Friday 11/6/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Friday 11/6 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $15,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (48 - 76 / $168.60): NORTHERN DALI (7TH)

Spot Play: KIMBERLY R (6TH)


Race 1

(8) TAMARAC SMOOCHIE is one of a few in the race with some upside and comes off an impressive win. (7) SANDY WIN never got into the mile last week but takes a significant drop in for a tag. (1) SHOE SHOW was no match for the top choice last week; command a price.

Race 2

(1) SOUTHERN SPECIAL is prone to miscues but if the gelding trots, he wins. (7) SPEEDY RENDEZVOUS faces older but was an easy winner last week on the lead; threat. (3) A LOCAL BAND is 0 for 32 on the year, however the trotter could upset in the right scenario.

Race 3

(10) THE DALI‘S LLAMA just missed last week despite being used multiple times. The pacer should offer a fair price from the far outside. (9) YESSIREEBOB went from sharp to just even in his last effort. If the pacer bounces back he’s a threat. (2) POKER JOE just can’t seem to get over the hump on the big track; use underneath.

Race 4

(2) MISS PAT WEISAR comes into the race off a nasty break but has been facing much tougher in Indiana; top driver’s choice. (10) ODDS ON ROLOMITE is the likely sleeper in the race getting sent out for proven connections. (1) BETTOR‘S BABE raced gamely last out parked half of the mile, but there‘s a negative driver change this time; use underneath.

Race 5

In a really weak and inconsistent field, (3) THE BIG SLEAZY has been competitive against much better on the year. (4) HARPER VALLEY BOY was terrible last week making it three lackluster starts in a row; use caution. (5) MR MATLOCK owns a big burst of speed but has been off his game in recent starts.

Race 6

(8) KIMBERLEY R takes a huge drop down in competition; big chance. (2) WILD BERRY MUFFLER has raced gamely in two straight and looks to offer another nice price. (3) SHEZ A SWIFT was the driver’s choice and also faces much easier.

Race 7

(1) NORTHERN DALI picks up a positive driver change while dropping down in class and drawing inside. (4) FOX VALLEY AUBRY also faces softer but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot. (2) MYSTICAL MJ has beaten better on the year; threat.

Race 8

(10) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU ships back in from Florida and finds a great spot to do some damage. (9) JO JO SPUR didn’t miss by much last week but needs to find a way into the race. (7) GOLDEN-NUGGET has never done his best racing on the big track; use underneath.

Race 9

(3) DP ANGEL does her best racing at this track and owns wins against much better on the year. (4) JINXY‘S DELIGHT was sharp last week but could need more up in class. (1) PARKLANE GLITTER is talented and can pick up the pieces in the right scenario.

Race 10

(4) BARBOSA was the driver’s choice coming off a huge effort at this level. (9) BOYS ROUND HERE drops back down to a spot where he can compete; threat. (3) VITAL TERROR has some question marks coming into the race but will look to make it three straight easy wins in this spot.

Race 11

(6) FOX VALLEY BROOKE has room to improve in a softer spot. (8) WINGS gets sent out for a pilot that should only be used underneath. (3) ALWAYS TALKING hit the board last out against similar.

Race 12

(1) EVA BELLA had no luck in Indiana but was sharp a few starts back at this class. (3) PROSPER will offer a big price in a wide open race. (5) GET THE TERROR can’t be counted out despite the poor record; threat.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Friday 11/6 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,7/1,/1,2,3,6,7/2,3,4,6/1,2,4,5 = $32

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,4,6/1,2,4,5/5,9/5 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 4/1,3/6/ALL = $20

MEET STATS: 58 - 209 / 264.80 BEST BETS: 9 - 18 / $33.10

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 19 / 38.00

Best Bet: KISS ME OR NOT (10th)

Spot Play: SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR (11th)


Race 1

(7) HIGH FASHION MEL is a 7-time winner in 13 starts coming off a break and her qualifier indicates she should be ready to roll. This isn't the toughest field; top call. (1) PUT YOUR BAD ON is sure to get a more aggressive steer from McNair here and looks like the main threat. (2) DOUBLE OLIVES was on a good roll until two back when she started to experience gait issues. She may need this start but should be passing many of these late if she behaves.

