Friday 7/1/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 55

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 RESTRICTED 2/1


# 1 JOE CHASE 5/2


# 2 VICKS FIRST PICK 7/2


RESTRICTED is the top bet in this race. Delany makes a blinkers change (going off today), looking for better results. With a competitive 50 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this outing. Delany has this gelding racing well and is a decent choice based on the very good Equibase speed figs posted in route races recently. JOE CHASE - Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of respectable win percentage - 29 percent - at this distance & surface. Has solid early pace and should fare strongly versus this field. VICKS FIRST PICK - In this field, this horse is highly ranked earnings per start in dirt route contests. Flores will probably be able to get this gelding to break out early in this competition.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Prairie Meadows - Race #1 - Post: 5:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,350 Class Rating: 50

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 PADDY PARTY (ML=2/1)
#2 REGULATOR (ML=8/1)


PADDY PARTY - Von Hemel drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this one has a shot at this level. I like this gelding. Has the highest (EPS) earnings per start in today's contest. REGULATOR - This gelding is in excellent form right now. Finished second in the last race and comes back quickly. This is a fairly classic handicapping angle. Play a pony that finished second in a maiden race last time out but finished well ahead of the show horse. Carrying 5 pounds less this race. Trainer has him in a good spot.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 J W RED (ML=4/1), #5 KARAOKE KING (ML=6/1), #9 A. P. PRIME TIME (ML=8/1),

J W RED - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed fig last out in a $15,000 Maiden Claiming race on June 15th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating. KARAOKE KING - This animal doesn't have a conquering temperament. Repeatedly finishes in the place and show hole. This pony has no victories at Prairie Meadows. A. P. PRIME TIME - This gelding registered a speed rating in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 PADDY PARTY on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:28pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 ASSIST (ML=5/1)
#6 BOLD SALSA (ML=3/1)


ASSIST - Have to watch for this animal on the turf. Last race at Gulfstream Park, scored a big turf figure. Have to think he can do it again right here. Coming off a fifth place finish at Gulfstream Park, some may skip over this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good odds today. This horse has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 48 to 53 to 58 right in a row. BOLD SALSA - I have to believe Smith is making a good move here. This gelding can only be aided by the shorter trip. Was in a $16,000 Maiden Claiming race at Tampa Bay Downs last out. That event had an Equibase class figure of 72 and he is moving down today. A certain strong challenger. Don't often see a favorable return on investment like +29. This jockey/handler duo has done well together over the last 12 months. Smith seems to have this gelding primed for a big effort. His workout pattern is great. This equine is tops in earnings per start. He looks sharp in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 HARDNOCK (ML=2/1), #8 NOTIONAL'S WIND (ML=5/2), #5 INSPECTOR BILL (ML=9/2),

HARDNOCK - This colt hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. NOTIONAL'S WIND - Really had to show me a whole lot more last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a vulnerable contender. INSPECTOR BILL - Unlikely for this one to do much running with no recent good showings in a short distance race. Will be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - BOLD SALSA - Best average class rating amongst these horses. This magnificent animal figures to be tough today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 ASSIST to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 6:49 PM EASTERN POST

8½ FURLONGS INNER TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $62,500.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80,000.00 PURSE

#1 AKATEA
#2 COMING ATTRACTION
#4 NOW POWER
#3 PAIGE

#1 AKATEA takes a big class drop (-17) and is the overall speed leader in this field racing at, or about, this afternoon's distance of 8½ furlongs on the grass, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" facing substantially better company in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in three of those "adventures." Jockey Joel Rosario and Trainer Chris Clement send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 53% of nearly 100 entries saddled as a team to date. I also note that my top pick in this race will be feeling that "Lasix Lift" for the 2nd time today. #2 COMING ATTRACTION has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her respective last five starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Mohawk: Friday 7/1 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 1,2,8/5/3,4,6/3,9/2,4 = $7.20

EARLY PICK 4: 3,9/2,4/1,2,4,6/1,2,4 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,6,10/2,7/6,7/1,3,10 = $48

MEET STATS: 172 - 520 / $934.00 BEST BETS: 31 - 49 / $104.60\

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 48 / $49.20

Best Bet: HANNELORE HANOVER (2nd)

Spot Play: INSPIRATION VIEW (4th)


Race 1

(1) BETTORS UP tracked a slow pace then blasted off cover to win his debut. He can double up here off a similar trip. (2) IDEAL PLAN is a full-sister to three winners including E Street Plan (1:49 4/5 F) and Rockavellian (1:50 4/5 F). She looked good in her June 25 qualifier and is a major contender here at first asking. (8) YARIS BAYAMA is a 1/2-sister to VIP Bayama (13 wins, $172K, 1:51 4/5 S) which is the only other foal of the dam to race. Filion/Laroque are a potent combo and this filly is in with a shot. (5) BROANACH could close late for a piece here at a price.

Race 2

(5) HANNELORE HANOVER comes in off a World Record-tying performance here on North America Cup night and is impossible to bet against but will be 1/9. Take the free square in the Pick 5 and move on. (6) RULES OF THE ROAD raced well but was no match for the choice last time. She likely completes a very chalky exacta here. (4) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY will likely stay in and follow this time and a better result is likely for her. (2) CHARMED LIFE will be passing some of these late for a share.

Race 3

(6) WINDSONG NAPOLEON was at a disadvantage in his debut racing third-over while a snail's pace was being cut. He should benefit from that experience, however, and go forward off that initial start. (4) FACE OF WAR comes in with two solid qualifiers and looks next best. (3) YOGI BAYAMA likely has more to offer than meets the eye on the program and merits inclusion. (1) HES GONE BADDER is related to a local racehorse that hasn't won in 17 starts but has taken many slices. He can share in his debut.

Race 4

(3) INSPIRATION VIEW fell victim to a rival that was airborne at the wire to just miss last time. He is a solid contender here and should be prominent throughout. (8) BAGGAGE CLAIM produced one of the more impressive stretch kicks of the meet to win on June 2nd but now has missed 4 weeks action. You have to include him on multi-race tickets but I couldn't single him considering the gap in action. (2) DAYLIGHT RUSH races tough every week but only has one win to show for it. He should share once again here. (1) KOKANEE SEELSTER gets a big barn change here and is worth inclusion on that factor alone.

Race 5

(4) FLAHERTY has faced much better for several weeks and he should appreciate the class relief here; top call. (2) ARSENIC was part of the pace in a race where there were several lead changes before the stretch and he still wasn't far back; using. (9) BLAISE MM HANOVER was a sharp winner of his 2016 debut but the top two are tougher; minor share predicted. (7) ARCHANGEL THREE is a good one to use on the bottom of tris and supers.

Race 6

(5) JEWELS IN HOCK was an easy winner of a leg of this series in May here and looks best again. (1) ELEGANT SERENITY should get her best trip of the year here in this short field. Don't be surprised by a much more aggressive drive. (2) STORMONT KATE faces easier here and isn't out of this. She can race effectively using several styles. (4) CLASSICAL ANNIE will be part of the pace early and likely stick around for a smaller share.

Race 7

(1) DOCTOR TERROR set some solid fractions last time but tired very late in the mile when under sustained pressure. She could do here off a bit easier trip. (4) BROOKDALE SHADOW should get a more aggressive drive with the class drop here and should be up on or near the pace throughout. (2) BOAT HOUSE ROW was flying late last time but her racing style often leaves her short. (4) SHOW SOME LEG dropped and popped as expected last week now she moves back up and is likely to finish on the fringes.

Race 8

(4) COLLECTIVE WISDOM made two moves to beat a heavy chalk in the first leg of this series while taking a new life's mark. This race should be more competitive but she can double up if provided with a similar trip. (10) TWENTY THREE RED went a big trip vs. a strong winner in the opening leg and she can make some noise here if sent early. (6) SOUTHWIND TANGO couldn't go with an impressive winner late in the mile last week but she fits here and should contend. (5) LAY LADY LAY faces easier and will likely take plenty of action. She can better this prediction if she stays flat.

