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Dave Cokin

Friday Bonus Play 8:40 PM MLB

(911) PITTSBURGH PIRATES at (912) COLORADO ROCKIES

Take: (912) COLORADO ROCKIES +110

I can’t recall the last time I bet on the Rockies to win a baseball game. I can state with certainly it’s been at least two months, although I’ve definitely made a number of anti-Rockies wagers in that time span. But I’m going to take my chances with this last place entry tonight in a game that I believe sets up well for them.

The key here is Brett Anderson, and the impression he left with me on the eye test in his most recent start. I pay quite a bit of attention to dips in velocity and normally want to go against those pitchers seeing a substantial decline. That’s the case with Anderson presently, and in fact I’ve made two successful plays against the lefty since he came off the disabled list.

But off what I’ve seen of Anderson, I was fortunate to get those two winners. He got bombed by the Twins in the opening inning of his first start off the DL, but settled down after that and actually pitched much better than his line might have indicated. Anderson was even better last time out in a stellar seven inning effort against the Pirates. The Bucs eventually won that game, but they did very little against Anderson. If he’s locating his arsenal like he was in that most recent start, I would expect this to be a tough night for the Pirates hitters, even in the hitter’s haven known as Coors Field.

Charlie Morton will throw for the Bucs tonight. Morton has been very tough, but is still prone to the occasional big inning. I also don’t like the way his stuff figures to play out at Coors. Morton has made two career starts here, and while his overall lines weren’t terrible, one thing really caught my eye. Morton is a pitcher who thrives and survives getting ground balls. But in those two starts at Coors, his ground ball percentage was way below its norm. That’s a red flag for me, as when Morton doesn’t get grounders, he also doesn’t get wins as a rule.

The downside here is that the Rockies are a bad baseball team with an awful bullpen. Plus, the Pirates have demolished losing teams all season. But I really liked what I saw from Anderson and want to try him here. I also don’t mind the fact that it’s a lock that the Pirates will be a very popular public side tonight, while I’m of the belief the pro dough is going to show on the home dog. You won’t see me on this bad baseball team often, but tonight I’ll be taking my chances with the Rockies in the role of home dog.
 
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Dave Cokin

Friday Bonus Play 8:40 PM MLB

(911) PITTSBURGH PIRATES at (912) COLORADO ROCKIES

Take: (912) COLORADO ROCKIES +110

I can’t recall the last time I bet on the Rockies to win a baseball game. I can state with certainly it’s been at least two months, although I’ve definitely made a number of anti-Rockies wagers in that time span. But I’m going to take my chances with this last place entry tonight in a game that I believe sets up well for them.

The key here is Brett Anderson, and the impression he left with me on the eye test in his most recent start. I pay quite a bit of attention to dips in velocity and normally want to go against those pitchers seeing a substantial decline. That’s the case with Anderson presently, and in fact I’ve made two successful plays against the lefty since he came off the disabled list.

But off what I’ve seen of Anderson, I was fortunate to get those two winners. He got bombed by the Twins in the opening inning of his first start off the DL, but settled down after that and actually pitched much better than his line might have indicated. Anderson was even better last time out in a stellar seven inning effort against the Pirates. The Bucs eventually won that game, but they did very little against Anderson. If he’s locating his arsenal like he was in that most recent start, I would expect this to be a tough night for the Pirates hitters, even in the hitter’s haven known as Coors Field.

Charlie Morton will throw for the Bucs tonight. Morton has been very tough, but is still prone to the occasional big inning. I also don’t like the way his stuff figures to play out at Coors. Morton has made two career starts here, and while his overall lines weren’t terrible, one thing really caught my eye. Morton is a pitcher who thrives and survives getting ground balls. But in those two starts at Coors, his ground ball percentage was way below its norm. That’s a red flag for me, as when Morton doesn’t get grounders, he also doesn’t get wins as a rule.

The downside here is that the Rockies are a bad baseball team with an awful bullpen. Plus, the Pirates have demolished losing teams all season. But I really liked what I saw from Anderson and want to try him here. I also don’t mind the fact that it’s a lock that the Pirates will be a very popular public side tonight, while I’m of the belief the pro dough is going to show on the home dog. You won’t see me on this bad baseball team often, but tonight I’ll be taking my chances with the Rockies in the role of home dog.
 
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Jim Feist

MLB Comp Pick for Friday, July 25, 2014: 8:10 PM ET

(921) CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS (922) MINNESOTA TWINS

Take: (921) CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Friday, July 25, 2014 is in the AL scheduled contest between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins. Chicago continues to be a Top 10 team in runs scored and slugging. Lefty John Danks (8-6) has quietly turned his season around allowing 3 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 games. That Chicago offense will tear up Minnesota's 33-year old Kevin Correia (5-12, 4.76 ERA), with opponents hitting .296 off him. Correia labored through four innings Sunday, surrendering four earned runs, seven hits and three walks while striking out four in a loss to the Rays. Your Bonus Play is on the White Sox.
 