Race 2

(1) KATIES BEACH made two moves to win last time and went a big trip from the 10-hole two back. She has really improved since she broke her maiden five weeks ago and will take some beating here. (6) HAZMATT has failed in two straight off first-over trips. Look for Jamieson to work out a different trip here. (2) TWIN B HONOUR should get a good following trip here and stick around for a share.

Race 3

(2) SOUTHWIND GEISHA fell victim to a slow first 1/2 last week and couldn't close on the leader. There should be more action early here which would make her task a bit easier. (6) GRACIES PARADE tried unsuccessfully to close from far back in the same mile and should get a better setup here for her late charge. (7) RIDE AWAY SHARK rode a soft half to a season's-best score and will be winging early again here. Any breather makes her extra dangerous.

Race 4

(2) CLASSIC COMEDY raced well first up last week and should be able to work out a good trip here; top call. (6) CAMPS BAY moves into Zeron's barn here but has missed almost a month. She's capable if ready. (3) WEEKLY SPECIAL moves inside as she makes her third start off a lengthy layoff. She could wake up at a big price here for a trainer known for bringing them back slowly.

Race 5

(5) UTOPIA chased the same tough winner the past two starts in improved efforts for him. He should get a good trip on or near the lead here. (4) DICKS SECRET moves inside which should allow him to lay closer early and get on some cover; using. (2) BLAZING SHOT ships in with good form and moves right into a claimer. He should fit here.

Race 6

(5) LIGHTS GO OUT reversed tactics last week but got burned trying to make the front and stopped late. She gets to drop another class here and may take these coast-to-coast. (9) I GOT TO BOOGIE pressured the choice on the backstretch and hung on decently for third. She is the main threat here. (1) ALIBI TERROR showed nothing from an outer post last time but could pace a mile closer to her win two back here which would make her a threat.

Race 7

(5) MARQUIS VOLO shoots for his 5th straight win here and looks very tough to get it done. (4) IRISH SCOTCH tired late on a wet track last time and could go better here but will need more late speed to threaten the choice. (10) SWAN ON ONE is one of the better closers in the field and could make the bottom of the tri or super at a big price.

Race 8

(4) BRESCIA SEELSTER takes a class plunge here and should be able to handle this group. (7) MACHET ROCKET set a quick pace last time and didn't tire badly considering. She could be right there with more careful rating. (5) MEA LILLEY MARK took a shuffle in behind the one above and is another in with a shot from close range.

Race 9

(3) FATHERS AMIGA was a solid winner in his Woodbine debut and is a good bet to repeat here as likely favorite. (1) STAN THE MAN drops in class and moves inside which should be the recipe for a better result; using. (8) ZUKAV was 2nd to the choice in an improved effort. He should make the triactor here again.

Race 10

(6) KISS ME OR NOT takes a massive class drop here and should blitz these. (3) TABOO SEELSTER also drops slightly and adds Lasix which should help. (2) HAT TRICK HONEY is yet another class-dropper who has done well in this class but history suggests a slice is more likely here.

Race 11

(4) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR was trapped in the pocket for the entire stretch last week and had plenty of pace but no means to use it. She is sharp and ready to win. (5) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE drops and makes her fifth start off a break. She fits this class and should be competitive on or near the pace. (9) OCEANVIEW BINDI drops and will likely be sent early for as far as she goes. (10) WILDCAT BEAUTY also drops and could crack the super at a price. (3) BLACK MAGIC EYES ships in and seems to fit the class. She is another threat in a contentious dash.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Friday 11/6 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 224 - 1059 / $1,536.10 BEST BETS: 28 - 88 / $121.70

Best Bet: JUSTHAVENTMETUYET (12th)

Spot Play: FASHION MYSTERY (5th)


Race 1

0 for 18 (3) FLYING MOCHA might be coming around; moves back inside where she was a game second three trips ago; figures to be a serious threat at her best. (4) SENTIMENTAL LADY took the pocket route on her way to glory last out; main danger. (1) NATY could have a say from the fence.