Race 9

(7) XPERT BAYAMA dug in to hold off a rival that came back to win his next start and he should be tough in here coming off that lifetime-best performance. (2) RED DOG SALOON has a much better shot moving inside here and will likely be a big price. He is an upset possibility. (1) SOLO STORY hits the board every week and should be able to work out a good trip here. (4) IMSPORTY couldn't close into a rapid final 1/4 but should be able to make the tri or super ticket here.

Race 10

(6) LADY SHADOW set a new life's mark while winning the Roses Are Red and she will take beating here if she maintains that form. (7) WITCH DALI was nailed only late by the classy Venus Delight last time and she is the main danger here. (1) SOLAR SISTER couldn't go with the choice last time but she isn't out of this. She may push her way into the pocket early which would make her a win threat. (2) OUR HOT MAJORETTE is one of the best closers in here and should pass a couple late to take a smaller share.

Race 11

(1) CONTINUAL HANOVER was a game winner in his 2016 debut and he should be even better here with that start in the books; top call. (10) DERECHO raced well vs. a very sharp winner last time and shouldn't be dismissed, even from the 10-hole. (3) BIG RICKY tipped off dead cover last week and gamely kicked in to get up on the line. Include this improving gelding here. (4) BIG PLACE is erratic but should get a piece of this if he behaves.

Race 12

(5) ST LADS MOONWALK is one of the best horses in this Grassroots division and looks best in this field based recent performances. (3) SPIRIT SHADOW was part of a pace battle that saw several lead changes last time. He could trip much better here and he is a threat to win this. (1) BAD GAMER continues to take shares and this race should be no different. (4) TO HIS CREDIT should be sharper here and he can take a piece of this. (11) A BETTORS RISK is in fact risky, but, if he stays flat he can contend vs. this group.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Meadowlands: Friday 7/1 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 65 - 186 / $388.40 (+$16.40) BEST BETS: 8 - 16 / $20.10 (-11.90)

Best Bet: WORLD CUP (9th)

Spot Play: HAMMER TIME (3rd)


Race 1

(4) CHECKMATE TIME has looked very good in morning action while sprinting her final quarters. A few years back trainer Dennis Laterza won the Sire Stakes final with Hill I Am and perhaps he can do it again with this gal. (1) SOUTHWIND AVANTI is another who has been finishing up her miles nicely in qualifiers. (5) FEED YOUR HEAD hasn’t done anything wrong in two qualifiers and hails from the Takter/Gingras team.

Race 2

(2) DEO GALILEO ships in for a good barn off a sharp win at Grand River. Fifth foal from Madam Countess is a half-brother to 1:48 4/5 winner Validus Deo. (5) NOTENOUGH FOR ME was a distant second in his debut, but maybe he wasn’t prepared for a 1:58 clocking on a half-mile track to start his career. By If I Can Dream, this gelding is the second foal out of $1.3 million winner Not Enough. (4) EVERY WAY OUT got caught in a quick mile last time and does own the fastest mark of the group. (3) ALWAYS SAFE BET deserves mention because he is a half-brother to the great Foiled Again.

Race 3

(1) HAMMER TIME made up some nice ground after the early miscue last week. Don’t discount this guy’s chances at a price. (3) ETERNAL PATROL flashed early speed in both qualifiers and doesn’t appear to be in a tough field; worth a shot. (4) MOUNTAIN OF LOVE was a $280,000 Lexington purchase and comes with high expectations. He has been okay in the morning but has hardly looked like a star as of yet.

Race 4

(2) KING OF THE HILL finished up with very good energy in his latest qualifier. Jimmy Takter-trained colt is a full brother to Hollywood Hill, who trotted in 1:56 2/5 as a 2-year-old, and a half-brother to $1.1 million earner The Bank. (4) FLY ON has two qualifying wins under his belt and is a half-brother to Finish Line, who owns a 1:54 3/5 lifetime mark. (5) SOUTHWIND COBRA hails from the Burke barn and has some decent Gaitway qualifiers.

Race 5

(4) BELL A CHICK tends to perk up when he reaches soft spots like this one. Gelding had no shot last time but seems to be in good form. (1) EARN AND BURN raced well considering the trip in his 3-year-old debut. He is eligible to show more now and may offer a bit of value with Takter in the bike. (2) MONTALBANO BI kept his act together in his most recent qualifier; possible. (7) TOO MUCH HANOVER has some form but remains winless on the year.

Race 6

(2) SOUTHWIND PRIUS hasn’t been able to win in two qualifiers, but winning isn’t the main goal during those training miles. Full sister to Southwind Hope (1:54 1/5, $136k) should be forwardly placed and in with a big shot. (7) ARIANA G has displayed early speed and a strong stretch sprint in her morning action. Full sister to 3-year-old filly trotting star All The Time (1:53 2/5, $518k) seems like the obvious favorite. (4) WAFFLE CONE he reeled off a pair of qualifying wins. This is the first Muscle Hill-sired filly from this mare.

Race 7

(2) REAL DJ HANOVER has been rallying nicely in amateur races and I’d expect Ake to keep him closer this week. (7) IT REALLY MATTERS drops down and could be a major player if sent hard from the start. (5) STICK OF BUTTER couldn’t be any sharper.

Race 8

(4) INVERSE HANOVER had something left in the tank when fourth in her lone qualifying mile. First foal from Ideal Newton (1:49 4/5, $629k) appears to have some ability. (5) WORLD APART showed some guts winning her last qualifier and looks ready to roll for trainer Linda Toscano. (8) AMERAWAY sprinted home in her lone morning race and moms only other foal was Western Fame, who owns a 1:50 4/5 mark and is racing in the $500,000 Hempt at Pocono Saturday. (3) PERPLEXED wouldn’t be a shock off her qualifying lines.

Race 9

(5) WORLD CUP drops down off a decent effort and really should take charge in this spot. (6) CALIPARI raced well in his first start for this barn and now picks up Gingras; interesting. (1) UNCLE HANOVER came up big with Campbell added to the team; Callahan should fill his shoes well for this race.

Race 10

(10) LIVINGINTHEDREAM has an experience edge on this group as the only horse to race in a pari-mutuel event. Despite post 10 she jumps off the page for me. (2) ROSE RUN SALLY may have finished eighth, but she did kick home in a solid 27 2/5 during that mile; hidden ability? (7) STRONGRTHNDASTORM is off a decent qualifying line and does add Tetrick. (1) DREAM OF PARADISE is in a new barn and hails from a mare that has thrown five $100k winners from her 12 previous foals.

Race 11

(1) AMERICAN PASSPORT left at 100MPH and couldn’t keep his act together in the Hempt elims. New driver Tetrick should be able to ease him away in second or third and make one decisive move. (5) JACKSRLUCKYTOO has been a model of consistency, but if he could pass the leader last week I can’t play him to win. (4) MAJOR WAR has high early speed and a driver that knows how to use it. (2) MICHAEL’S VICTORY is a quality horse that is capable of making some noise.

Race 12

(2) ALL THE TIME was very sharp in her recent qualifier and seems ready to rip off a sub 1:53 mile at any time. I can’t say that for any of her male or older rivals tonight. (6) DOG GONE LUCKY hasn’t shown too much in his morning efforts, but let’s face it, the Hambletonian is the goal here. I expect a conservative steer and a strong late kick. (4) POSSESSED FASHION consistently gets checks. (8) CLEMENTINE DREAM showed up with a solid effort last week and is capable of doing it again.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Yonkers: Friday 7/1 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 145 - 642 / $934.60 BEST BETS: 15 - 64 / $67.20

Best Bet: CAROLSIDEAL (7th)

Spot Play: SCOOTIN FOR JOY (12th)


Race 1

(3) STRAIGHTTALKXPRESS returns to Yonkers where the gelding has done his best running and the last time we saw this 9-year-old on May 31st he got the job done wire to window. (2) LIGHT UP THE SKY was sharp as the chalk for all the glory last time out. (1) AMERICAN CHAMP should fare well from the rail.

Race 2

(1) CANT IT BE ME gets serious post relief and this looks like a race that this pacer can get the job done at his best. (4) EVERY INTENTION put in an even finish to land third money last time around. (5) SPORTING THE LOOK came wide to nail down the placing in his last trip to the post.

