Friday 2/19/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB

Notes for Friday's games..........

Northern Illinois won its last two games after a 5-game skid; Huskies are 2-9 in last 11 games with Ball State, sweeping Cardinals 75-63/71-67 in LY's games, after having lost nine in row. MAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 23-14 vs spread. Ball State won four of last five games, but lost three of last four at home- they lead division by game over three teams. Huskies lost last four road games, can tie Cards for first here.

Akron won eight of last nine games, losing by point at NIU; Zips won nine of last 12 games with Kent State, beating Flashes 53-51 in MAC tourney LY- they lost last two visits here by total of five points. Kent lost four of last six games after a 15-5 start; they won five of last six at home, losing to Toledo. Akron is 4-3 on MAC road, also losing by 11-14 at CMU/Toledo. MAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 23-14.

Columbia won 55-54 at Harvard Jan 30, after trailing early 29-9; Lions are 2-12 in last 14 series games, losing in OT twice in last four series tilts in this gym. Columbia is 12-2 vs teams outside the top 200, with both losses in November. Harvard lost six of last seven ganes; they're 0-3 on Ivy road, losing by 13-21-10 points- they're worst FT shooting team in America. Ivy League home favorites of 6+ points are 4-5 vs spread.

Brown lost six of last eight games, but one of wins was 89-83 at home vs Penn Jan 30, when Bruins hit 13-24 on arc. Brown won last five series games, winning 76-67/71-55 in last two visits here. Quakers won three of last four games after a 6-11 start, winning last two at home. Brown is 0-3 on ivy road, losing by 9-6-7 points. Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-3 against the spread.

Yale leads Princeton by game with six to play; there is no tournament in Ivy League, so Yale win here goes long way to clinching first league title in 57 years. Yale is 6-1 in last seven vs Princeton, winning two of last three here. Princeton lost 79-75 at Yale Jan 30, its only loss in last nine games. Bulldogs made 11-19 on arc that night. Ivy League home teams are 6-5 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.

Dartmouth lost five of last six games, one of which was 77-73 home loss to Cornell Jan 30; Big Green blew 12-point lead with 10:14 to play, for Cornell's 7th win in last ten series games. Home side won six of last eight series games; Big Green won 56-45 here LY, its first win in Ithaca in at least 12 years. Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-3 vs spread. Cornell lost its last four games overall, allowing 86.5 ppg.

VCU beat Richmond 94-89 in OT Jan 16, its 13th win in last 17 series games in this intense rivalry; Rams trailed by 4 with 1:59 left-- Spiders got a technical for having six guys on floor, game wound up in OT. VCU won 14 of its last 16 games. Richmond won by 14 here LY; they lost at Davidson Tuesday even though Wildcats' best player didn't play. A-14 home favorites of 9+ points are 16-13 vs spread.

Valparaiso won 84-67 at Oakland Jan 8, first win for visitor in five series games; Grizzlies lost by 3-6 in two visits here. Valpo is 12-2 in Horizon but lost last home game; their 43.3 eFG% defense is #5 in country, but they're not as good as usual on offense. Oakland won eight of last nine games, scoring 85+ points in seven of eight wins; they're undefeated on Horizon road (7-0). Horizon home favorites of 8+ points are 11-7.

Detroit won five of last six games after starting season 9-11; Titans ran out to 28-9 lead, pounded Ill-Chicago 87-69 at home Jan 8, its 7th win in last eight series games. Titans won last three visits to Windy City, by 12-6-11 points. UIC is 3-2 in last five games after starting season 2-18; they won three of their last four home games. Horizon home underdogs of 8 or less points are 7-11 against the spread.

Siena's current 7-2 run started with 63-52 home win over Rider Jan 21, when they held Broncs to 2-20 on arc. Saints won four of last five series games, but lost three of last four visits here. Siena won three of last four road games but did lose at Marist. Rider won five of last six home tilts, losing by point to Monmouth last week. MAAC home teams are 12-10 in games where spread was 2 or less points.

Monmouth made 13-22 on arc in 110-102 win at Iona Jan 15, there was almost a fracas in the handshake line after the game. Gaels are 4-2 in this series, losing 92-89 here LY, routing Hawks 95-77 in MAAC tourney. Iona won five of last six games, winning last three on road, by 8-18-14. Monmouth won its last eight games, in 7-0 at home in MAAC games. MAAC single digit home faves are 16-18 vs spread- 10pm start is odd. .