Race 2

(8) AMERICAN TOWER put in a late run for the show spot last out; draws a bad slot but based on his last two tries, there's an indication he will move forward; consider. (5) QUALITY CLOSER gets serious post relief and that might help his cause. (2) UPPERCUTZ Even finish in his latest; could land a share of the purse.

Race 3

(8) HALL OF TERROR this could be a better spot for this sophomore gelding to put it all together; posied to rate and score over these. (4) OK GALAHAD has put in three straight good efforts. In his last try, he was a beaten third at odds on; dangerous. (3) DOUBLE YOUR BET draws a better slot. Got the job done two trips ago; not out of this.

Race 4

(4) BRUSSELS HANOVER did not fire in her latest. However this pacing miss did flash speed two starts back and good to see Brennan at the helm; threat. (2) I DO IT MYSELF was second best at this level last week; big player in here. (6) LITTLE MISS HENRY closed sharply from dead last to nail down the fourth spot; can't count her out of this.

Race 5

(1) FASHION MYSTERY moves down the ladder for this event; pacer gets the best of the draw and with a favorable trip, she can get the job done. (4) GRACE SEELSTER was sent by Brennan down the road last time out for all the marbles; once again quite dangerous. (8) INTOVIEW charged down the center of the track to make last week a winning one; post hurts but is very capable.

Race 6

(7) LOCAL ART Two sharp efforts in a row. Last start this gal put in a game second; if she can overcome the outside post, the rest will have to settle for second money. (2) BAD GIRL VEGAS got the job done last out down the road; main danger. (1) LOVE OF LIBERTY has done well in her last three starts and moves to the rail; must be considered in the exotics.

Race 7

(5) HOT RODDY Gelding missed the victory by only a neck; poised to put his best foot forward. (3) INNOCENT VICTIM moves down in class and has tactical speed; contender. (6) LUCKY TERROR has hit the board in his last five tries; very capable.

Race 8

(2) SKIPPIN BY flashed good speed against some of the top open pacing mares in the country at Woodbine last out. She makes her return to Yonkers where she was a very game second three starts ago; the pick. (8) KRISPY APPLE is on a roll scoring her third straight victory; the one to deny. (6) CINAMONY has been on the board in her last three tries so she is knocking at the door; watch out.

Race 9

(5) LA FIESTA's last start was a fair effort; with a fine-timed drive from Carlson, this pacing mare can make her return to the winner's circle. (2) NEFERTITI BLUECHIP got the job done wire to wire last out; must be considered. (1) KAITLYN RAE another one that went down the road last time around for all the glory; retains the rail so beware again.

Race 10

(7) ELISAVETA N Pacing mare put in a mild rally last out; could mow these down with a complete meltdown of the early leaders. (1) CLORIS HANOVER moves to the rail slot and that should help her cause; main danger. (3) ROYAL KNOCKOUT lost her last trip by only a length and a half last week; don't overlook.

Race 11

(4) CAROBBEAN PACETRY showed good speed at the level last out; pacing mare figures to make some serious noise down the lane; threat at her best. (2) EYRE HOSTESS N closed sharply to nail down the placing last out; sharp contender. (1) ACT NOW has speed and the rail slot; most likely will be on the engine again; not out of this by far.