Race 3

(5) WINNING IS SWEET was sent down the road for all the glory last time out. Gelding should be able to move forward against these for his second straight victory. (3) GIVING UP TERRROR was sharp for a wire to window score last out. (1) SAMMY SAID stayed in the pocket most of the way but missed glory by only a head recently.

Race 4

(7) RAMPAGE JACKSON led every step of the way last week for his fourth straight victory. Now the gelding moves outside however the 8-year-old is in solid form and should have every opportunity to keep on his winning ways. (3) BUBBIE BOY did not fire in his latest but is very capable of making a quick turnaround. (5) SEA STAR Down the road score last out but will now have to do his best from the 5-hole tonight.

Race 5

(1) DEMOCRACY N was an easy winner last time out for his second straight victory. Gets a bump up in class however he now draws the rail slot and that should be good enough for this pacer to make it the hat trick. (8) YS LOTUS raced evenly in his last try to land the fourth spot; post hurts but is very capable. (2) PANCETTA gets serious post relief and Sears has the assignment.

Race 6

(5) MACH IT A PAR zoomed home to get the job done against most of these last week and the pacing mare is back in winning form; gets the call. (8) ANNDROVETTE did not race badly in her two Roses Are Red events at Mohawk and now she is back at her stomping grounds. (7) KATIE SAID If you throw out her last try she is very capable of making some serious noise in here.

Race 7

(3) CAROLSIDEAL came outside at the 3/4 pole and was a sharp second against better last time out. Now the pacing mare moves down in class and figures to get a better trip in here; threat at her best. (1) SAGE N was sent down the road last out for all the glory in her last try. (2) KNOW IT ALL put in a mild bid for third money last time around.

Race 8

(5) AL RAZA N rallied strongly to nail down the placing last time out. Pacer figures to make another fine rally and hopefully he will get a favorable trip to mow these down for all the glory. (3) PASULTIMATEDELITE N gets class relief and that should help this mare's cause. (2) BETTOR N BETTER just got up for the victory at Mohawk last time out.

Race 9

(1) OUR ELS DREAM N gets the best of the draw and this mare has the speed to be the boss over this group. (3) JONSIE JONES put in a mild rally for the show spot in her latest. (7) REQUEST FOR PAROLE moves down the ladder and Brennan keeps the faith.

Race 10

(3) NASSAU COUNTY seems to be heading in the right direction and trainer Banca calls on Brett Miller to get this pacing gelding back to the winner's circle. (5) GALLANT SEELSTER raced evenly for third money last time out. (1) HERE WE GO AGAIN should benefit from the pole position and make some noise in the stretch run.

Race 11

(4) DEWYCOLORINTHELINE leaves the 7-hole and is on the dropdown, so this trotter now has door number 4 and two trips back he was an easy winner; could greet the cameraman for pictures. (2) RED HOT HERBIE here's another that gets a better draw and should be right in the mix. (1) MONEY MAVEN was quite sharp for win honors in his last try.

Race 12

(4) SCOOTIN FOR JOY moves up in class off her sharp victory last time out. Now 6-year-old is in fine form and the two-peat is not out of the question. (2) LITTLE JOKE has wheeled off two straight victories and figures to make some noise again. (1) NARCIAN JEWEL makes her return to the fence and she was a game second two trips ago.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SPOT PLAYS

For Friday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington Park (6th) Outside In, 8-1
(7th) Dabria, 6-1

Belmont Park (4th) Sweetgrass, 7-2
(5th) Northern Screamer, 3-1

Belterra Park (7th) Hello Miss, 9-2
(8th) Bye Bye Cutie Pie, 5-1


Canterbury Park (7th) The Great Casby, 5-1
(9th) The Checotah Kid, 4-1


Charles Town (2nd) Flashy Bargirl, 3-1
(4th) Steelersoverravens, 3-1


Churchill Downs (3rd) Victory's Sweet, 4-1
(8th) Silver Dagger, 4-1


Emerald Downs (5th) Look Above, 3-1
(6th) Sugarseeker, 3-1


Evangeline Downs (3rd) Whistling Wind, 7-2
(5th) Laines Howdy Doody, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Rock Solid Lady, 6-1
(6th) Tenango, 7-2


Hastings (3rd) Street Map, 8-1
(7th) Shooting Jacket, 8-1


Indiana Grand (1st) Super Mazz, 6-1
(6th) Pin Up Gal, 4-1


Laurel Park (4th) Ring of Truth, 8-1
(6th) To Blave, 7-2


Louisiana Downs (2nd) Laven's Lil Dahl, 3-1
(7th) Lukie Joe, 6-1


Monmouth Park (2nd) Changing Tactics, 5-1
(7th) Man on Fire, 3-1


Penn National (2nd) Gulf Coast Breeze, 9-2
(6th) Bobby McDuffie, 6-1


Pleasanton (3rd) California Flash, 5-1
(5th) Seneca Sally, 4-1


Prairie Meadows (5th) Street Prancer, 6-1
(10th) Ganzumacher, 4-1


Santa Anita (2nd) Lady's Discretion, 7-2
(7th) Moonie, 7-2


Thistledown (2nd) Unlimited Spirit, 3-1
(6th) Cornerback Sack, 8-1


Woodbine (2nd) Turn to Reality, 6-1
(9th) Abby Grace, 6-1
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Let the home plate umpire be your guide when wagering on baseball
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

On April 10, 2016 at the pitcher-friendly confines of AT&T Park, southpaw Scott Kazmir of the Los Angeles Dodgers and World Series champion Johnny Cueto of the San Francisco Giants took the mound for their respective clubs in an N.L. West blood feud that featured an over/under of 7.5 runs.

The 32-year-old Kazmir, who had posted an incendiary 2.38 ERA in 18 starts with the Oakland Athletics last summer before being shipped to Houston at the trade deadline, entered his April 10 showdown against Cueto with a 1-0 record thanks to a 3-0 victory in San Diego just five days prior in which the lefty blanked the Padres for six innings while surrendering only one hit.

Cueto, who signed a six-year, $130 million deal with San Francisco last December, also entered that April 10 matchup with a 1-0 record due to a brilliant Orange & Black debut in Milwaukee in which he limited the Brewers to just one run on six hits over seven solid innings of work en route to a 2-1 victory.

So the stage has been set: Two talented and accomplished starting pitchers taking the mound on a Sunday afternoon in a ballpark that allowed fewer home runs than any other venue in baseball last season with a Las Vegas over/under of 7.5. This sort of feels like a game in which we might lean to the under, doesn’t it?

Hopefully all of you passed on that instinct because over bettors were celebrating a win after just three innings of baseball in which Kazmir and Cueto both allowed five runs to cross home plate in what eventually became a wild 9-6 victory for the Giants.

So how exactly did two of the game’s more accomplished starting pitchers find themselves so bruised and battered in the box score so quickly while playing at AT&T Park?

There are several reasons, actually, for what went down on April 10 ranging from Cueto’s potential nerves in his home debut for the Giants to Kazmir’s issues with consistency to two talented and highly productive lineups.

But the one reason that tends to slip between the cracks when trying to explain an anomaly game such as this one has to do with the man in the mask behind home plate.

Yes, I’m talking about the umpire.

When betting on baseball, whether it be the side, run line or total, it is essential to research and evaluate the man tasked with differentiating balls and strikes. On April 10 in San Francisco, that man was Alan Porter, who was behind the plate for 29 games during the 2015 Major League Baseball season. And in those 29 games, the over went 15-11-3 with an average of 8.79 runs scored per contest. But for those of you who are willing to go the extra mile, your research would have indicated that in games featuring an over/under of exactly 7.5 runs during the 2015 season with Porter behind the plate, the over went 6-3.

So far during the 2016 campaign, the over is 9-5 with an average of 9.86 total runs scored per game with Porter behind the plate.

This isn’t to suggest that Porter’s presence on April 10 was the sole reason the over hit in such immediate fashion, but it does help to partially explain why a matchup between Johnny Cueto and Scott Kazmir at AT&T Park could go from being viewed as a pitcher’s duel to a shootout in such a short span of time. More importantly, however, it helps to reinforce the point of how essential it is to study the umpire assignments before placing each and every MLB bet you consider.

