JM Sports
Game: (979) San Francisco Giants at (980) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 9:40 PM EDT
Play Rating: E units
Play: San Francisco Giants +101 A Wood (LHP), J Kaprielian (RHP) Must Start
San Fransisco Giants (+101) over Oakland Athletics (Wood/Kaprielian) –
I am surprised this line came out where it did, I would have bet SF as a favorite in this game! They are sitting at almost 65% winning percentage TY & 60% on the road. Alex Wood on the mound for San Fran may have a 4.14 ERA but he sits at a record of 10-3 with the runs SF can put up. Wood is 3-0 in his L7 starts, on the road he is 3-1 in his 8 starts away from home, 6-3 w/ 4.18 ERA in 13 night starts. and he is 2-0 in his 6 starts after the AASB (with the team going 5-1, including 5-0 in the L5). The Giants offense has definitely backed up Wood this year, they are 15-6 in his 21 starts, including 4-0 in the L4 as an AF, 14-3 as a F (including 10 out of L11 & 8 in a row), they are 15-3 in his starts vs. RHP, and 14-1 vs. RHP w/ ERA > 3.00 (13-0 w/ a line < -110). Outside of Wood's starts the Giants are 14-3 on a day of rest, including 12-1 in the L13, and 14-2 when the line is less then 180 (including 8-1 vs. RHP), 6-1 when an opponent is off a W without rest (5 in a row) and they are 11-2 in the FGS vs. a RHP from a non-divisional team (including 11-1 w/ a line > -170). While Oakland is throwing Kaprielian, who has had an ERA of 6.32 in the L3 starts and the Athletics are 1-3 in his L4 night starts. The Athletics have struggled vs. left handed pitching as well they are 6-10 @ H vs. LHP w/ a line > -175 (including 4-8 in NDIV games, and 6 out of the L7), they are 1-6 in the L7 in the opening game of a series vs. LHP (including 0-6 when the line is > -200), they are 2-5 in the L7 in the first game of a series vs. non-divisional opponents. With the stats Wood has, you may not expect what you are getting, but even with his stat line it looks like the Athletics could struggle, they are 3-7 in the L10 vs. a LHP w/ a WHIP < 1.25 and a line ≥ -120 (including a 2-5 record when the line is also < 120), they are also 5-10 vs. LHP w/ an ERA > 4.00 (including 1-5 vs. WHIP < 1.25). Not to mention that the A's are 1-6 off a W when they got outhit w/ line > -150 and they are 0-3 w/o a day of rest and the opposing team coming off a day of rest.
Game: (979) San Francisco Giants at (980) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 9:40 PM EDT
Play Rating: E units
Play: San Francisco Giants +101 A Wood (LHP), J Kaprielian (RHP) Must Start
San Fransisco Giants (+101) over Oakland Athletics (Wood/Kaprielian) –
I am surprised this line came out where it did, I would have bet SF as a favorite in this game! They are sitting at almost 65% winning percentage TY & 60% on the road. Alex Wood on the mound for San Fran may have a 4.14 ERA but he sits at a record of 10-3 with the runs SF can put up. Wood is 3-0 in his L7 starts, on the road he is 3-1 in his 8 starts away from home, 6-3 w/ 4.18 ERA in 13 night starts. and he is 2-0 in his 6 starts after the AASB (with the team going 5-1, including 5-0 in the L5). The Giants offense has definitely backed up Wood this year, they are 15-6 in his 21 starts, including 4-0 in the L4 as an AF, 14-3 as a F (including 10 out of L11 & 8 in a row), they are 15-3 in his starts vs. RHP, and 14-1 vs. RHP w/ ERA > 3.00 (13-0 w/ a line < -110). Outside of Wood's starts the Giants are 14-3 on a day of rest, including 12-1 in the L13, and 14-2 when the line is less then 180 (including 8-1 vs. RHP), 6-1 when an opponent is off a W without rest (5 in a row) and they are 11-2 in the FGS vs. a RHP from a non-divisional team (including 11-1 w/ a line > -170). While Oakland is throwing Kaprielian, who has had an ERA of 6.32 in the L3 starts and the Athletics are 1-3 in his L4 night starts. The Athletics have struggled vs. left handed pitching as well they are 6-10 @ H vs. LHP w/ a line > -175 (including 4-8 in NDIV games, and 6 out of the L7), they are 1-6 in the L7 in the opening game of a series vs. LHP (including 0-6 when the line is > -200), they are 2-5 in the L7 in the first game of a series vs. non-divisional opponents. With the stats Wood has, you may not expect what you are getting, but even with his stat line it looks like the Athletics could struggle, they are 3-7 in the L10 vs. a LHP w/ a WHIP < 1.25 and a line ≥ -120 (including a 2-5 record when the line is also < 120), they are also 5-10 vs. LHP w/ an ERA > 4.00 (including 1-5 vs. WHIP < 1.25). Not to mention that the A's are 1-6 off a W when they got outhit w/ line > -150 and they are 0-3 w/o a day of rest and the opposing team coming off a day of rest.
