MARCO D'ANGELO
ALCS GM 6 RED SOX/ASTROS WINNER
Game: (921) Boston Red Sox at (922) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Oct 22 2021 8:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C%
Play: Total Under 9.0 (-115) N Eovaldi (RHP), L Garcia (RHP) Must Start
C% (922) BOSTON/HOUSTON UNDER 9
I fully understand that this series has been an Over series but I have several reasons why I like the Under 9 Runs tonight. First off with the day off both teams will have all bull pen options available tonight. Houston starter Garcia did struggle last time out but it must be noted that was a day game. In his 12 home starts at night the UNDER was 10-2 with the average runs scored just 6.9 runs. With this being an elimination game Boston will be quick to pull Eovaldi if he gets into trouble but he has allowed 3 runs or less in 11 of his L12 starts. Lastly from the Houston side of things because Framber Valdez pitched an 8 inning gem the Astros have a well rested bull pen at their disposal tonight.
TAKE BOSTON/HOUSTON UNDER 9 as my C% GM 6 WINNER