Entering Saturday’s slate of action, with the 2016 MLB regular season approximately 46% complete, here’s a breakdown of some key umpire date that will prove useful in your baseball handicapping:

TOP FIVE OVER UMPIRES

Brian Gorman: 7-2 (.778), 9.8 runs per game
Jerry Meals: 10-3 (.769), 10.7 runs per game
Bill Welke: 10-3 (.769), 9.4 runs per game
Bill Miller: 12-4 (.750), 9.3 runs per game
Jerry Layne: 8-3 (.727), 9.3 runs per game

TOP FIVE UNDER UMPIRES

Eric Cooper: 9-2 (.818), 5.9 runs per game
Mark Ripperger: 11-3 (.786), 5.6 runs per game
Todd Tichenor: 10-3 (.769), 6.0 runs per game
D.J. Reyburn: 8-3 (.727), 5.7 runs per game
Larry Vanover: 8-3 (.727), 7.9 runs per game

TOP FIVE HOME UMPIRES

Bill Welke: 11-2 (.846), 9.4 runs per game
Clint Fagan: 10-2 (.833), 11.7 runs per game
Fieldin Culbreth: 10-3 (.769), 8.8 runs per game
Ted Barrett: 12-4 (.750), 10.1 runs per game
Bill Miller: 12-4 (.750), 9.3 runs per game

TOP FIVE ROAD UMPIRES

Adam Hamari: 11-2 (.846), 9.0 runs per game
Tom Hallion: 10-3 (.769), 7.9 runs per game
Jim Reynolds: 10-3 (.769), 9.1 runs per game
Ryan Blakney: 10-4 (.714), 9.1 runs per game
Andy Fletcher: 9-5 (.642), 9.1 runs per game
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
MLB Betting: Division Underdogs

Just about half of a team’s 162 game MLB schedule is against division rivals and these games have a lot more meaning to them as team's try to either win a division title or get into the playoffs. If you're going to bet on underdogs, it's a great idea to focus on divisional games as there is extra incentive for team's in these matchups and under the right set of circumstances can deliver big profits.

At this point in the season, divisional home underdogs have won 53 games, lost 86 with a negative impact of -$2045 against the money line. Division road underdogs have walked off winners in 137 and at the wrong end of a decision 167 times. But, the road pooches have been a good choice, stuffing betting accounts to the tune of +$1533. Of course, you can't blindly bet on divisional road underdogs every time and expect to come out ahead in the long run, so let’s take a look at a situation where it favors you.

Our MLB number crunching machine chips in small to medium divisional road underdogs priced between +$1.00 and +$1.50 delivered the goods. In this situation the home favorite essentially has an edge but isn't overly superior meaning the underdog in what is basically a tossup game can easily upset the odds offering good value. In 221 situations so far, division road underdogs in the +$1.00 to +$1.50 range won at a 48.4% clip (107-114) rewarding backers with +$1527 at the betting window.

An even better ROI can be had focusing on fewer plays with less total money at risk. In this situation we want to concentrate strickly on a division road underdog that won the first game of the series and getting little respect in game-two as they won at a 55.3% clip (21-17) cashing +$788 worth of tickets.

While there's no guarantee small to medium divisional road underdogs in the above mentioned situation will continue to perform the rest of the way, the angle is definitely worth keeping an eye-out for.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
July Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence

Fireworks and the MLB All-Star game go hand-in-hand during the month of July. It also denotes the start of the 2nd half of the MLB campaign. And as we’ve come to learn the key to each and every team’s fortune lies on the pitching staff.

Can they sustain or will they unravel like Jose Canseco going back on a fly ball? Stay tuned. What we do know is that certain pitchers love hurling this time of the season while others tend to get lit up like a roman candle on the 4thof July.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team-starts over the course of the last three seasons during the month of July.

On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in July, winning 33% percent or less of their team-start efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each July over the last three years.

And for your convenience alongside each record we break down each pitcher’s greatest success or greatest failure rate either home (H) or away (A) within his good or bad month.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s July list.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

*Chen, Wei-Yin - 9-4 (5-1 H)

The Miami left-hander has not been terribly effective with an ERA hovering around 5. If Chen can develop more command, he's shown again this year he's tough when in challenging situations, allowing .186 batting average and .271 on-base percentage with runners in scoring position.

Garza, Matt - 9-3 (5-1 H)

Since coming back from spring training injury on June 14th, the Milwaukee right-hander has been a mix of good and bad, but come through when it counted. Opposing hitters are batting over .300 against Garza, but he's held those runners in check and induced a heavy dose of ground balls that have led to outs. If he continues, this Brewers starter might be effective.

Greinke, Zack - 11-4 (6-2 H)

Though Arizona is falling short of preseason expectations, the Diamondbacks ace is not and, other than Clayton Kershaw, has arguably been as effective as any pitcher since the end of April with batters hitting around .200 against him. Once again his array of pitches are finding the right spots and fastball is cooking!

Kazmir, Scott - 10-5 (6-2 H)

When Kazmir misses on location for fastball, the other team's lineup begins to look for off-speed stuff, which has caused his inconsistency this season. When he's working the corners on the knees early in the count, this sets up secondary pitches. In the past he's done so in July, let's see what he comes up with this time.

*Kershaw, Clayton - 12-3 (8-0 A)

When either Kershaw loses or has a less than stellar performance, which is infrequent, it is home page news on most sports websites. With opponents batting just .185 against him, baseball's best pitcher has close to as many home runs surrendered (6) as walks (9) to start the month over 121 innings. It’s no wonder his name is whispered in the same company as Sandy Koufax.

Kluber, Corey - 13-4 (9-2 H)

Since winning the Cy Young award in 2014, Kluber has not been able to match that magical season, but is part of a very good Cleveland rotation. Looking ahead, if the Indians righty can do a better job than permitting .281 batting averages with runners in scoring position, all his numbers will drop and his victories will go up. Note: Kluber’s numbers above also reflect his career team mark during July.

*Liriano, Francisco - 12-2 (7-0 H)

After several fine seasons with Pittsburgh, Liriano has not been effective in 2016. Walks and home runs have done him in and in order to reflect past results of July, he's going to have to stop leaving pitches in the heart of the plate.

Peralta, Wily - 8-4 (5-1 H)

Peralta has been thoroughly ineffective all season (6.68 ERA) and was sent to minors after June 11th start. His return this month or this season depends on his Triple-A results. Note: Peralta’s numbers above also reflect his career team mark during July.

Price, David - 11-5 (7-1 A)

To date, the Boston lefty could be described as a mild disappointment, with an ERA north of 4.5 most of the season. No longer owning an upper 90's heater, Price does not blow away as many hitters as before and the fastball lacks some of the previous movement of the past. The slider has not had the usual bite from start to start. Red Sox need this ace to be one.

Ross, Tyson - 10-4 (4-1 H)

Ross has not pitched since he hit the DL with right shoulder inflammation after first start in April. San Diego Union reports a return even this month appears optimistic.
Note: Ross’ numbers above also reflect his career team mark during July.

Santana, Ervin - 11-4 (8-1 H)

Like his teammates, Santana is not having a good year, as opposing hitters are clocking him for nearly .300 average, compared to .256 over his 11-year career. Little reason to believe this month will match the past even if he improves with this Twins club.