Joseph D'Amico
Game: (403) Kansas City Chiefs at (404) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-115)
Both the Chiefs and the Cardinals won their NFL preseason openers. Kansas City is once again the top forecasted team to represent the AFC in February. Last season the Chiefs finished the regular season at 14-2 then ran through the Browns in the Division Playoff and the Bills in the Conference Championship. We don’t have to rehash it, but to say they were embarrassed by the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl is an understatement.
They came out and bested a highly-touted 49ers team last week, 19-16, earning the outright win. They did what they needed to do, which was to give their fans something to cheer about. If this was a regular-season matchup, I would look at this contest very differently. But, this is preseason football.
After Patrick Mahomes, their quarterback corps isn’t all that impressive. And let’s face it, as a team touted at 5/1 to win the 2022 Super Bowl, they are not going to jeopardize their playmakers too long in just Game 2 of the preseason.
Not too much is expected of Arizona this year. The Cardinals are picked to be last in the NFC West and most likely finish the campaign at 8-8. However, this is a team loaded with talent and not just at key starting roles. They also consist of some big names trying to make the No.2 and No.3 spots. Unlike KC (74 YR), ‘Zona did establish the run (168 YR) in their 19-16 win and cover against Dallas a week ago. They are looking to give their fans something to be excited about and contending and winning against this foe will do just that.
The Chiefs head coach, Andy Reid is not known to put forth too much effort in August, donning a 7-9 mark both SU and ATS the last four preseasons. Take the Cardinals +3. Thank you.
Game: (403) Kansas City Chiefs at (404) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-115)
Both the Chiefs and the Cardinals won their NFL preseason openers. Kansas City is once again the top forecasted team to represent the AFC in February. Last season the Chiefs finished the regular season at 14-2 then ran through the Browns in the Division Playoff and the Bills in the Conference Championship. We don’t have to rehash it, but to say they were embarrassed by the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl is an understatement.
They came out and bested a highly-touted 49ers team last week, 19-16, earning the outright win. They did what they needed to do, which was to give their fans something to cheer about. If this was a regular-season matchup, I would look at this contest very differently. But, this is preseason football.
After Patrick Mahomes, their quarterback corps isn’t all that impressive. And let’s face it, as a team touted at 5/1 to win the 2022 Super Bowl, they are not going to jeopardize their playmakers too long in just Game 2 of the preseason.
Not too much is expected of Arizona this year. The Cardinals are picked to be last in the NFC West and most likely finish the campaign at 8-8. However, this is a team loaded with talent and not just at key starting roles. They also consist of some big names trying to make the No.2 and No.3 spots. Unlike KC (74 YR), ‘Zona did establish the run (168 YR) in their 19-16 win and cover against Dallas a week ago. They are looking to give their fans something to be excited about and contending and winning against this foe will do just that.
The Chiefs head coach, Andy Reid is not known to put forth too much effort in August, donning a 7-9 mark both SU and ATS the last four preseasons. Take the Cardinals +3. Thank you.
Justin Perri
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/20 | 2:20 PM EDT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: I'll grab the Under for the day game today. Royals hitters are pretty bad on the road and especially against righthanded pitching. They face Zach Davies, who has a 2.85 ERA in day games compared to 6.10 at night. Davies also has done decently against weaker teams, which the Royals certainly are. The Cubs offense has been low-scoring over the last few weeks, and I think that even Brad Keller can keep Chicago in check. The total has gone Under in six of the last eight Royals road games and 16 of their last 24 games overall. The total has also gone Under seven of the last nine times these teams have met.
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/20 | 2:20 PM EDT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: I'll grab the Under for the day game today. Royals hitters are pretty bad on the road and especially against righthanded pitching. They face Zach Davies, who has a 2.85 ERA in day games compared to 6.10 at night. Davies also has done decently against weaker teams, which the Royals certainly are. The Cubs offense has been low-scoring over the last few weeks, and I think that even Brad Keller can keep Chicago in check. The total has gone Under in six of the last eight Royals road games and 16 of their last 24 games overall. The total has also gone Under seven of the last nine times these teams have met.
Action Network
These only win about 50% but are almost always big dogs That is how they turn a profit.These aren't for those looking for a high % win rate
MLB Picks: Marlins vs. Reds
Sharp Action
The line for Marlins vs. Reds opened up at Marlins +175 before hitting a low of +170 around 10 a.m. ET.
The moneyline has settled at a consensus of Marlins +165 as tracked by one bet signal.
Big Money
At the time of this writing, the 23% of bettors backing the Marlins have generated 44% of the money wagered on Friday’s matchup.
Top Experts
One of The Action Network’s top MLB experts is betting on the Miami Marlins.
PRO Report Pick: Marlins +165
These only win about 50% but are almost always big dogs That is how they turn a profit.These aren't for those looking for a high % win rate
MLB Picks: Marlins vs. Reds
Sharp Action
The line for Marlins vs. Reds opened up at Marlins +175 before hitting a low of +170 around 10 a.m. ET.