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WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, July 25


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TULSA (8 - 16) at WASHINGTON (11 - 13) - 7/25/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 257-310 ATS (-84.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 153-195 ATS (-61.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (9 - 14) at ATLANTA (15 - 7) - 7/25/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (12 - 12) at MINNESOTA (18 - 6) - 7/25/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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WNBA

Friday, July 25


Trend Report

7:00 PM
TULSA vs. WASHINGTON
Tulsa is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Tulsa is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 19 games when playing Tulsa
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tulsa

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
 
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MLB

Friday, July 25


Trend Report

ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Toronto

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

7:35 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ATLANTA
San Diego is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

8:10 PM
MIAMI vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Miami is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games

8:10 PM
NY METS vs. MILWAUKEE
NY Mets are 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

10:05 PM
DETROIT vs. LA ANGELS
Detroit is 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing LA Angels
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games

10:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games at home
 
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Long Sheet

Friday, July 25


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ST LOUIS (54 - 47) at CHICAGO CUBS (41 - 59) - 4:05 PM
JOE KELLY (R) vs. TRAVIS WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 4-13 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 34-41 (-17.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-41 (+27.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 107-156 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 52-75 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-80 (-26.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-78 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 107-156 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-50 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 141-190 (-64.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WOOD is 1-12 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-5 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.0 Units)

JOE KELLY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KELLY is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.17 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)


TRAVIS WOOD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WOOD is 5-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.419.
His team's record is 6-7 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.7 units)

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ARIZONA (44 - 58) at PHILADELPHIA (44 - 58) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 44-58 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 16-25 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 44-58 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KENDRICK is 73-54 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 117-147 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-32 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-32 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-23 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-65 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MILEY is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KENDRICK is 0-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.646.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

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WASHINGTON (55 - 44) at CINCINNATI (51 - 50) - 7:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. ALFREDO SIMON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 98-89 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-60 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 38-14 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SIMON is 16-4 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SIMON is 16-4 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ROARK is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ALFREDO SIMON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SIMON is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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SAN DIEGO (45 - 56) at ATLANTA (55 - 47) - 7:35 PM
JESSE HAHN (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 45-56 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 45-56 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 13-3 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JESSE HAHN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEX WOOD vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (48 - 54) at MILWAUKEE (58 - 45) - 8:10 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 58-45 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 58-43 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 92-80 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 100-95 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GALLARDO is 35-10 (+20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 64-71 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 64-71 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WHEELER is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. NY METS since 1997
GALLARDO is 4-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.436.
His team's record is 5-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.6 units)

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PITTSBURGH (54 - 47) at COLORADO (41 - 60) - 8:40 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 151-118 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 149-117 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 83-51 (+22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-60 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 22-46 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-60 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 26-41 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 28-43 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 47-66 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. COLORADO since 1997
MORTON is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.341.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ANDERSON is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (56 - 47) at SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 45) - 10:15 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 19-25 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 6-13 (-12.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 56-86 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 26-50 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-45 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-80 (+26.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-45 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 107-96 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LINCECUM is 16-7 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 26-15 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 30-11 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 17-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 39-16 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 18-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-71 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-48 (-20.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-16 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-42 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-3 (+5.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GREINKE is 2-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LINCECUM is 8-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.301.
His team's record is 15-8 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-11. (-1.4 units)

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TORONTO (54 - 49) at NY YANKEES (53 - 48) - 7:05 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BUEHRLE is 14-6 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 15-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 9-1 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 20-26 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
KURODA is 13-23 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 6-3 (+3.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUEHRLE is 1-11 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.528.
His team's record is 2-16 (-14.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.0 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. TORONTO since 1997
KURODA is 5-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (47 - 55) at TAMPA BAY (49 - 53) - 7:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 47-56 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 17-26 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 34-38 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 24-29 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 16-24 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 540-619 (+21.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 16-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 9-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 8-1 (+7.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 19-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 49-53 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-28 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-14 (-12.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-28 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 29-36 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-31 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-18 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PRICE is 19-25 (-21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 11-14 (-14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-4 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