*Volquez, Edinson - 10-5 (6-1 A)

Never a frontline hurler, Volquez numbers this campaign have matched the Royals, being very ordinary to date. The Dominican Republic native has done the job against right-handed batters, who have been knocking him around for nearly .300 average.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Wood, Alex - 4-8 (0-6 A)

Wood – the only pitcher to appear on the July Bad Month list this season - was initially expected to be shut down for four weeks after landing on the 15-day disabled list at the end of May with a posterior impingement in his throwing elbow. Currently, the timetable is for mid-July return, but the oft-injured pitcher can hardly be counted on as record shows. Note: Wood’’s numbers above reflect his career team mark during July.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
MLB roundup: Tigers overcome five-run deficit in ninth
By The Sports Xchange

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- Down 7-2 in the ninth, the Detroit Tigers rallied for seven hits and eight runs in the final inning, stunning the Tampa Bay Rays with a 10-7 win Thursday at Tropicana Field.
The Rays had held the Tigers to four hits entering the ninth, and they were 28-1 this season when leading after eight.
Reliever Ryan Garton then gave up four singles without recording an out, and Erasmo Ramirez (7-7) gave up two more hits, then a bases-loaded walk to tie the game. A three-run double by Cameron Maybin -- who led off the inning with a single -- gave the Tigers for the unlikely lead.
Tampa Bay hadn't allowed more than five runs in any inning this season, and Detroit matched a season high with the eight-run showing.
How the ninth unraveled for the Rays: Maybin, Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez and Nick Castellanos singled to chase Garton with the lead still 7-3. Ramirez gave up an RBI single to Justin Upton and a sacrifice fly to Steven Moya, then an RBI single to Jarrod Saltalamacchia to make it 7-6.
Ramirez walked Jose Iglesias to load the bases, then walked Ian Kinsler to tie the game. Maybin's double to left-center cleared the bases and completed the rally.
The bullpen disaster came after Rays starter Jake Odorizzi held the Tigers to one hit in the first five innings.

Nationals 13, Reds 4
WASHINGTON -- Switch-hitting shortstop Danny Espinosa had two homers and a career-high seven RBIs and lefty Gio Gonzalez won his first game since May 18 as the first-place Washington Nationals had three homers to blitz the Reds.
Espinosa, who has 15 homers this season, became the first player in Montreal/Washington franchise history to hit a homer from each side of the plate since Geoff Blum did it for the Expos in 2001. Espinosa is the first person in franchise history to pull off the feat in which one of the homers was a grand slam.
Ryan Zimmerman added two hits, including a homer, and three RBIs and Chris Heisey had two hits and two RBIs.
Gonzalez (4-7) allowed four runs on six hits with nine strikeouts in six innings before Matt Belisle came on in the seventh. Washington had lost the previous seven starts by Gonzalez, who was 0-6 in that stretch.

Royals 4, Cardinals 2
ST. LOUIS -- Kendrys Morales became the fourth major league player this year with multiple hits in six straight games, going 3-for-4 with two doubles and a homer to lead the Royals' interleague victory.
Morales, who went 12-for-16 in the four-game series and is 16-of-24 in the last six games, lined an RBI double to right off Mike Leake (5-6) in the sixth for a 3-1 lead. He capped his huge series with a 456-foot homer into the third deck in left field off reliever Tyler Lyons with two outs in the eighth inning.
Reliever Dillon Gee (3-2) picked up the win despite allowing a two-out solo homer to Jhonny Peralta in the sixth. Wade Davis, who blew a save chance in Kansas City's 3-2, 12-inning victory Wednesday night, worked around Peralta's leadoff hit in the ninth for his 19th save.

Indians 4, Blue Jays 1
TORONTO -- Carlos Carrasco struck out a season-best 14, Rajai Davis and Jason Kipnis homered and the Indians matched a club record with their 13th straight win.
Carrasco (4-2) held the Blue Jays to three hits, including a home run by Josh Donaldson, and two walks in 7 1/3 innings. The right-hander finished one strikeout shy of his career best, 15, set last Sept. 25 against the Kansas City Royals.
Cody Allen pitched a perfect ninth to earn his 17th save.
Toronto right-hander R.A. Dickey (5-9) allowed two home runs among eight hits while giving up three runs in seven innings.
Davis hit his eighth homer of the season, and Kipnis extended his hit streak to 12 games with his 11th homer of the season.

Mets 4, Cubs 3
NEW YORK -- Rookie right fielder Brandon Nimmo, making his first major league start as a leadoff batter, keyed a three-run rally in the seventh inning to lead the Mets.
The Mets broke a four-game losing streak. The Cubs had their three-game winning streak snapped.
The Cubs led 3-1 entering the seventh, when starter John Lackey was lifted after allowing a one-out single to Travis d'Arnaud. Pinch-hitter Alejandro De Aza worked an eight-pitch walk against right-hander Joel Peralta (1-1), after which Nimmo, playing in his fifth big league game, won a nine-pitch battle with a single.
Left-hander Pedro Strop then induced Neil Walker to hit a grounder to drawn-in second baseman Javier Baez, who fired to third to try to get Nimmo as De Aza crossed the plate. But the throw sailed past Kris Bryant and Nimmo sprinted home with the go-ahead run.
The rally made a winner out of right-hander Erik Goeddel (1-0), who threw 1 2/3 perfect innings.

Yankees 2, Rangers 1
NEW YORK - Chase Headley scored on a passed ball with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, giving New York the victory.
Headley opened the inning with a walk against Tony Barnette (5-3), and was sacrificed to second by Didi Gregorius. The Yankees had second and third after Starlin Castro weakly grounded out to first.
On a 1-1 pitch to Jacoby Ellsbury, Barnette's pitch went under Robinson Chirinos' glove and under him. The ball reached the backstop and Headley slid in head first giving New York its fourth walk-off win of the season. It also allowed thre Yankees to reach the .500 mark.
Texas lost for the fourth time in its last 16 games and was unable to match a team record for wins in a month with 21. It was the Rangers' major-league-leading ninth walk-off loss and it was their first loss decided on a passed ball since June 16, 1986 against the Angels.

Dodgers 8, Brewers 1
MILWAUKEE -- Zach Davies, the Milwaukee's rookie right-hander, fell back to earth, allowing three home runs and unable to get through the fifth inning in the loss to at Miller Park.
Davies had been on a roll the last two months, going 5-0 with a 2.64 ERA in his previous 10 starts. But he battled his command from the outset and allowed eight hits and two walks while striking out three in his first loss since April 29.
Trayce Thompson, Yasmani Grandal and Corey Seager homered for Los Angeles, and for Seager it was his 17th.
Kenta Maeda (7-5) scattered three hits and two walks in six innings, allowing just a run while striking out six.
Newcomer Bud Norris is scheduled to start for the Dodgers on Friday.

White Sox 6, Twins 5
CHICAGO -- J.B. Shuck matched a career high with three hits, including a go-ahead bloop single in the eighth inning that lifted the White Sox to a victory.
Shuck's two-out single snapped a tie and drove in Avisail Garcia, who extended the inning with a walk. Rookie Tim Anderson also had three hits for the White Sox, who won their third straight series.
White Sox closer David Robertson pitched the ninth for his 21st save of the season. Robertson gave up a one-out single to Kurt Suzuki, who represented the tying run. But Robertson struck out the side, including Danny Santana, to close out the win.
The Twins had tied the score 5-5 in the seventh on Eduardo Nunez's RBI single.
White Sox starter Carlos Rodon was perfect for 3 2/3 innings before surrendering back-to-back homers to Robbie Grossman and Brian Dozier, who homered for the third time in as many games.

Braves 8, Marlins 5
ATLANTA -- Brandon Snyder drove in two with a pinch-hit triple in a four-run sixth inning to help the Braves improve their record against the Marlins to 7-2. Nearly a fourth of the wins for the Braves (27-52) have come against Miami (41-38).
Tyler Flowers had three doubles for the Braves, while Jace Peterson, Freddie Freeman, Nick Markakis, Erick Aybar and Chase d'Arnaud all had two hits in the 14-hit outburst.
Maurico Cabrerra, making his third major league appearance, got pinch-hitter Cole Gillespie to end the game with a fly ball, recording his first save.
Justin Bour hit a three-run homer in the second inning for the Marlins. It was his 15th homer of the season and the eighth of his career against the Braves.

Giants 12, A's 6
OAKLAND, Calif. -- Madison Bumgarner made major league history at the plate and earned his ninth win of the season on the mound Thursday night as San Francisco defeated Oakland.
Bumgarner (9-4) became the first starting pitcher in 40 years to intentionally hit for himself at an American League stadium. Bumgarner, who has 13 career home runs, hit a leadoff double in his first at-bat, sparking a six-run rally in the third inning when the Giants batted around. Bumgarner went 1-for-4 and had two at-bats in the third inning.
On the mound, Bumgarner gave up four runs on seven hits, including two home runs, over 6 1/3 innings. He struck out four, walked none and ended his two-game losing streak.

