get the advantage against the spread.
WMU will get too much attention, for keeping the score close.

No Complains on Oklahoma?

5-1 so far with lines on game day thru Friday..
4-1-1. posted.
 

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G. man......continue those winning ways.....
BOL with all your Sat. action buddy.....indy
 

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3:30PM
Eastern Michigan +2.5 over UMass. 3 units

Miami, Oh +3 over North Western. 3 units

7:45PM
Kentucky -25.5 over So.Miss. 4 units

Tex A&M -3 over Notre Dame 4 units
 

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USC +4 over LSU . 4 units
Under 67. 4 units

Lots to consider here. Both teams lost their starting QB's and both were extremely good with passer ratings of over 170 and 192 last season.

This is important today, because Both teams will never achieve the average scoring per game as a year ago when they were scoring 42 and 46 pts per game.

The main reason the scoring was high, was because they had overwhelming percentages on 1st downs by passing the ball.

Thats going to diminish the success in yards passing per attempt this year which makes the field longer per play.
Neither team was good defensively last year - but now both are facing much lower scoring potentials with each team today.
Im with USC because they returned 9 defensive starters and that where the advantage is in this game today.
Last time they did that 4 years ago - they allowed only 26 pts per game.
Now last note; Road games are lower scoring and Both teams are on the road!

Remember the Ga Tech game last Saturday...
 

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If you are comparing this game to last week's Ga Tech game, you should take note that Ga Tech had a veteran OLine.....similar to what LSU brings to tonight's game. All five starters returned as well as both running backs and both tight ends.
 
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LSUpete, you make a great point! I agree with you about the LSU OL and expect a forceful rush game from the Tigers tonight. I am on the Under as well. We shall see I guess.
 

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LSUpete, you make a great point! I agree with you about the LSU OL and expect a forceful rush game from the Tigers tonight. I am on the Under as well. We shall see I guess.
Youre a rookie (likely an alias) trolling my thread. If you liked LSU so much why didnt you post it in your own thread. Bullshit!
Stay out of my threads.
 

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If you are comparing this game to last week's Ga Tech game, you should take note that Ga Tech had a veteran OLine.....similar to what LSU brings to tonight's game. All five starters returned as well as both running backs and both tight ends.
You should have known that the starting QB's were both replaced from LY. The advantage WAS on the So/Cal defense. That was the difference in the game for BOTH PLAYS withe the UNDER!

Your LSU offense managed just 117 yds rushing which was well below the team that they were last year, who averaged 205 yds per game.
When a team returns 9 starters on defense, they usually allow less points/gm than the previous year.
I explained that in the write up.

The Big Scoring teams they were last year - were what usually happens when you lose NFL grade QB's/ The scoring production was HALF today, from last year by BOTH teams.
Just LIKE FSU!!!
So NO! I was correct in why this game was like the FSU/GT game last week. And the result was the same. The Under Dog won SU and it happened again here iwith USC...

I responded to you, because no one ever stops back in to say there were wrong when posting in some else's treads.
YOU DID IT ON NOTHER GAME BUT I LET IT GO when you told me Wisconsin was the wrong side AFTER the game lost,. Not cool.
I did tell you what I thought about the game . But didnt chime about your negativity trolling towards me then .
I never went into your posts and SAID "Man you were wrong" and bumped a thread. You even instigated another asshole (Jackleg) to do it . Trolls...
You've been here since 2004? and you troll now? WOW!
BOL in the future.
 

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Hey what the fuck asshole?

it’s a gambling forum where people are intended to share ideas. I didn’t post anything insulting or inflammatory…..just shared an opinion on a thread. now that I know you want to post without any interaction, I’ll stay out of your threads. But wow….what a cunt.
 
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Youre a rookie (likely an alias) trolling my thread. If you liked LSU so much why didnt you post it in your own thread. Bullshit!
Stay out of my threads.
I am neither a rookie nor a troll.

I don't think I know a single person on this forum either personally, professionally, or from the internet world. I was actually agreeing with your play, which I liked. I just happened to respond to LSUpete, who I felt was also agreeing with your play, because I liked his note of the comparable OL experience. I was actually trying to be friendly to the both of you. For the record, I did post the play in my own thread and had the same play as you, Under 67. You made note of 9 returning starters for USC on D while I made note of the change in DC's and the fact that I felt the USC defense could be the most improved individual unit in the country. Same apple, peeled a different way.

I don't really respond too much or post a lot but thought it would be fun to engage a little during football season because I enjoy college football so much. I guess not. The internet is a weird place. If you prefer to make enemies because the angst and presumptive oppression motivates you in some way, OK, but it's not for me. I will stay out of your threads. Congrats on the wins, have a great season.
 

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Was Kentucky game scored only playing 3 quarters with sportsbooks?

Bengals according to what I’ve read should have zero problems with Patriots. My feeling is this game is over before halftime with the Chiefs on deck.

Speaking of Chiefs….. Tough seeing them and for them to lose 1st 2 at home…..
 

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USC +4 over LSU . 4 units
Under 67. 4 units

Lots to consider here. Both teams lost their starting QB's and both were extremely good with passer ratings of over 170 and 192 last season.

This is important today, because Both teams will never achieve the average scoring per game as a year ago when they were scoring 42 and 46 pts per game.

The main reason the scoring was high, was because they had overwhelming percentages on 1st downs by passing the ball.

Thats going to diminish the success in yards passing per attempt this year which makes the field longer per play.
Neither team was good defensively last year - but now both are facing much lower scoring potentials with each team today.
Im with USC because they returned 9 defensive starters and that where the advantage is in this game today.
Last time they did that 4 years ago - they allowed only 26 pts per game.
Now last note; Road games are lower scoring and Both teams are on the road!

Remember the Ga Tech game last Saturday...
Yo, I don’t troll, but I did follow you in baseball without posting responses.

Just been biding time and saving money till football.

Maybe it’s because when they were played, and that nothing else was on, but the two games that stick out in my mind are FSU/Georgia Tech and USC/LSU.

I don’t know why I didn’t give you more credit and cred. You nailed all three (I’m including the total for USC). And you had the balls to go with the Georgia Tech moneyline when it’s sideline was 10 1/2.

Congrats on those. I will follow you more. Follow as in copy, join, replicate, duplicate, wager-ate, etc.-ate.

I hope everyone in this forum is respectful and shares in a unity of siblinghood. I would say brotherhood but don’t want to get canceled.

Seriously, I don’t see the usefulness of calling out another’s losing plays and then calling posters names. If everybody did that, this forum will be filled with “you can’t pick worth a shit you fucking loser” posts.

Civili discourse and respectful dissent, along with meaningful praise and accolades when appropriate, is what would bring me back here more, rather than what’s across the street.

We are all in this together to win.

Here’s to a good season for all (except the books).
 

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