The moneyline has settled at a consensus of Marlins +165 as tracked by one bet signal.
Big Money
At the time of this writing, the 23% of bettors backing the Marlins have generated 44% of the money wagered on Friday’s matchup.
Top Experts
One of The Action Network’s top MLB experts is betting on the Miami Marlins.
PRO Report Pick: Marlins +165
DeMarco Crew
Trace Adams 1500* - Reds RL
Jay McNeil 75* - Wash Football Team
Mitchell Newman 50* - Yankees RL
Gus Augustine 200* (biggest release ever) - Rockies RL
Kirby Maxwell 40* - KC Chiefs
Chris Jordan 300* - Dbacks/Rockies OVER
Sean Michaels 25* - KC Chiefs 1st Half
Al DeMarco 10* - KC Chiefs 1st Half
Trace Adams 1500* - Reds RL
Jay McNeil 75* - Wash Football Team
Mitchell Newman 50* - Yankees RL
Gus Augustine 200* (biggest release ever) - Rockies RL
Kirby Maxwell 40* - KC Chiefs
Chris Jordan 300* - Dbacks/Rockies OVER
Sean Michaels 25* - KC Chiefs 1st Half
Al DeMarco 10* - KC Chiefs 1st Half
Matt Severance
CHI. WHITE SOX @ TAMPA BAY | 08/20 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY +1.5
ANALYSIS: I'm a White Sox fan so I hope they win (and probably would go to one of these games if the Trop wasn't such a dump and in an out-of-the-way location), but the Pale Hose are basically a .500 team on the road and the Rays are an absolute juggernaut at home. Yes, Tampa starting pitcher Michael Wacha has been pretty bad lately as Larry Hartstein mentioned on Early Edge in playing a Wacha Under prop, but the Rays have a very deep bullpen and I'm guessing Wacha has an incredibly short leash. On the flip side, the White Sox's Lucas Giolito has been wildly inconsistent. Frankly, whichever team was the underdog I would have taken at +1.5 in this one. Rays it is at -150.
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/20 | 2:20 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +1.5
ANALYSIS: I didn't like backing the Royals as outright moneyline favorites but also didn't like backing the Cubs as ML underdogs or at +1.5 at a big price. This ML has now flipped to where Chicago is favored so now I rather like Royals +1.5. I'm just not sure that Cubs lineup is good enough to win many games by more than one run and Kansas City may well win outright despite losing the DH. KC starter Brad Keller was awful to begin this year but has pitched into the seventh inning in five of his last seven starts and has a 3.83 ERA in those. Chicago's Zach Davies has a 5.18 home ERA.
MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/20 | 7:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -1.5
ANALYSIS: I generally don't tail other cappers here at SportsLine as like to make up my own mind, but scarily enough Justin Perri made great points on Early Edge (maybe I'll play the lottery today!) about the Yankees RL against the Twins tonight so I'll get on board. Minnesota rookie lefty Charlie Barnes probably will be a bit intimidated in his first-ever start at Yankee Stadium, and he was roughed up in his lone road start so far (Cincinnati). On the flip side, Yanks pitcher Nestor Cortes Jr. continues to surprise and has a 1.45 home ERA.
CHI. WHITE SOX @ TAMPA BAY | 08/20 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY +1.5
ANALYSIS: I'm a White Sox fan so I hope they win (and probably would go to one of these games if the Trop wasn't such a dump and in an out-of-the-way location), but the Pale Hose are basically a .500 team on the road and the Rays are an absolute juggernaut at home. Yes, Tampa starting pitcher Michael Wacha has been pretty bad lately as Larry Hartstein mentioned on Early Edge in playing a Wacha Under prop, but the Rays have a very deep bullpen and I'm guessing Wacha has an incredibly short leash. On the flip side, the White Sox's Lucas Giolito has been wildly inconsistent. Frankly, whichever team was the underdog I would have taken at +1.5 in this one. Rays it is at -150.
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/20 | 2:20 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +1.5
ANALYSIS: I didn't like backing the Royals as outright moneyline favorites but also didn't like backing the Cubs as ML underdogs or at +1.5 at a big price. This ML has now flipped to where Chicago is favored so now I rather like Royals +1.5. I'm just not sure that Cubs lineup is good enough to win many games by more than one run and Kansas City may well win outright despite losing the DH. KC starter Brad Keller was awful to begin this year but has pitched into the seventh inning in five of his last seven starts and has a 3.83 ERA in those. Chicago's Zach Davies has a 5.18 home ERA.
MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/20 | 7:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -1.5
ANALYSIS: I generally don't tail other cappers here at SportsLine as like to make up my own mind, but scarily enough Justin Perri made great points on Early Edge (maybe I'll play the lottery today!) about the Yankees RL against the Twins tonight so I'll get on board. Minnesota rookie lefty Charlie Barnes probably will be a bit intimidated in his first-ever start at Yankee Stadium, and he was roughed up in his lone road start so far (Cincinnati). On the flip side, Yanks pitcher Nestor Cortes Jr. continues to surprise and has a 1.45 home ERA.