Mariners 5, Orioles 3
SEATTLE -- Taijuan Walker made a triumphant return to the mound, and Seth Smith hit a two-run homer as Seattle ended Baltimore's seven-game winning streak.
Walker, who missed his previous turn in the rotation due to foot soreness, allowed just one run on four hits over 6 1/3 innings. Walker (4-6) retired the first 11 batters of the game and had a shutout going through six innings. A leadoff home run by Orioles left fielder Hyun Soo Kim in the seventh ended the shutout bid and cut Seattle's lead to 4-1.
Kim's home run was the Orioles' 56th of the month, setting a June record for homers by any team.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Indians (48-30) at Blue Jays (43-38)

Game: 2
Venue: Rogers Centre
Date: July 01, 2016 1:07 PM EDT

TORONTO -- The Cleveland Indians are going for a club record when they play the Toronto Blue Jays Friday afternoon as they try to extend their winning streak to 14 games.

The Indians defeated the Blue Jays 4-1 on Thursday to equal their club record with their 13th straight win. The record was set in 1942 and matched in 1951.

The Indians also finished June with a 22-6 record, the best in franchise history for any month.

The Indians will start right-hander Josh Tomlin (9-1, 3.22 ERA), and the Blue Jays will counter with struggling right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-4, 5.33 ERA), who began the season as the No. 1 starter but has had trouble making his sinker sink and is 1-3 with an 8.44 earned-run average in his past six starts.

Indians manager Terry Francona is keeping an even keel.

"You turn the page pretty quick," Francona said after Thursday's win in which Carlos Carrasco struck out 14 in in 7 1/3 innings. "If you start taking time to sit back and evaluate (what happened) two weeks ago, then tomorrow might not be so good. I just think they're having fun trying to play the game the right way. That;s a good way to go about it."

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have lost seven of their past 11 games after winning 20 of their previous 28.

If there was anything encouraging about the loss on Thursday, it was the return of left-handed reliever Brett Cecil from the disabled list, where he had been since May 15 with a strained triceps. He opened the season 0-5 with a 5.23 ERA in 16 outings before going on the DL but during his rehabilitation, he regained his curveball, which is vital to his success. Cecil pitched a perfect eighth inning Thursday, and manager John Gibbons and Cecil were both encouraged by the outing.

"Hopefully (his return) does bring back a boost of energy," Cecil said. "Hopefully I can get off to a good start and get these guys going a little bit. I'm not here to change the whole face of the bullpen, but they know what they need to do, I know what I need to do and hopefully we can all do it together."

Cecil will be used in late innings as bridge to closer Roberto Osuna.

"He's going into a valuable role, because we need that," Gibbons said. "We've seen him do that many times. I can't say this is his inning or that inning is his inning, but it's going to be important stuff."

Meanwhile, a good start by Stroman on Friday would be helpful for the bullpen. Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said Stroman's' start Sunday, a 5-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox, was "really encouraging."

Stroman allowed seven hits and four runs in five innings. He has faced Cleveland once in his career, allowing five hits and five runs (four earned) in 1 1/3 innings in a relief appearance.

Tomlin also pitched Sunday, allowing three runs, six hits and a walk while striking out three in eight innings in a 9-3 win over the Detroit Tigers. He is 1-0 with a 5.19 ERA in his three career starts against the Blue Jays. He is 1-0 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts at Rogers Centre. He is 5-0 with a 2.76 ERA in seven starts on the road this season. He has allowed only eight walks in 362 batters faced this season. His 0.81 walks per nine innings is second in the majors to Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers (0.67).

He will be trying to pitch the Indians into history on Friday afternoon against a sellout crowd on Canada Day at Rogers Centre.

"It's something pretty special that's going on right now," said Cleveland closer Cody Allen, who earned his 17th save Thursday. "But you've also got to remember that just because we're winning ballgames right now doesn't mean it's going to be easy the next day. We know we've got our hands full for the rest of this series. That's a good club over there."
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Reds (29-51) at Nationals (48-32)

Game: 2
Venue: Nationals Park
Date: July 01, 2016 6:05 PM EDT

WASHINGTON -- There has not been a lot of positive news around the last-place Cincinnati Reds this year, but slugger Adam Duvall and pitcher Anthony DeSclafani are two of them.

Duvall shares the National League lead in home runs at 22 with Chicago's Kris Bryant while DeSclafani makes his fifth start of the season Friday when he faces the first-place Washington Nationals and Tanner Roark in the second game of the series.

DeSclafani is 2-0 with a 1.52 ERA this season. In his last start, he went a career-high eight innings and gave up five hits and no runs while throwing a season-high 117 pitches in a 3-0 victory over the San Diego Padres.

The New Jersey native is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA in five games in his career against Washington. He pitched out of the bullpen three times for the Miami Marlins against the Nationals in 2014 and made two starts last year with the Reds.

"He has commanded the bottom of the strike zone on both sides of the plate," Reds manager Bryan Price said Thursday. "His best two pitches are his fastball and slider but the ability to create speed separation with his changeup and curveball has been a big part of his success."

The right-hander has bounced back since he lasted only 2 2/3 innings on June 15 as he gave up six hits and four runs in a 9-8 loss in 13 innings to the Atlanta Braves, though he did not figure in the decision.

DeSclafani has also made five minor league rehab starts this year. He began the season on the disabled list with a strained left oblique suffered in his final spring training outing.

He made his major league debut in 2014 with the Miami Marlins.

The Reds need a good outing as Brandon Finnegan couldn't get out of the third inning on Thursday when the Nationals hit three homers in a 13-4 victory. Shortstop Danny Espinosa hit two of the homers -- one from each side of the plate.

Roark, the Washington starter Friday, is 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA in his last four starts.

The Nationals used a starting pitcher -- top prospect Lucas Giolito -- for the first time on Tuesday who was not part of the five-man rotation to the start the year.

Stephen Strasburg (10-0) went on the disabled list Sunday. When will he return?

"At this point, we still have half of the year to go. I'm more inclined not to rush him. I'm not in a hurry, personally," said Dusty Baker, the Washington manager.

Roark won 15 games as a starter in 2014 and split last season between the bullpen and the rotation as Max Scherzer supplanted him in the rotation.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Royals (42-36) at Phillies (35-45)

Game: 1
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Date: July 01, 2016 7:05 PM EDT

The Philadelphia Phillies' bats finally awakened during a nine-game road trip. Now the Phillies are hoping to solve their home hex, against a Kansas City Royals club that has had offensive woes of its own.

The Phillies, limited to nine runs while dropping all six games on their last homestand, scored 57 and hit .326 while going 5-4 on their trip. They wrapped it up by winning all three games in Arizona, their first sweep in the desert in 10 years and their first series victory since May 16-18 against Miami.

"When we left Philly, we became a different team," Philadelphia manager Pete Mackanin told reporters after Wednesday's 9-8, 10-inning victory over the Diamondbacks. "I'm hoping we can take this momentum and build on it."

The Phillies are slashing .258/.307/.417 and averaging 4.2 runs in 42 games on the road, but their slash line is .213/.272/.336 in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park, where they are scoring just 2.7 runs per game in 38 outings.

Third baseman Maikel Franco is representative of the team's struggles in its own back yard. He went 10-for-34 (.294) with two homers and eight RBIs on the road trip, and is slashing .296/.372/.570 with 10 homers and 28 RBIs away from home this season. At home his numbers are .187/.220/.511, with three homers and 13 RBIs.

The Phillies will send right-hander Jeremy Hellickson (5-6, 4.23) to the mound Friday, against Royals righty Ian Kennedy (6-6, 3.96). Both are coming off victories, Hellickson having beaten San Francisco his last time out and Kennedy having shut down Houston.

Hellickson went six innings to snap a personal four-game losing streak with a 3-2 victory over the Giants, allowing two runs (one earned) and five hits while striking out three and walking one. Kennedy worked seven innings in a 6-1 victory over the Astros, allowing one run and three hits while striking out 11 and walking one. His strikeout total was one shy of his career high.

