Friday 9/26/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Jim Feist

Comp MLB Pick for Friday, September 26, 2014: 7:10 PM EST

(981) HOUSTON ASTROS VS (982) NEW YORK METS

Take: (981) HOUSTON ASTROS

Reason: Your free pick for Friday, September 26th comes in interleague play as the Houston Astros and the Mets meet in New York. The Mets are favored but have a losing home record. The Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague home games, 2-6 in Jon Niese's last 8 starts during game 1 of a series. Houston is in town with a lot of hungry young players looking for roster spots for 2015. Starter Brad Peacock has allowed 2, 0, 2, 1 and 1 earned runs his last five starts. The Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter, so grab the hungry dog. Play the Astros.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Friday 8:05 PM MLB (975) OAKLAND ATHLETICS at (976) TEXAS RANGERS

Take: (976) TEXAS RANGERS +155

This is the part where I break down the game and give some reasons why I’m taking one side over the other. But since redundancy is something I’d rather avoid, I’ll just urge anyone interested in the analysis to scroll down to yesterday’s blog. It’s essentially the same reasoning. Once again, need to win is impacting the price and in the case of the reeling A’s, it’s just not justified. I’ll come right back with another comp play on the Rangers.
 
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Sam Martin

Fresno St. at New Mexico 8:00PM

5* Over

Reason: 5* Play on Fresno State vs. New Mexico Over. Unfair to judge Fresno State on their stats and 1-3 record as they have faced a brutal schedule that includes road games at USC and Utah as well as a home game vs. Nebraska. Bulldogs were blown out in all three games, but had no problem as they were finally in the role of the favorite last week vs. S Utah - beating them by 40 points and racking up nearly 700 yards of total offense. While we have a slight lean towards taking Fresno State here, we like the Over even more.

Having success in the running game proved to be the difference for the Bulldogs, as the 389 rushing yards last week was more than the first three weeks combined. And here they face a New Mexico defense that has already allowed 330+ rushing yards twice in three games. That being said, we don't like Fresno's rush defense very much either, and New Mexico is a rush-heavy offense that has racked up 410, 207, and 432 yards thus far. Both running games dominate - especially in the second half against tired defenses - and this game sails over the posted total! 5* Play on Fresno State vs. New Mexico Over.
 
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MLB

Friday, September 26


Trend Report

1:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games ,on the road
Miami is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games ,
Washington12-3-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington10-2-1 SU in its last 13 games

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:08 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

9:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games
LA Angels are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Dodgers
Colorado is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 15 games at home

10:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 7-16-1 SU in its last 24 games ,when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Diego6-1-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Francisco16-7-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against San Diego
San Francisco is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing San Diego
 
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MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, September 26


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MIAMI (76 - 82) at WASHINGTON (93 - 65) - 1:05 PM
JARRED COSART (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-65 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 93-65 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 76-82 (+1.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 362-410 (+46.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
COSART is 17-12 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
COSART is 10-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
COSART is 16-12 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 10-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-5 (+3.3 Units) against MIAMI this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

JARRED COSART vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
COSART is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. MIAMI since 1997
FISTER is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 1.022.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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MIAMI (76 - 82) at WASHINGTON (93 - 65) - 7:05 PM
ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. TAYLOR HILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-65 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 93-65 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 76-82 (+1.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 57-55 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 362-410 (+46.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 10-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-5 (+3.3 Units) against MIAMI this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

ANDREW HEANEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

TAYLOR HILL vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (77 - 82) at PHILADELPHIA (72 - 87) - 7:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JEROME WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 77-82 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 23-32 (-14.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 75-86 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-17 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
ATLANTA is 77-82 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 58-56 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 59-66 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 37-44 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 40-47 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 23-27 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SANTANA is 0-7 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 6-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 44-29 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 31-15 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 101-134 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-79 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-9 (+0.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SANTANA is 4-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.2 units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.484.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-6. (-6.8 units)

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PITTSBURGH (87 - 72) at CINCINNATI (74 - 85) - 7:10 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 24-36 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 59-46 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 87-72 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 32-25 (+11.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 85-71 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 64-43 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 102-79 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 49-30 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 31-12 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
CINCINNATI is 75-85 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 75-85 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 43-62 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 82-84 (-20.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 10-6 (+4.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WORLEY is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEAKE is 6-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 8-11 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.4 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (71 - 88) at MILWAUKEE (81 - 78) - 8:10 PM
ERIC JOKISCH (L) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 9-7 (+3.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

