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Jack Jones

Jazz vs Grizzlies

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Jazz/Grizzlies UNDER 194

The books have set the bar too high in this game between the Memphis Grizzlies and Utah Jazz. Looking at recent meetings, it's easy to see that this total has been inflated. I'm fairly certain these teams won't combine for 194 or more points Friday night.

A lot has been made about Memphis playing a different style now without Marc Gasol and scoring more points. But that is overblown because it has played some of the worst defensive teams in the NBA in its last five games. The Grizzlies have played the Lakers (twice), Suns, Nuggets and Kings in their last five. Before that, they lost 85-98 to the Toronto Raptors for 183 combined points.

The fact of the matter is that these two teams still prefer to play at a slow tempo, which is why they go UNDER almost every time they get together. The Jazz rank 30th in the NBA in pace at 93.4 possessions per game, while the Grizzlies are 26th at 95.4 possessions per game.

The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. The UNDER is 27-8 in the last 35 meetings in Memphis. The Jazz and Grizzlies have combined for 179, 168, 177, 175, 190, 188, 178 and 182 points in their last eight meetings, respectively. As you can see, all eight of those games went UNDER 194 points. They have averaged a combined 179.6 points per game in those eight meetings, which is roughly 14 points less than tonight's posted total of 194. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.
 
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Mike Lundin

Knicks vs Celtics

5* NBA Free Pick Under 210

The Boston Celtics are going for a 13th consecutive home win when they host the New York Knicks Friday night. They're coming off an impressive 116-93 rout of the Trail Blazers and should theoretically have no trouble to pile up the points against a Knicks team that has lost 15 of its last 18 games, but I think we'll see a low-scoring encounter.

The Celtics are in a look ahead spot with a matchup against the Cavs in Cleveland on deck tomorrow and we can also note that the under is 11-5 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Knicks have averaged 83 points in back-to-back losses against Miami and Portland and each of their five games when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season have gone under the total.

Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Boston and we saw only 191 points scored when the teams squared off at TD Garden on Dec. 27.
 
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Marc Lawrence

Suns vs Magic

Play - Phoenix Suns

Edges - Suns: visiting team in this series is 5-1 ATS; and 7-3 ATS as a dog off SU loss of more than 14 points this season. Magic: 2-10 ATS home versus .300 or less opposition. With Orlando off a same season revenge rematch win over Chicago, we recommend a 1* play on Phoenix. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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Al DeMarco: has taken 57 favorites out of 66 plays this season; 86%
Chris Jordan: has taken 35 favorites out of 41 basketball plays; 85%

NOT CONFIRMED but assume Demarco on Boston -10.5 and Jordan on Elon -5
 

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