"Every time out you try to do that," Kennedy told reporters afterward. "It doesn't happen every time, obviously, unless you're (Clayton) Kershaw or guys like him that just go out and punch everybody else out and go seven or eight innings every single time.

"That's kind of what pitching is, make everything look like a fastball. My curveball today was better than it has been. I was staying on top of it. It was a little bit better than normal. I was just throwing fastball, curveball for the most part of the game. My slider when I needed it was down and had some good break. I threw it in some good counts."

The Royals, who beat St. Louis 4-2 on Thursday, have won four of five. The defending world champions are hitting .277 as a team, the second-best average in the major leagues, but have scored just 314 runs, which ties them for 26th.

That owes to the fact that they are just 16th in on-base percentage (.325) and 15th in slugging percentage (.413).
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Cubs (51-27) at Mets (41-37)

Game: 2
Venue: Citi Field
Date: July 01, 2016 7:10 PM EDT

NEW YORK -- Thanks to a surprising comeback win Thursday night, the New York Mets snapped a four-game losing streak, but the result didn't change their approach as they try to work their way through an extended offensive drought.

"This is how we have to grind right now," Mets second baseman Neil Walker said late Thursday night following a 4-3 victory over the Chicago Cubs at Citi Field.

The Mets will host the Cubs again Friday night in the second game of a four-game series.

"This was a very, very good game for us, especially on the offensive side," Walker said. "We got to grind out at-bats, make the pitchers work, got ourselves some opportunities."

Walker was credited with the game-tying RBI in the seventh inning Thursday, when Alejandro De Aza scored from third on Walker's chopper to second base. Javier Baez tried throwing out Brandon Nimmo at third, but his throw sailed past Kris Bryant, and Nimmo raced home with the winning run.

The rally was keyed by De Aza, who worked an eight-pitch walk against Joel Peralta, and Nimmo, who ended a nine-pitch battle with a single off Peralta.

"We have to do this, day in and day out, to have some success until we get on a little bit of a roll," Walker said of the Mets, who scored just eight runs during their losing streak.

The loss ended a three-game winning streak for the Cubs, who led 3-0 in the sixth inning.

"You never want to lose a game when you have the lead," Cubs manager Joe Maddon said. "All losses are pretty tough to swallow, especially the close ones."

Still, the Mets (41-37) weren't the only ones who left Thursday night feeling pretty good about themselves. Maddon was encouraged by how close the Cubs (51-27) came to tying the game in both the eighth and ninth innings.

The Cubs had two on and two outs in the eighth, when pinch hitter Jason Heyward grounded out to end the threat. Chicago loaded the bases with one out in the ninth before Mets closer Jeurys Familia struck out Willson Contreras and induced Baez to pop out to first.

"It indicates the kind of tenacity our group has, and I love it," Maddon said. "I actually love every second of it."

The Mets are scheduled to send right-hander Jacob deGrom to the mound against Cubs right-hander Jason Hammel.

DeGrom will be looking to earn his first win in two months. He is winless since April 30, a 10-start stretch in which he is 0-4 despite a 3.13 ERA. In his most recent start last Saturday, deGrom threw eight scoreless innings but didn't factor into the decision in the Mets' 1-0, 11-inning win at Atlanta.

Hammel is looking to snap a four-start winless streak, during which he has gone 0-3 with a 3.70 ERA as his overall ERA has risen to a season-high 2.58. He took the defeat in his most recent start Sunday, when he gave up two runs over six innings in the Cubs' 6-1 loss to the Miami Marlins.

Neither starting pitcher has beaten his Friday opponent. In three career starts against the Cubs, deGrom is 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA. Hammel is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA in five career starts against the Mets.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Tigers (41-38) at Rays (33-45)

Game: 2
Venue: Tropicana Field
Date: July 01, 2016 7:10 PM EDT

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- The Tigers' wild ninth-inning rally Thursday night, taking them from a 7-2 deficit to a 10-7 win over the Tampa Bay Rays, began and ended with the bat of Cameron Maybin, who continues to step up when needed for Detroit.

"He's been great since he got back, not only as a player, hitting and manning center field, but his energy is real positive in the dugout," Tigers manager Brad Ausmus said. "He's been great to have around, and obviously was a big player tonight."

Detroit will look for him to make an impact again Friday night in the second game of the series at Tropicana Field.

Maybin missed the first six weeks of the season after fracturing his left wrist in spring training, and he was slowed in mid-June by wrist and quadriceps ailments.

On Thursday, Maybin led off the ninth with a single and scored. He came back up with the game tied at 7-7 and outfielders drawn in, as Tampa Bay hoped to avoid letting the go-ahead run score on a sacrifice fly. He lined a shot past them to left-center field, bringing in three runs and capping a super-rare rally: Teams trailing by five or more in the ninth have just three wins in nearly 3,000 games over the past five seasons.

"Any win is always positive, but a win like that, you put a plus next to it," said Tigers second baseman Ian Kinsler, who walked as part of the rally. "You come out tomorrow and try to win another game and try to continue playing well on the road."

For Detroit, the win opened a season-high, 11-game road trip and set the tone for the series against a Rays team that has dropped 13 of 15 games.

The bullpen continues to be a major vulnerability for Tampa Bay -- two scoreless innings in Wednesday's win had ended a horrid streak of 13 consecutive games in which Rays relievers allowed at least one run. They were never as bad as they were in the ninth inning Thursday, however.

Rookie Ryan Garton, who hadn't allowed a run since his major league debut on May 26, gave up four runs on four hits to open the ninth.

Erasmo Ramirez came in with the bases loaded -- he had done that five previous times this season, and had gotten out of the inning without allowing a run all five times. He wasn't as lucky Thursday, giving up four hits and two walks and dropping to 7-7 on the year, his only out coming on a sacrifice fly.

"Just awful work from me," Ramirez said. "I didn't throw my first-pitch strikes. Maybe I was too excited about the bases loaded and tried to get out of trouble quick. When you don't execute those pitches, you're in a hitter's count, and that's what I did. Something bad is going to happen when you do that."

Tampa Bay matched its largest blown lead in a ninth inning in franchise history, but Rays manager Kevin Cash said, "(Ramirez) was the right guy, right spot. It just didn't work out."

The Rays will try to bounce back Friday with left-hander Drew Smyly (2-8, 5.32 ERA) going up against right-hander Michael Fulmer (7-2, 2.40 ERA).

Smyly, who began his major league career with Detroit, has yet to beat his former team. He is 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in two career starts against the Tigers. He took the loss at Detroit on May 21 when he gave up three runs in 6 1/3 innings.

Fulmer got the win that day, striking out a career-high 11 and giving up one run in seven innings during a 5-4 victory. That was the rookie's lone career outing against the Rays.

Fulmer has limited the opposition to no more than one run in each of his past seven starts. He is 5-1 with a 0.61 ERA in that span.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Angels (32-47) at Red Sox (42-36)

Game: 1
Venue: Fenway Park
Date: July 01, 2016 7:10 PM EDT

BOSTON -- Two teams extremely happy to see the calendar flip to July get together for three games at Fenway Park beginning Friday.

One of the teams -- the host Boston Red Sox -- still has a chance to fix things and stay in the pennant race.

The Los Angeles Angels, 8-19 in June, have lost nine of their last 10 and sit in last place in the American League West with a 32-47 record. That sounds, even this early, like a lost season.

Meanwhile, the Boston Red Sox -- 10-16 in June -- are still in position to contend and open a nine-game homestand that leads up to the All-Star break.

Both teams have held team meetings in recent days, the Angels after being swept by the Houston Astros for the second straight week and the Red Sox after the Tampa Bay Rays ended an 11-game losing streak with a win over Boston on Monday.

The Red Sox won Tuesday before losing Wednesday to end a 2-4 trip.

"I like this team, I like our guys, I like the way we come in here every day and the effort that we continue to put forth," Red Sox manager John Farrell said after his team was shut out for the third time this season Wednesday. "We've got some adjustments and some work to do in certain areas. But this is a group that doesn't roll over and I'm firmly confident in them."

