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INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY at MAUI EXPERTS: *4 Unit Play. #857. Take Illinois Chicago +13 over the Butler Bulldogs (Friday @ 7pm est). First, for those of you who cross purchase the nba package, congrats on our 8th straight winning week in the NBA. We come off a nail-biting win with Northwestern against Illinois at home although NW could have won that game outright and frankly should have as they were in command most of the game. Another potential nail-biter tonight is with Illinois Chicago who hits the road at Butler. But, I like Illinois Chicago catching the points here. For starters, the dogs rule the day usually in Friday Night College Basketball. Time and time again, many people simply bet the favorites in college ball and in fact, you one truly wanted to profit, they can play nearly all the dogs on Friday night and more often than not, come out ahead. But, that is neither my style nor choice, as I enjoy my tortoise strategy of 1 play a day per sport as it reduces variance and also makes wagering more enjoyable to some extent to the non-degenerates so it doesn't take over your life with checking the scores of countless games. As per this game, 71% favor Butler. Hence, it's a great reason to be on Illinois Chicago. Do you really think the odds makers will make it that easy for the "Butler" Bulldogs to cover on Friday night college ball? This is not to say they can't or what, but certainly the situation will not be conducive to such a public favorite like Butler to cover tonight. For starters, Illinois Chicago has revenge losing to this team 52-59 earlier this year at home. Hence, it was only a 7 point loss at home to Butler and in a tight scoring contest, getting 13 points is certainly gravy. Furthermore, Butler comes off a huge 18 point win over Wright State who is a top 100 team on the road. Considering Wright State is one of the better teams in the conference, I think this is a dangerous sport for Butler and indeed they are in for a letdown. Bear in mind that we could lose this play - but I think there are a lot of facets going for us. Once again, Illinois Chicago has revenge, Butler is in for a letdown after a huge win over Wright State on the road, Butler has faced other top 200 teams in the same situation at home after a big win and have won by 8-10 points (which is the spread I have this game at to begin with), we are fading 71% of the public, Friday night lights is usually all about the dogs traditionally in college ball over the last four years I have tracked it, it's great to get 13 points on a total of 126 (essentially 10% of the point value given to you prior to the game starting), and not to mention the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS when facing a team with a straight up losing record as it is tough for this team to cover the big spreads placed on them at home. Let's ride the Flames! ^^^^ NOTE, DUE TO THE ALL STAR WEEKEND, THERE WILL NOT BE A NBA PLAY OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY.
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