Race 12

(6) JUSTHAVENTMETUYET Trainer Forte pushes the down button on this pacing miss; draws badly but is sharp enough to get the job done over these. (1) CAROLSIDEAL Two sharp seconds in a row puts this gal in the mix; the good news is she moves back inside; big threat. (2) UF DRAGONS QUEEN took the pocket route and just got up for win honors last week; will be tough again.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Friday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (8th) Star of New York, 7-2
(9th) Lady's First, 7-2

Charles Town (6th) Fiddlers Elbow, 3-1
(7th) Pyritedan, 6-1


Churchill Downs (2nd) Fleet Gold Digger, 5-1
(3rd) Eternal Ruler, 8-1

Del Mar (3rd) Silver Summer, 3-1
(8th) Secret Chords, 6-1

Delta Downs (7th) Snowy Girl, 3-1
(8th) Lou's Delta Blues, 9-2


Finger Lakes (5th) Lady Lucky, 3-1
(7th) Golden Fire, 3-1

Golden Gate Fields (3rd) One Night Wonder, 6-1
(7th) Argyle Cut, 6-1


Gulfstream Park West (1st) With a Kiss, 10-1
(6th) Corinthian's Glory, 7-2

Hawthorne (2nd) Bandit Man, 3-1
(7th) Precious Beth, 8-1


Laurel Park (4th) Summer Morn, 8-1
(8th) Tallow, 6-1


Penn National (1st) Flying Tinkerbell, 3-1
(5th) Kingdom's Crown, 5-1

Remington Park (6th) Diva's Rule, 7-2
(9th) Companion Pass, 7-2


Woodbine (5th) La Soul, 3-1
(6th) Lumber Man, 8-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's six-pack

Football trends to ponder with Week 9 upon us..........

-- Tennessee Titans are 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as a road underdog

-- Florida State is 2-5 vs spread in last seven tries as an underdog

-- Dallas is 0-5 since Romo got hurt, scoring two TDs on 30 drives last three games

-- Penn State won/covered five of last six games with Northwestern.

-- Carolina Panthers won their last eleven regular season games.

-- Since 2006, Navy is 23-9 against the spread as a road underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Temple at Southern Methodist

Temple Owls at Southern Methodist Mustangs (+12.5, 51)

More than two months into the season, Temple finally suffered a loss - and a tough one at that. Still, the 23rd-ranked Owls have their eyes set on big things as they seek a strong rebound performance Friday against host SMU.

The Owls led late against then-No. 9 Notre Dame before suffering a 24-20 home defeat that stung badly but ultimately kept their primary goal intact. “Our goal is to win a conference championship. And at the end of the day, that game has no effect on that," Temple linebacker Tyler Matakevich told the media this week. "So we will watch the film and see what we did wrong and get it corrected, because we have a short week.” The Owls now must contend with a Mustangs team that has given up 112 points in two games against ranked opponents this season. "We've got our work cut out for us this week," SMU coach Chad Morris said to reporters. "We've got an opportunity to play a very, very good football team on a national television stage at home this week. We'll be prepared."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Owls as 14-point road faves, but that has since moved to -12.5. The total is down to 51 from the opening 58.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Temple - RB Jahad Thomas (Probable, ribs), DL Jullian Taylor (Out indefinitely, undisclosed), DL Josian Bronson (Out for season, ankle).

SMU - LB Kyran Mitchell (out for season, undisclosed), DB Horace Richards (out for season, undisclosed), OL Daniel McCarty (out for season, knee), WR James Proche (out for season, eligibility), RB Daniel Gresham (out for season, neck), OL Seaver Myers (out for season, undisclosed).

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 19 percent chence of rain and thunderstorms and temperatures in the low 60s.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Owls are coming off a tough loss to Notre Dame, but they should hang their heads high after giving the Irish a heck of a fight." Jesse Schule.

ABOUT TEMPLE (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS, 3-5 O/U): According to coach Matt Rhule, Temple will be without a "number of starters" against SMU, including center Kyle Friend (knee) and perhaps running back Jahad Thomas (ribs). One player who will be on the field is quarterback P.J. Walker, who scuffled to 13-of-30 for 188 yards against the Fighting Irish as his completion percentage decreased for the third straight game. The loss of Thomas would be huge, as he leads the team with 904 rushing yards and 13 TDs - 245 more yards and 10 more rushing TDs than all of his teammates combined.