Denver beat Oral Roberts 78-75 at home Jan 6, despite Titans making 12 of 19 behind arc; home side won all three series games- Titans lost 60-57 here LY. Last four Denver games were all decided by 4 or less points; they're 2-4 on Summit road, winning at WIU/Omaha. ORU won its last two games after a 3-12 drought; they're 3-4 at home in conference play. Summit League home favorites of 5+ points are 9-17 vs spread.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 12:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$3100 - FILLIES & MARES NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS OR $16,000 LIFE. NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $600 HORSES THAT RACED FOR A PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER IN LAST 2 STS INEL AE: N/W 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE.OPT. CLAIM $6,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 M A JACKIE 3/1


# 2 SOPHISTICATEDKELLY 7/2


# 4 FELLA'S ELLA 4/1


Feel pretty confident putting cash down on M A JACKIE. This harness racer looks tough. Look at the 75 average speed fig. Seems to have a really strong class advantage based on the field of horses she has faced. If effort in the most recent contest is representative, this entrant will have a very competitive shot in this contest. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. SOPHISTICATEDKELLY - Not many folks know, but the 2 hole here at Freehold Raceway has been stellar for a well above average win clip. When Jasper sends this race horse out you can bet they'll hit the board, numbers show them there 25 percent of the time. FELLA'S ELLA - Appears that this standardbred's running style fits well in this affair. Definitely will be there at the finish.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 8:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$10000 - N/W 5 PM RACES OR $40,500 LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 HONEY B 10/1


# 3 MM'S ROANIE 3/1


# 8 ES MUCHO 20/1


HONEY B is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the brain trust and is a formidable value bet given the line at 10/1. Should be given a look based on the really strong TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the last outing. Should be in the hunt again in this race, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning clip. MM'S ROANIE - Terrific in the money pct for Stewart and this standardbred. A respectable probability to get the trip to the winner's circle. Her 80 average has this mare among the best TrackMaster Speed Ratings in this contest. ES MUCHO - His 83 average has this gelding among the most competitive speed figs in here. A change in the horse's equipment for this affair. Taking hopples off likely to result in formidable improvement.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 35

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 13 ANY LITTLE 7/2


# 1 SWEET BROWN 8/1


# 12 THAT AINT NO LADY 10/1


My pick in this event is ANY LITTLE. Have to wager on this mare with the reliable earnings per start in dirt sprint races. THAT AINT NO LADY - The speedy return to racing points to a formidable effort this time around.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hialeah

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Allowance - 110y on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 88

QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR ACCREDITED FLORIDA BREDS) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 HELLO JESSIE 12/1


# 4 DUCK COMMANDER 4/1


# 6 SILVER WINGS 2/1


HELLO JESSIE is the strongest wager in this outing and is a quite good value bet given the line at 12/1. With one of the most competitive jock in terms of returns at the window, don't count this mare out. Could beat this group given the 81 Equibase Speed Figure earned in her last outing. Her 79 average has this mare with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in this race. DUCK COMMANDER - Could provide positive gains based on solid recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 83. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Welch have shown sharp results lately. SILVER WINGS - Should land on the board without any trouble. Has run quite well when travelling a short race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 B B SEA (ML=8/1)
#7 CASSINI (ML=15/1)


B B SEA - I'm anticipating this thoroughbred to run a big one this time out. CASSINI - Gudiel should be able to place this filly right behind the leaders. Ideally, Gudiel will rate behind the leaders, then strike on the turn. Forgive the outside the top 3 finish on the off track last time around the track. On a fast track, has a good shot in this field. Past performance data show this pony with three improving speed ratings. Gudiel should be on a horse ready to go right here. Dropping 5 pounds from last race. Could be a deciding factor today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LITTLE CATON (ML=3/1), #2 MAJESTIC DELIGHT (ML=7/2), #6 LOYAL HEART (ML=4/1),

LITTLE CATON - Hard to play any animal to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the chance. MAJESTIC DELIGHT - Didn't close any ground at any point on Jan 7th. Hard to play this time at the expected odds. Earned a mediocre speed fig last out in a $35,000 Maiden Claiming race on January 7th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating. LOYAL HEART - This filly earned a speed fig in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 B B SEA to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Oaklawn Park - Race #9 - Post: 5:10pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $68,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 GLACKEN'S GHOST (ML=7/2)
#12 MAIZE ROAD (ML=6/1)


