*****G-Man's College Plays. 2024 Aug24-Sept 2nd.*****

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Monday Night!
FSU -16.5. over Boston College. 3 units

The FSU defense has one major weakness. The defense against the run game.
It also is facing another team who had a great run game much like GT last week. BC averaged 4.7 yds/rush which is producing 198 yards per game.

The passing game for BC was below average LY with the same starting QB this year. They averaged only179/gm in the air.
These two faced off early LY and BC was a 25pt dog @home, but stayed it with a 31-29 loss to FSU.
Now traveling to The heat of Florida is a different story.
The opening line dropped from -21 to -16.5 because of the upset loss to GT last week,. But moving the line that much isnt the issue today. It's the QB problem now that FSU has with Uiagalelei.
He was only an average QB with a career rating of 130. He had one good year at Clemson with a 146 rating and one good year at Oregon State 145.

He hit 70% of his passes Last week vs GT for 193yds. But he is operating with a fraction of a team that FSU was last year with an NFL grade QB Jordan Travis who is now in the NFL.
FSU has exactly half the team they had a year ago on both sides of the ball. They have 5 on offense and 5 on defense.
FSU under Norvell had improved 4 straight years on defense, but this is the first time had has less than 7 starters return.
Add in the lack of the same offense that produced 35 points a game and we have a problem.
The defense did a good job vs GT last week by holding them to 24 points, but they need to do better than that now in this game with BC.

In head to head matchups, GT favored by -6, lost to BC last year, with basically the same 2 teams in tact this year. GT did have 3 turnovers in the loss. So - is BC really better than GT now?
All-in-all. I think FSU has the better-grade recruits as replacements.
Today. we'll find out in Florida.

 

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