ABOUT SMU (1-7 SU, 4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U): The Mustangs' seven defeats have come to teams with a combined record of 42-15, including three teams that are currently undefeated. Matt Davis leads the team in passing (1,779 yards, 14 TDs, four INTs) and rushing (450 yards, seven TDs), while Courtland Sutton is by far the most dangerous receiver on the squad with team highs of 38 catches, 719 yards and nine scores. Darius Joseph is another vertical weapon and needs four catches to move into third place on the school's all-time list.

TRENDS:

* Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Mustangs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
* Under is 7-3 in Owls last 10 games overall.
* Over is 9-2 in Mustangs last 11 games following a ATS loss.

CONSENSUS: Seventy-one percent are backing the Owls.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Friday, Nov 6, 2015 11/06 7:35 PM EST

(503) LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS (504) BROOKLYN NETS

Take: (503) LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Friday, November 6, 2015 is in the NBA contest between LA Lakers and the Nets. LA is a dog to a bad Brooklyn team that is winless and 1-4 ATS. The Lakers have played a tougher schedule and have a close loss to Minnesota. They are rested for this road game and the Lakers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Eastern Conference. Brooklyn isn't doing anything right, getting hammered both home and away. The Nets are 0-5 ATS playing on one days rest, as well as 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. When these teams meet the road team is 18-5-4 ATS in the last 27 meetings and the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. And the Lakers are 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Brooklyn. Play the LA Lakers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Kansas vs Texas

Bonus Play Under

It takes a lot of offensive ineptness to get shut out by Iowa State. But Charlie Strong's Texas squad managed to pull off the feat last week losing, 24-0. The Cyclones had allowed an average of 52 points per game during their last three games.
Now the Longhorns host Kansas. The mighty Jayhawks offense scored seven points last week against Oklahoma.
These are two really bad offenses. Yet the total is in the 50's because the defenses aren't good either, especially the Jayhawks. The defensive numbers, though, are skewed by constantly playing against high-scoring fellow Big 12 Conference foes.
There is no excuse for the offenses. Kansas is 122nd in scoring averaging a puny 16.5 points a game. The Jayhawks rank 115th in total yards. Texas rates even worse - 118th in total yards, averaging less than 135 yards passing.
Neither team can throw so there's going to be a lot of running, which eats clock. Texas quarterback Jerrod Heard has gone four straight games without breaking the 100-yard passing barrier.
Kansas, which starts six freshmen on offense, starts a backup quarterback (Ryan Willis) who has one more touchdown throw than interception on the season. On the year, Kansas quarterbacks have combined for seven touchdown passes and six interceptions.
The Longhorns have picked up their pass rush piling up 17 sacks in their last three games. The Jayhawks have not been able to go above 300 yards total offense in four of their last five games.
So it's no wonder there are heavy trends pointing to another under such as Kansas falling below the total in 12 of its last 15 road contests and the under cashing in 22 of Texas' past 29 overall games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo a perfectly awful 10

Happy Movember, HondoNation! The month dedicated to calling attention to men’s health issues also evidently means Hondo, who went 2-10-2 in Week 8, will be calling attention to even mo’ losses this month than usual. While it’s a small sample size, the theory will be tested further with the following:

Jets over Jaguars: It’s a fairly good indication a team has zero depth at quarterback when a player with torn thumb ligaments is pressed into action against the perennially pathetic Jaguars. Nevertheless, assuming Fitz is able to function well enough to carry out his game-managing responsibilities, and the vaunted Jets’ “D” doesn’t whiff on 20 tackles again, Gang Green will be money.

Giants over Buccaneers: Coming off Big Blue’s big debacle in the Big Easy, the knee-jerk reaction is to go with Winston and Co. to light up the Giants’ defense. However, never underestimate the value of supporting a team in a Manhood Reclamation Game. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo and his easy-pass defenders will be on a mission to retrieve theirs Sunday at Raymond James Stadium.