GLACKEN'S GHOST - This is the only real presser in the race. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the capability to make his presence felt. MAIZE ROAD - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished runner-up easily ahead of the 3rd-place finisher in his last race. Strong return on investment for this rider and trainer tandem. Rider jumped on this gelding's back for the first time on Feb 5th. Should know the animal even better this time. Last time, was entered in a race at Oaklawn Park. Finished second, but had a pretty good chunk of the win pool. Could be dangerous in this race. This horse wins a lot of money per race. Number one in this race. I like to wager on this angle, a pony coming back off a sharp race within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 BUD'S MR. B (ML=4/1), #4 EXPLOSIVE LAKE (ML=9/2), #1 DETROIT COWBOY (ML=6/1),

BUD'S MR. B - Recorded a mediocre speed figure last race out in a $40,000 Maiden Claiming race on Jan 28th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that number. EXPLOSIVE LAKE - Doesn't look to have enough good aspects to bear out the reward. DETROIT COWBOY - This vulnerable equine ran a run-of-the-mill speed fig last out. He shouldn't improve and will probably lose today running that rating.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 GLACKEN'S GHOST is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [9,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT RACE TRACK - 1:50 PM EASTERN POST

6.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $32,000.00 CLAIMING $50,000.00 PURSE

#4 DAD'Z LAUGH
#6 BE A HERO
#1A STORM PURSUIT / #1 STAY TUNED
#3 MARRIAGE FEVER

#4 DAD'Z LAUGH takes a class drop (-5), and is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field, and also has exceptional early speed abilities to compliment for this inner-track sprint. He's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last four outings, including back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his 2nd through his 4th race back. Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. and Trainer David Jacobson send him to the post ... they've "whacked the tote board" with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #6 BE A HERO has hit the board in three of his last 5 outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/19 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,8,9/1,2,6/1,8/1,2,4,5/2,7,8 = $$43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,5/2,7,8/3,5,10/3,7 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 3,5,7/1,3,5,6/2/4,6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 248 - 778 / $1319.00 BEST BETS: 41 - 72 / $146.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 72 / $191.30

Best Bet: MS MAC N CHEESE (9th)

Spot Play: ARIZONA SEELSTER (5th)


Race 1

(8) KISS ME OR NOT drops to a level where she was sent to the front in 25 4/5 on Jan. 9. Expect similar aggression from her facing easier here. (4) DAZZLE N DELIGHT has improved sharply in her last two with McNair at the controls and she retains him here; using. (9) DILLY DALI finishes well just about every week and has a shot here at a price.

Race 2

(1) REGALLY READY closed with good energy last week but was too far back. The improved post gives her a good chance to beat these. (6) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE takes a big drop here and will likely be odds-on. She's the one to beat. (2) BACK YARD BABY has never been better but will need a perfect trip to take down the top two here.

Race 3

(8) WAR N MUNN overcame an early miscue to stay perfect in the series and will likely take this final if he stays flat the entire mile. (1) THREE TRUTHS didn't have much of a shot when the pace was slowed in the third 1/4 last week. He could get more pace to chase here. (7) NEW STANDARD will blow up the tote board one of these times when he is put into the race earlier; maybe tonight?

Race 4

(4) WILDCAT MAGIC was done in by a rapid third 1/4 last week. She looks like one of several needed for the start of the Pick 4 in a very contentious dash. (5) MACHET ROCKET has raced better for Byron and will likely be a good price here. (2) MAPPOS MOENHAY was shaded by a rival that had a better trip last time. She looks like a must-use on this Pick 4 ticket.

Race 5

(7) ARIZONA SEELSTER races much better up front and should be sent hard here in this series final. (2) WINDSUN GLORY was thwarted by a slow pace last week. I wouldn't expect her to sit behind a 58 2/5 opening half here. (8) CRACKLIN ROSE is obviously one of the best fillies in this series but her getting the outside post gives the two above a puncher's chance of knocking her off here.

Race 6

(5) VICS ROYAL LADY faced too much early competition for the front last week which killed her chances. She should get a better trip here. (10) FEDERAL has raced well in both Woodbine starts and retains Filion here. Maybe he can work out a trip vs. this weak group. (3) ASPEN CALIFORNIA has had a couple of rough trips recently. She is capable but susceptible to being overbet.