The meeting came after Eduardo Rodriguez was shelled in the series opener as second baseman Dustin Pedroia shouting at the pitcher on the mound. Rodriguez was sent to the minor leagues after the game, and the Red Sox still haven't named a Sunday starter against the Angels.

Rick Porcello and the offense stopped the bleeding and ended a three-game losing streak -- the Red Sox still haven't lost four in a row this season, but Matt Moore and two relievers stifled the Boston attack and David Price had another disappointing outing Wednesday.

Hanley Ramirez left that game with a right side injury after taking a hard swing but after the game said he'd be fine.

"Just my side got really tight," Ramirez said. "I talked to John and we're just trying to prevent something big. He told me that, 'We're not going to put your season on the line. Take care of that and be ready to go Friday.'"

The Red Sox, who have already used six different players in left field, hope to get Brock Holt (concussion) back soon.

They won't be getting any sympathy from the Angels, who have already used 43 players this season.

The Angels gave up 37 runs in six losses to the Astros.

"I don't think these guys are taking losing in stride, and that's a positive, but it has to be tempered with filtering out some of the frustration that could easily creep into a clubhouse or a dugout," manager Mike Scioscia said Wednesday. "Those guys seem like they're playing free and giving it everything they have, but the results aren't there."

Boston's Steven Wright, coming off his first poor performance of the season, opens the series against right-hander Jhoulys Chacin, who beat the Red Sox while with the Atlanta Braves earlier this season but is only 3-6 overall. He was 1-3 with an 8.59 ERA in five June starts with 17 walks and seven strikeouts.

Wright lasted 4 2/3 innings, yielding seven hits and eight runs (three unearned) in a loss at Texas last time out. He also surrendered only his second June home run in that game.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Marlins (41-38) at Braves (27-52)

Game: 2
Venue: Turner Field
Date: July 01, 2016 7:35 PM EDT

ATLANTA -- First baseman Freddie Freeman and pitcher Julio Teheran are the only core players left after the Atlanta Braves' two-year teardown and rebuild for the future.

Freeman has been labeled as untouchable from the start. Teheran has virtually gained the same status.

The Braves could sell high on Teheran, but general manager John Coppolella has been adamant recently that the team plans to hold on to the 25-year-old staff ace despite continuing trade rumors.

Teheran takes a 23-inning scoreless streak into his start Friday night against the Miami Marlins (41-38) and has a 2.46 ERA. He is second among major league starters with a WHIP of 0.89.

"When you start looking at All-Star pitchers, he is one," Braves interim manager Brian Snitker said. "The only thing there is his one-loss record and he can't control that with all that goes on. He's been about as good as you can get."

Teheran, given almost no offensive support, is 3-7 and has yet to record a victory at Turner Field. The right-hander is 0-4 in nine home starts despite a 2.80 ERA.

The Braves (27-52) have scored two runs or fewer while Teheran was on the mound in 12 of his 16 starts.

One of Teheran's home losses came against the Marlins, who had lost five straight to the Braves before winning 7-3 on May 29. Atlanta leads the series 7-2 after an 8-5 victory Thursday.

Teheran, 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 13 career starts against the Marlins, gave up five hits and three runs over 5 1/3 innings in that game, but has been on a roll since.

Teheran's scoreless stretch, which includes a one-hitter against the New York Mets, is the longest active streak in the National League and the longest by an Atlanta starter in a single season since Paul Maholm went 25 1/3 innings in 2013.

The streak comes with the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline just a month away, but Teheran has been able to concentrate only on his work at hand.

"I don't think about it, but I hear about it because there are a lot of comments," he said of the trade rumors. "I just focus on what I've been doing because this is the best I've been feeling during my career."

The Marlins and Braves were active on the trade front Thursday.

Miami, already strong at the back of the bullpen with A.J. Ramos, obtained veteran closer Fernando Rodney from San Diego in exchange for pitching prospect Chris Paddack.

Rodney, 39, was 17-for-17 in save opportunities in his first year with the Padres and had a 0.31 ERA in 28 appearances. He is expected to join the Marlins on Friday.

"We're able to shorten the game, that's for sure," manager Don Mattingly said of Rodney's addition. "We've been able to shorten it, in our minds, already. Now, it just makes it even shorter."

Ramos is 24-for-24 in save opportunities this year and has converted a team-record 33 in a row dating back to last season.

"Right now, until we have a chance to talk to Fernando, there's nothing I want to talk about role-wise publicly," Mattingly said. "I think we look at it as we just added a guy who has been rolling this year."

The Braves' trade was a multi-player deal for prospects that sent veteran right-hander Bud Norris, who was 2-1 with a 2.15 ERA in his last five starts, to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

"I hate to see Bud go," Braves interim manager Brian Snitker. "The Dodgers are getting a hot pitcher."

Norris, 31, was 3-7 with a 4.22 ERA in 22 games (10 startes) after being signed as a free agent in the offseason for $2.5 million.

The deal leaves the Braves in need of starter for Saturday, with a promotion from Triple-A likely.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: White Sox (40-39) at Astros (42-37)

Game: 1
Venue: Minute Maid Park
Date: July 01, 2016 8:10 PM EDT

HOUSTON -- Astros manager A.J. Hinch discussing his near-decision to rest second baseman Jose Altuve on Wednesday made for an amusing anecdote in the aftermath of another Houston victory over the Angels and yet another scorching performance from the red-hot Altuve at the plate.

With the Astros (42-37) set to host the White Sox (40-39) and kick off a 10-game homestand that will close the unofficial first half of the season, they come equipped with arguably the hottest hitter in the American League. Altuve finished 4-for-5 and a home run short of the cycle in the series finale against the Angels, the second time during the Astros' six-game roadie that he finished just shy of a cycle.

Altuve posted a .420/.492/.620 slash line over 26 games in June and served as the key cog fueling the Astros' 18-8 record. Altuve has played in every game this season and carried a 32-game on-base streak into July. Although the Rangers maintain an 8 1/2-game lead in the AL West, the Astros have roared back into wild card contention with their upcoming stretch at Minute Maid Park -- where they've won 12 of 14 games -- looming large as a jumping off point for the second half.

The indefatigable Altuve remains the catalyst despite the fatigue.

"At some point this homestand I'm committed to giving him a couple days (off)," Hinch said. "He's going to have a busy All-Star break, but if he continues to go like this, players don't want to come out very often."

Right-hander Mike Fiers (5-3, 4.41 ERA) gets the ball for the Astros on Friday. Fiers did not pitch when Houston visited Chicago from May 17-19, and has two no-decisions and a 1.32 ERA in two starts against the White Sox.

White Sox right-hander Miguel Gonzalez (1-3, 5.17 ERA) makes his 11th start (12th appearance) for Chicago having gone 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA while working only 15 1/3 innings over his previous three starts. Gonzalez is 1-3 with a 3.60 ERA in five career starts against the Astros.

After winning 17 of 25 games in April, the White Sox posted back-to-back losing months. However, their 6-5 victory over the Twins on Thursday sealed their third consecutive series victory.

White Sox left fielder Melky Cabrera will be sidelined for the series opener against the Astros and could miss the entire set after being prescribed with rest to combat a sprained right wrist suffered June 18.

With Cabrera out, the White Sox recalled third baseman Matt Davidson, who served as the designated hitter Thursday and finished 1-for-2 with an RBI and a run scored, from Triple-A Charlotte. Davidson hit .268 with 10 home runs and 46 RBIs for the Knights. He is the 15th player promoted from Charlotte this season and will spell third baseman Todd Frazier and first baseman Jose Abreu at the corner infield positions whenever Cabrera returns.

"He's been swinging it pretty good in Charlotte," White Sox manager Robin Ventura said of Davidson. "What happened to him in his journey, last year he struggled and I think he's just in a better spot than he's ever been and understands himself better. I think he's gotten over that, trying to impress and trying to do too much and the pressure that come with that.

"Even in spring training he was in a great spot and that whole experience has helped him for right now."
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,947
Messages
13,575,541
Members
100,888
Latest member
bj88gameslife
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com