Raiders over Steelers: If Matt Harvey wasn’t begging out of games this season, he was begging into them. Here’s some free advice for The Dark Diva: Pitch when you’re told to pitch, like every other major league hurler does. Rumor has it Jimmy Fallon didn’t care whether the Mets won or lost. Either way, there was going to be a traditional celebration or a ritual drowning of sorrows.

Vikings over Rams: Props to “the puppet” for being named to the Toy Hall of Fame. Accepting the award word will be the Democrat marionettes from R-S MSNBC (Ratings-Starved MSNBC), R-S CNBC, NBC, CBS, ABC, CNN and Al Jazeera.

Dolphins over Bills: Somewhere along the line politicians came up with the idea that if they repeatedly bother you at home with robo calls, it somehow will make you want to vote for them. They might want to reassess that strategy.

Saints over Titans: The North Carolina Tar Heels not only are ranked No. 1 in the AP preseason hoop poll. but also are No. 1 in the poll that ranks universities that have gone unpunished despite committing decades worth of grievous academic violations.

Patriots over Redskins: From emailer BarkingMut, aka the HondoNation SoBe Bureau Chief: Ahmed Mohamed, who was honored at the White House recently as a victim of insensitivity against Muslims after making a clock that looked like an explosive device, was unable to set back his bomb-like timepiece an hour last Saturday night. Apparently, he couldn’t recall which of the three wires controls the time, which defuses the device, and which triggers it.

Panthers over Packers: Notre Dame’s Brian Kelly had another sideline eruption Saturday when he grabbed and pushed his conditioning coach, David Grimes during the game against Temple. Kelly said he did it to prevent Grimes, from getting a 15-yard penalty for arguing with a ref, but Hondo suspects he did it because he’s a raving lunatic.

With pushovers scheduled for the next three weeks, word is Kelly already is working on his pregame oratory for the Nov. 28 Stanford game. Sources say it will be a take-off on Knute Rockne’s legendary “Win One for the Gipper” speech, only Kelly, with eyes bugging and face turning purple, will implore the Fighting Irish to “Win one for me, The Psycho!!!”

49ers over Falcons: Forbes magazine named Vladimir Putin the World’s Most Powerful Person for the second straight year. Obama dropped to third place behind Germany’s Angela Merkel, which is what happens when the so-called Leader of the Free World doesn’t insist on getting back American hostages as part of a nuke deal with the Iranians.

Broncos over Colts: Two from Emauler Ed Buckmir: The ACC suspended the officiating crew from the Miami-Duke game for botching the Hurricanes’ game-winning, 49-second touchdown play as time ran out. Next stop for the zebras? The NFL, of course.
Part 2 of the double-Ed sword: Credit is due Marco Rubio for his strong debate performances and recent rise in the polls. However, don’t give him too much credit — he may use it for personal expenses.

Cowboys over Eagles: The Cowboys cut running back Joseph Randle, who was caught last year liberating underwear and cologne from a department store. Apparently, there was no issue with getting busted for stealing; the problem came when Randle stopped running like he stole something.

Chargers over Bears: Bernie Sanders introduced legislation to end federal laws that make marijuana illegal. Smoking it will be a crime only if you’re caught bogarting that joint, which is a direct violation of the Doddering Old Socialist’s principles.

Best bets: Patriots, Cowboys, Chargers.

Thursday night: Bengals [W].

 

[loneranger]

Wondering... how does one purchase (or get) the plays for Game Day/Bill Hilton, Underdog, Underdog Hotline and Big Dr. Tom? Don't see websites to purchase. Also a few others who turn up in the forums are Dennis Hill, Bill Bailey, Danny Sheridan, Frank Magliosa and Randy White. You can't purchase Danny Sheridan's plays from his website. I can't imagine that they "only" release their plays to a consensus service. Also, which consensus service is the best? Pays originate somewhere??? One site posts a mistake and several others copy & paste it including some consensus sites...