Race 7

(7) OCEANVIEW BINDI went a huge trip from the 10-hole last week to fall just short. She will likely fire out here and try to control things. (3) LIGHTS GO OUT drops off a good effort and should be very tough in here. (5) RUBIS PRESCOTT also drops and would be extra dangerous if she can land in the pocket, which is possible.

Race 8

(5) ADVERSITY switches barns from Henriksen to Moreau which is a move that worked previously; top call. (6) JETPEDIA ships north and has enough speed to beat these given the right trip. (1) SHOOT THE THRILL switches barns and adds Lasix. There are plenty of angles in play with this one.

Race 9

(2) MS MAC N CHEESE shakes a couple of her arch-rivals here and should be able to handle this group. (1) OUR HOT MAJORETTE wasn't far behind the choice last time and should get a good trip here. (4) WITCH DALI was a sharp winner in her return but has missed some time now and these are a bit tougher.

Race 10

(4) BEYONCES ROCKIN had a trip to get the kinks out last week now faces easier here. Expect sharp improvement. (7) OLIVIAS WAY made two moves and was a good 2nd. She is an obvious contender. (6) JENNA CASIMIR goes for Auciello off two big wins vs. lesser; don't discount. (1) B SANTANNAS LOVE moves out of claimers here but can grab a share. (2) PEPPERMINT PATTI will likely follow along on the inside throughout which means she can grab a share.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Friday 2/19 Analysis
By Jay Bergman

DRF HARNESS

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: LAUDERDALE (8th)

Spot Play: APRICOT SOUR (7th)


Race 1

(10) PINK PISTOL came right out of the box ready for action and devoured this type with ease from a better spot. Cantab Hall-sired sophomore is a more confident horse to wager on without hobbles and has enough tactical speed to get involved. (1) CURFEW is likely to be well supported at the windows considering the move inside following a second place finish to the choice last week. This 4-year-old will have to prove he's better. (2) ROSE RUN QUICKLEY is one-for-34 lifetime but does find a way to reach the board with regularity.

Race 2

(7) FLYHAWK EL DURADO has a history of racing against much better company than he drops in with here. New York-bred veteran can be excused for his recent form and should find this level more to his liking. (3) WORTH THE MONEY AS gets both post and class relief but does truly appear to be a one-run type and will need everything to go perfectly. (9) MONEY ON MY MIND has enough speed to overcome the draw but needs to step it up a bit during crunch time.

Race 3

(7) SWEET TIME has been incredibly victimized since shipping in with a string of inoperable posts. This rugged mare has made the best of the bad situation working out smaller checks. With minimal inside speed this week looks like an opportune time to leave the gate. (5) MOJARRA HANOVER has done some of her best racing at the Meadowlands and especially when dropped to this level. Expect Sheehan to get her involved in the early stages. (2) TWIN B ELITE has a good deal of class and must be considered an option when in this cheap.

Race 4

(1) HOT START had the makings of a stakes horse at 2 and 3 but never quite reached an elite level. Now at 4 she appears ready to turn the corner with an inside draw and a field lacking in much substance. (10) JUST FOR A VICTORY may be up against it from the outside but is one of few in this field that has early speed. (4) BAD DAY BLACK ROCK hails from a stable that usually knows when to ship a trotter in.

Race 5

(4) CAPTAIN PRIMEAU shows nothing on paper that would indicate he's ready to win. With that said his 36 career victories didn't come by accident. This veteran performer is more than capable and may just need to get involved early to secure number 37. (6) MONTALBANO BI hasn't looked that good being taken from off the pace and may be in for a change in tactics tonight. (1) DULUTH is certainly placed to earn a share.

Race 6

(9) AXIOS is clearly a horse with plenty of talent if he can only overcome his breaking issues. That said; post ten may offer him a chance not to leave hard and hope that others in the field can escalate the early pace. Without making a break he could have the potential to circle these if given the chance. (1) MAGENTA MAN has done nothing wrong this meet while slowly working his way up the ladder. (2) CELEBRITY PEGASUS has won three of his last four races at this level and certainly must be considered.

Race 7

(9) APRICOT SOUR looked to be the victim of a bad set of circumstances at the start of her Meadowlands debut going offstride and eventually pulling up with broken equipment. She showed plenty of speed and grit in her previous effort at Yonkers and appears to have more than enough talent to take down this crew. (2) VICTORIA MAY N had a hint of pace upon finding room in early stretch last time. Import drops a notch and can do some damage. (7) CAVIART SHELLY had no luck in her local return but may improve with the drop.