JON LESTER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LESTER is 14-11 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 18-12 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-17. (-5.4 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PRICE is 10-7 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.086.
His team's record is 13-10 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-11. (-0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (63 - 38) at TEXAS (40 - 62) - 8:05 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. JEROME WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
HAMMEL is 9-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 63-38 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 74-59 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-22 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-25 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-35 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 61-34 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 96-64 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 107-75 (+18.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 97-62 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 119-69 (+32.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-62 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 15-27 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 18-30 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 9-21 (-15.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 3-17 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
TEXAS is 6-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 38-58 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 26-46 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 29-43 (-15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 24-37 (-15.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 7-16 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
TEXAS is 20-35 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 2-13 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-5 (+0.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. TEXAS since 1997
HAMMEL is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WILLIAMS is 3-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (49 - 54) at MINNESOTA (46 - 55) - 8:10 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 45-73 (-21.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 107-147 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 47-67 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 5-21 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
DANKS is 3-16 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 19-16 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-48 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 104-105 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 101-103 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 60-52 (+24.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-54 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-31 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 514-537 (+41.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 358-354 (+36.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
DANKS is 8-1 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 86-126 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 86-126 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 47-79 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
CORREIA is 6-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DANKS is 6-12 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.526.
His team's record is 7-18 (-14.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-15. (-6.4 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CORREIA is 3-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (51 - 51) at KANSAS CITY (51 - 50) - 8:10 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. YORDANO VENTURA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 28-52 (-20.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 143-122 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 137-116 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-21 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 41-46 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-5 (+0.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
TOMLIN is 5-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+5.1 units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VENTURA is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (57 - 42) at LA ANGELS (60 - 41) - 10:05 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 136-200 (-48.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 60-41 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 34-13 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 25-8 (+14.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 267-196 (+50.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 29-12 (+15.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 31-17 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 18-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 31-17 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 24-10 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 22-10 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
DETROIT is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 130-123 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 56-76 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DREW SMYLY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SMYLY is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.556.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

TYLER SKAGGS vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (56 - 45) at SEATTLE (53 - 49) - 10:10 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 22-14 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 57-45 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-16 (+15.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 31-22 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 13-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
BALTIMORE is 50-43 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 41-25 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-32 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-13 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-16 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 25-29 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 25-29 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 18-23 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 12-20 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
HERNANDEZ is 4-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 5-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 7-8 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-7. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (48 - 53) at HOUSTON (42 - 60) - 8:10 PM
BRAD HAND (L) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 33-58 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 165-150 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
MIAMI is 35-32 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 15-9 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 39-96 (-42.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 45-85 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-51 (-19.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-53 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 45-85 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 89-185 (-52.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRAD HAND vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAND is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Art Aronson

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

1* Bonus Play on the Atlanta Braves -168

I think the Braves are worth the price at home here. The visiting Padres will turn to rookie Jesse Hahn (5-2, 2.21 ERA); note that the right-hander was optioned to Triple A to continue pitching during the All-Star break. The Braves will start a promising young pitcher as well in Alex Wood (7-7, 3.24 ERA), who was solid in his last outing, limiting the Phillies to one run over six innings in the victory. The pitching matchup would seem to be a “wash”, but I’ll give the slight nod to Wood because of the home field advantage. Atlanta also has the advantage considering the Padres just played a late game in Chicago; and note that Atlanta is 10-6 as a home favorite in the -150 to -160 range this season. While Hahn has been pretty good so far at the professional ranks, I think the book is still out on him, the sample size is still too small in my opinion. Consider laying the “Wood” on Atlanta.

AAA Sports
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Brandon Shively

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs

Bonus Play Chicago Cubs +135

Saint Louis (Kelly) @ Chicago Cubs (Wood-L)-----I will back the Cubbies today as a home dog . It appears the public is betting on Saint Louis driving this line even higher and giving us more value.

The Cubs will have Wood on the mound who has indeed been struggling, but he has faced the Cardinals twice this season and the Cubs have won both games. One game he was facing Wainwright and the Cubs found a way to get to the 'Ace' and get the 6-5 win. I will also note that this was a Day game. The other was a 17-5 win when the Cubbies bats went crazy. While Wood has had a rough month of July, he is a guy that is very capable of pitching a gem and that's what I am looking for today. Wood's numbers are much lower in Day games and at Home as well, and I feel the value lies with the home dog. Wood said, 'It's not like I'm sailing balls all over the place, I'm just missing." He is too good of a pitcher to keep getting rocked----look for a strong quality start today.

Since the All-Star Break, the Cubs are hitting .230 while the Cardinals are hitting .222, but the Cubs have a slightly higher SLG% and I'll give them the advantage as Yadier Molina's injury to Saint Louis has been evident to their offensive production. I will also note that the Cardinals are only 12-14 SU this season (-4.5 units) vs. left handed starters and this is an inflated line in my opinion.

The Cards will have Kelly on the mound who took a ND vs. the Cubs back on 4/11 as the Cubs won the game 6-3. This will be Kelly's 3rd start since coming off the DL and I still have questions about this guy. For beginners, he is not a strikeout pitcher. He relies on groundballs which can be a good thing, but the fact he that the staff will more than likely keep him on a pitch count under 100 pitches and that just leaves more room for error for a Saint Louis bullpen that can be a trainwreck at times. Lefties are hitting .349 vs. Kelly this season and the Cubs have a lineup where they can stack the plate with lefties and this should be a big advantage for them in this game.

Trends: The Cubs are 5-2 in Wood's last 7 home starts and are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
 

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