ERIC JOKISCH vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY NELSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NELSON is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (88 - 71) at ARIZONA (63 - 96) - 9:40 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 2-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday this season.
ST LOUIS is 5-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
WACHA is 1-8 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
WACHA is 1-7 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
WACHA is 1-7 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 151-100 (+25.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 93-51 (+31.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 63-96 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 32-44 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 18-33 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 63-96 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 44-65 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 48-72 (-23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 23-51 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 8-27 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WACHA is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CAHILL is 0-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.7 units)

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COLORADO (66 - 93) at LA DODGERS (91 - 68) - 10:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 66-93 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 5-26 (-18.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-57 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 7-31 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 66-93 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 42-65 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 43-70 (-26.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 14-37 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
LYLES is 7-29 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 47-26 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 100-58 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 42-36 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 10-15 (-8.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
LA DODGERS are 42-36 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 44-46 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HERNANDEZ is 3-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 2-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 3-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 1-10 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 10-6 (+2.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LYLES is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.379.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 8.50 and a WHIP of 2.221.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (76 - 83) at SAN FRANCISCO (86 - 73) - 10:15 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-31 (-14.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 28-50 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-50 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 19-35 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-73 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-73 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-43 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-37 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
VOGELSONG is 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 34-23 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 90-87 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 44-42 (+5.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 23-20 (+5.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 84-89 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-57 (-18.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-50 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 77-77 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 9-7 (+3.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KENNEDY is 8-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.088.
His team's record is 11-8 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-9. (+0.8 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
VOGELSONG is 4-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+5.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (76 - 83) at CLEVELAND (83 - 76) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 76-83 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 48-55 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 56-59 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 38-44 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 43-50 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 175-147 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 97-63 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 169-141 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 99-74 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 97-50 (+37.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 60-22 (+31.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ARCHER is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.444.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
KLUBER is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.153.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (95 - 64) at TORONTO (81 - 78) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. DREW HUTCHISON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 17-8 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 96-64 (+37.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 45-33 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-33 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 47-27 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 72-35 (+42.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 74-46 (+32.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 42-22 (+22.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 44-25 (+24.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 30-13 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TILLMAN is 25-9 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 12-3 (+8.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 12-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 11-2 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 12-4 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 19-6 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 9-0 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 17-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 2-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 10-6 (+3.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
TILLMAN is 4-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.159.
His team's record is 5-8 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.5 units)

DREW HUTCHISON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HUTCHISON is 3-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.15 and a WHIP of 0.891.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (68 - 91) at DETROIT (89 - 70) - 7:05 PM
ANTHONY SWARZAK (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 72-119 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 96-125 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-51 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 187-145 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 180-139 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-25 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 53-42 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 38-38 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-8 (+2.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

ANTHONY SWARZAK vs. DETROIT since 1997
SWARZAK is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 12.60 and a WHIP of 2.400.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PORCELLO is 8-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.410.
His team's record is 12-10 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-13. (-5.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (82 - 77) at BOSTON (70 - 89) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 30-39 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 51-55 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 58-57 (-7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 41-43 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 70-90 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 29-39 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BOSTON is 5-16 (-13.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
BOSTON is 33-46 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 246-235 (-50.5 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 30-44 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 62-78 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 51-65 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 30-41 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 38-53 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 6-18 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 10-6 (+3.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. BOSTON since 1997
CAPUANO is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 1.405.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

STEVEN WRIGHT vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (86 - 73) at TEXAS (66 - 93) - 8:05 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. NICK TEPESCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 86-73 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 38-40 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 8-15 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
OAKLAND is 36-37 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 84-69 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 59-48 (-8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 17-18 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
TEXAS is 13-10 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
OAKLAND is 75-42 (+25.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 180-128 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 66-93 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 32-46 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 64-89 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 41-75 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 127-122 (-24.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-30 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 33-57 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 9-7 (+7.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.4 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. TEXAS since 1997
KAZMIR is 8-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.287.
His team's record is 11-6 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.4 units)