Race 8

(1) LAUDERDALE was sent wide into the turn leaving last time and eventually got the worst of it as driver Callahan accepted his fate and took the parked-the-mile journey. That effort has earned him a drop in class and an inside draw won't hurt matters any. (6) MODEST PRINCE should be expected to be tighter the second time around. (8) UP FRONT BILLY returns to a more manageable level.

Race 9

(1) ROCK OF CASHEL exploded when moved to the outside to win impressively in his return to the big track. Though appearing to be outclassed on paper this is quite a formidable horse that may be able to shine again despite the step up. (9) OPULENT YANKEE may find a bit more resistance in attempting to reach the front this time around. His last was a cakewalk. (7) UVA HANOVER can go with these whether from on or off the pace.

Race 10

(4) MC TINYS HOPE appears to be rounding into form with Simons setting the pace in the last two starts. This veteran has had some success over this track and may be coming up to a big effort. (6) DIVINATION probably needed a start over the track to get acclimated to the change in speed and may benefit from the experience. (7) MACKS GOLD BAND though technically entered in the same class he appears to be dropping significantly with this crew.

Race 11

(1) DOBRE POVEDANE appears to be taking her time working into shape but the preps should end with this situation. Daughter of Well Said did hold her ground respectably against a tougher field than this and now needs to step up. (10) BODACIOUS had a rather long journey around the track racing three and four wide through the final turn before trying to kick home into a quick quarter. With that start it may be time for her to get serious early here. (2) HAPPINESS appears to be the type of filly that needs everything to go right; that could happen here.

Race 12

(2) ANGELS RANSOM got outkicked by the horse he gave a perfect trip to last week. This 5-year-old had been in the open last year and now finds himself at the bottom ready to work back up the ladder. (3) IM NOT VANILLA returns to Tetrick in the bike and that combination worked very well two starts back. (9) BELL A CHICK was most impressive coming from far back to circle a slightly cheaper division last week. Post is a drawback but there is clearly ability here.

Race 13

(7) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE needs to get aggressive early in the mile against this crew. Hard-hitting mare was successful with a big speed trip on the engine in January. (5) LIGHTNING PAIGE is another from the Elliott stable that likely may be in need of more seasoning. (8) CAMPANILE finished briskly in last but draws a tough assignment here.

Race 14

(3) ARMBRO DAVID didn't fade badly after an overly aggressive drive last week. Oldtimer has come back strongly and just needs to work out a less stressful journey. (7) EIGHT TEN EOM is a hard-hitting type at this level that should be respected. (8) YOU BET YOUR GLASS showed some of that old class rallying past this type in last. Whether he has the legs to cut a mile remains to be seen.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Friday 2/19 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 45 - 181 / $330.70

BEST BETS: 4 - 15 / $19.80

Best Bet: MAGIC MANNY (7th)

Spot Play: BAD GIRL VEGAS (3rd)


Race 1

(1) M A REFLING She hit the brakes in deep stretch last out; good news is she draws the rail and has every right to top these at her best. (2) DEREK DELIGHT was sitting in the pocket throughout but could not get to the winner last time around. (3) MY IDEAL HANOVER could have a say with a much better trip.

Race 2

(2) SILVER CREDIT Trotting mare was quite sharp last out; has a perfect spot and is very capable of moving forward. (4) SCOTTISH CROSS was sent by Sears down the road recently to grab the victory. (5) LINDA MARIE has put in three nice efforts and figures to be in the mix.

Race 3

(3) BAD GIRL VEGAS was on the rim at the 3/4 pole and just missed the victory by only a neck; should be ready to boss these if she is given a favorable trip. (1) DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY moves down in class and that should help her cause. (4) SENTIMENTAL LADY was nailed at the wire for all the glory in her latest.

Race 4

(1) HAZMATT is on fire scoring her third straight victory; moves now to the fence and figures to keep on her winning ways. (2) KIDDIE MCCARDLE Based on her last three trips, she is clearly knocking at the door. (4) JOKES JET should have a say with the escalation in class.

Race 5

(4) HOORAYFORVACATION Consistent gelding has been in the exacta four straight times; with a fine-timed drive, he can make tonight a winning one. (5) SKATES N PLATES has good speed and gets class relief. (1) VALLEY GLIDER did not fire from the 7-hole so now he will try to get it going from the fence.

Race 6

(6) ROCKN RUBY N Pacing mare is seeking her first victory of the year and this might be a better spot for her; has every right to mow these down. (7) REGIL ELEKTRA was all alone at the wire with a down the road score last out. (8) SELL A BIT N put in a nice qualifier last time around so she could be ready.

Race 7

(2) MAGIC MANNY Sharp in victory in is latest; he retains the 2-hole and two straight is not out of the question. (1) OUTRAGEOUS ART has not been at Yonkers since October 2nd but has done well at his Jersey base. (6) MAJOR TRICK drops a notch in class and that might help his cause.

Race 8

(5) MAH SISH N just held on for win honors against better company last time around; good to see Brennan stays in the bike and he is possible of bossing these for his second straight score. (1) TYE SEELSTER moves way down in class and has the pole position. (3) MR PERSEVERANCE Awesome record upstate puts this guy right in the mix.

Race 9

(5) CANACO STAR led most of the way but in deep stretch she was nailed by Nefertiti Bluechip on January 29th; 10-year-old mare is in solid form and should be able to top these at her best. (1) CHERRY BLISS moves inside and she could make some noise against these. (6) EYRE HOSTESS N closed well to nail down the placing last out.

Race 10

Will try (5) KINGS BARNS again; came extremely wide and broke in the final stretch drive last out; now Dube will take a shot with this gelding for all the glory and the trip will be important. (6) DEMOCRACY N is sharp and consistent hitting the board in his last five tries. (8) HARDTS OR BETTOR has done well of late but will have to do his best from the far outside slot.

Race 11

(7) HIGH COURAGE N Second best in his last start put this guy right square in the mix; Buter was aboard his score two trips ago and could has every right to make tonight a winning one. (4) SIX GUN was sent down the road and led until deep stretch where he was caught by Atta Boy Dan last out. (3) ROCK ICON take a nice drop in class and has good early zip.

Race 12

(1) SEEKING NIRVANA did not fire in her latest try but the good news is she gets post relief and figures to rate and score given a favorable trip. (4) NEFERTITI BLUECHIIP took the pocket route to get up for the victory recently. (2) DUBLIN ROSE Wire to window against lesser in her most previous outing.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Friday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (6th) Irish Heroine, 9-2
(9th) Sound of Freedom, 7-2

Charles Town (6th) Grecian Prince, 3-1
(8th) Counter Move, 7-2


Delta Downs (1st) Run Ranger, 7-2
(8th) Zarb's Brite Lite, 4-1


Fair Grounds (7th) Distant Thoughts, 6-1
(9th) Aniar, 3-1


Golden Gate Fields (1st) Soviet City, 9-2
(6th) This One's for Mel, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Loyal Heart, 4-1
(7th) Dean's Ticket, 5-1


Oaklawn Park (5th) Robinwood, 3-1
(9th) Glacken's Ghost, 7-2

Penn National (4th) Roar of Rohan, 6-1
(6th) Wild Imagination, 8-1

Sam Houston (3rd) Jill's Justice, 3-1
(7th) Sazerock, 5-1


Santa Anita (6th) Wise Tale, 4-1
(7th) Everqueen, 6-1

Tampa Bay Downs (5th) Annabella Hall, 6-1
(6th) Ashleys Angel Eyes, 4-1


Turfway Park (4th) Stature, 7-2
(9th) American Doll, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's six-pack

Some of the longer shots to win the World Series this season:

300-1-- Braves-Rockies-Phillies-- Tough for Colorado to develop pitching.

150-1-- Reds-- Lost Cueto/Chapman, traded Todd Frazier to White Sox.

125-1-- Padres-Brewers-- Milwaukee's new GM looks like a 12-year old.

100-1-- A's-- I'm a fan and tend to be optimistic, but the lineup HAS improved.

60-1-- Marlins-Orioles-- Baltimore spent lot of money this winter.

50-1-- Mariners-Twins-- Minnesota was a surprise contender last season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Dartmouth vs Cornell

Play - Cornell

Edges - Big Red: 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in this series. Big Green: 1-9 SU and 2-5 ATS away this season; and 1-7 SU and 3-5 ATS versus greater than .333 opponents this season. With Cornell sporting a 16-2 SU and 13-5 ATS mark in this series in games in which they own the better record, we recommend a 1* play on Cornell. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Pacers vs Thunder

1* Bonus Play Pacers

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

We’re basing this prediction on a couple of simple, but what we feel to be key factors:

Classic look-ahead spot: With a game vs. the Cavaliers at home on Sunday, followed by a road trip in Dallas and at New Orleans next week, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way looking ahead to those much more “important” contests.