NICK TEPESCH vs. OAKLAND since 1997
TEPESCH is 1-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.97 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 2-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (87 - 72) at CHI WHITE SOX (72 - 87) - 8:10 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 51-54 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NOESI is 13-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 87-72 (+2.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 45-33 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 53-45 (+17.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 83-69 (+1.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 62-47 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 31-24 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 49-33 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 32-17 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 37-27 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 32-18 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 27-16 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 37-24 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 38-29 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 135-186 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-59 (-19.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 58-91 (-24.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 128-179 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-110 (-25.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 11-5 (+3.7 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GUTHRIE is 9-8 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 14-9 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-14. (-5.9 units)

HECTOR NOESI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
NOESI is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 2.452.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (98 - 61) at SEATTLE (84 - 75) - 10:10 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 9-7 (+3.6 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WEAVER is 14-9 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 19-11 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-11. (+3.3 units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
IWAKUMA is 5-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.027.
His team's record is 6-2 (+6.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (69 - 90) at NY METS (77 - 82) - 7:10 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-13 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
NY METS are 77-82 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 77-82 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 43-39 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 42-26 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 25-12 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
NIESE is 9-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 10-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 69-90 (+2.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 67-85 (+3.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 71-88 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 107-127 (-47.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 62-85 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 52-66 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRAD PEACOCK vs. NY METS since 1997
PEACOCK is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JON NIESE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
NIESE is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.367.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Under’ 7.0 – Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 26)
The playoffs are around the corner, and we have a month of moneymaking left (+$12,700 so far this year). The Pittsburgh Pirates are in the playoffs for the second consecutive year, but these games are still important for positioning. They still have a shot at the division, and if they don’t win that they surely want to host the wild card game. Vance Worley will try to come through once again for the Bucs as he was dominant in his last outing against the Brewers. He went eight innings without allowing a run and surrendered just four hits and no walks. It was a pressure-packed game for both teams, and Worley rose to the occasion. The Cincinnati Reds will be a much more low-key game as they have wanted the season to be over for some time. The Reds have completely collapsed since the All-Star break, and their hitting is one of the main reasons. Without Joey Votto in the middle of the lineup, it’s been tough for the rest of the guys with no one really picking up the slack. Mike Leake is slated to get the ball for the Reds on Friday as he makes his 33rd start of the season. He’s turned in another solid season with a 3.78 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. This one feels like a 3-2 type of final based on the circumstances, so we’ll take a shot going under the total here.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, September 26


Miami at Washington, 1:05 ET
Cosart: 10-5 TSR as a road underdog
Fister: 10-1 UNDER as a favorite of -200 or more

Miami at Washington, 7:05 ET
Heaney: MIAMI 22-15 after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Hill: WASHINGTON 34-25 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5

Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Santana: ATLANTA 44-29 in road games against division opponents
Williams: PHILADELPHIA 45-69 after a loss by 2 runs or less

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Worley: PITTSBURGH 24-36 in road games against right-handed starters
Leake: CINCINNATI 683-861 as an underdog

Chicago at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Jokisch: n/a
Nelson: n/a

St Louis at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Wacha: ST LOUIS 27-15 in road games after scoring 1 run or less
Cahill: 5-16 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150

Colorado at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Lyles: COLORADO 11-31 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Hernandez: LA DODGERS 47-26 against division opponents

San Diego at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Kennedy: SAN DIEGO 1-13 in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Vogelson: 13-4 UNDER after a win

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Archer: TAMPA BAY 5-20 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Kluber: 21-6 TSR in the second half of the season

Baltimore at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Tillman: 12-4 TSR against division opponents
Hutchison: TORONTO 82-103 when the money line is +125 to -125

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Swarzak: MINNESOTA 78-45 UNDER as a road underdog of +175 to +200
Porcello: 9-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins

NY Yankees at Boston, 7:10 ET
Capuano: NY YANKEES 3-12 in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs
Wright: BOSTON 14-1 in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs

Oakland at Texas, 8:05 ET
Kazmir: OAKLAND 29-30 after allowing 2 runs or less
Tepesch: TEXAS 16-2 off 2 straight home wins against division rivals

Kansas City at Chicago, 8:10 ET
Guthrie: 8-0 TSR on the road with a money line of -100 to -150
Noesi: CHI WHITE SOX 72-110 after a loss

LA Angels at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Weaver: n/a
Iwakuma: n/a

Houston at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Peacock: 6-1 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest
Niese: NY METS 21-35 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

TSR = Team Start Record

 

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