ATS statistics: Note that Indiana is 19-7-2 ATS in its last 28 when playing with three or more days rest, while OKC is is just 15-15 ATS at home this season and only 3-7 ATS in its last ten overall.

The bottom line: When taking into account the “spot” situation and these strong trends, in our professional opinion the PACERS are absolutely worthy of a second look in this position.

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Harvard vs Columbia

Bonus Play Columbia

I'm recommending a play on Columbia on Friday. The Lions are two games back of Yale in the Ivy League standings with four games to go, so there is a chance they could catch the Bulldogs before the end of the season. Tonight, they're "catching" a disappointing Harvard team. Tommy Amaker's troops were 9-8 SU through their first 17 games. That's not bad when you consider they played Providence, Kansas, BYU, Auburn, and Oklahoma, all away from home, beating BYU and Auburn along the way. Harvard has won just one of their last seven games SU, though, and have dropped eight straight ATS. Offense is a problem with just one player averaging in double digits in scoring. So, while they have played well on the defensive end, the Crimson rank 311th in scoring. Making matters worse is their 58% mark at the FT line. If a game is on the line, whether SU or ATS, Harvard's struggles at the stripe will cost you more often than not. Columbia has won 13 of their last 16 SU and average over 76 ppg on the season. Four players average between 16 and 11 ppg and the backcourt is loaded with "dishers." Columbia will look to atone for an OT loss to Princeton in their most recent outing and they have not lost two straight games since late November. In fact, they'll enter on a 12-5 ATS run off a SU loss. Too much offense on one side and not enough on the other. We'll recommend a play on Columbia minus the points on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's Sports

Richmond vs VCU

Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #877 Take Richmond over VCU (Friday 7 pm ESPN 2)

The Rams are starting to be exposed in recent weeks and thus we will gladly take the points in this inner city affair. Richmond gave away the game in their first meeting and they will enter this game with revenge on their minds. The Spiders beat the Rams in both regular season games last year and they have just as much talent as do the Rams.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Heat vs Hawks

Bonus Play Miami Heat

Let's get something straight here. Even though the Heat won't have Chris Bosh and Hassan Whiteside, who is suspended for this one game, they aren't the 76ers or Suns. Yet that's the way the oddsmaker has priced this game.
The Heat rank No. 2 in the NBA in defense permitting 96.3 points a game. They still have a rested Dwayne Wade, who has been playing well the past nine games. Miami has gone 6-3 in those games and needs this game very much trailing Atlanta by one game for the fourth-best record in the Eastern Conference.
OK, so what do the Heat do minus Bosh and his team-leading 19.1 points per game? Veteran Luol Deng and promising rookie Justise Winslow can pick up the slack.
OK, how about no Whiteside then? The Heat didn't have Whiteside against the Hawks when the teams last met on Jan. 31 in Miami. The Heat had no problem beating the Hawks, 105-87. Veteran Amar'e Stoudemire filled in well for Whiteside scoring 13 points and grabbing 12 rebounds in a little more than 21 minutes. Stoudemire is 33, but still can be effective with adequate rest. The Heat last played 10 days ago.
Miami's strength was having a surplus of big men. They still have Stoudemire, Udonis Haslem and Josh McRoberts. The Hawks' major weakness is rebounding. Kyle Korver has turned back into a pumpkin and the other Hawks All-Stars from a year ago are having down performances compared to last season. Atlanta's bench also is weaker than from a year ago.
If this were last season's Hawks, I could see this spread. But not this season. This is a key division game for the Heat. They have the depth and proven big-game veteran toughness to step up in this spot especially having ample rest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Lundin

Nuggets vs Kings

5* NBA Free Pick Denver Nuggets +4

The Sacramento Kings lost eight of their last 10 prior to the All Star break and there are some tension within the club with coach George Karl under heavy fire from upper management. They're 0-5 ATS in their last five and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets won three of four heading into the break and won 103-92 at Detroit their last time out. They're 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Sacramento.

The Kings rank last in the league by allowing 109.1 points per game and an atrocious 118.6 through their last five. I don't think they can stop the Nuggets here and there might even be a good idea to throw a unit on Denver to win outright.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports

Getafe CF vs Levante

Bonus Play Draw +215

I think this soccer match ends 1-1.

Levante 1

Getafe 1