Red Mile: Friday 10/3 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF HARNESS
Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: CODE BON (11th)
Spot Play: SUGARMAKESMECRAZY (4th)
Race 1
(3) ZIP CODE ENVY finds one of the shakier fields she has seen in terms of consistency. Jimmy Takter student can get the jump on this abbreviated field. (2) MY LITTLE DELIGHT had no shot last week after chasing a slow half. (4) BETTOR N BETTER comes off a decent line and doesn't need to step up much to win.
Race 2
(3) BIGHANDSBIGGLOVES is winless on the year but faces a similarly lifeless group. He has as good a shot as any and will offer value. (4) LUCKY TEN K made an early miscue last time, something that is becoming a trend. Colt has a shot if he behaves. (5) MYTHOLOGY BLUECHIP has finished second or third in six straight starts.
Race 3
(1) BETTOR B STEPPIN has to prove she can go with (2) JK SHE'SALADY, but she has the inside post edge and won't find a better chance to unseat the divisional leader. The latter is perfect in seven starts and clearly the one to beat. (7) HEAVENLY BRIDE closed well with no shot in her latest; another tough assignment.
Race 4
(2) SUGARMAKESMECRAZY posted a good uncovered try in his mile track debut. He fits on speed and with only four career starts is eligible to move forward. (1) FRENCH LAUNDRY steps up on Friday but has proven formidable. My only issue is that he won't be worth the probable 2-5 mutuel price. (5) BIG RICH comes off a decent effort for a barn that has started the meet nicely.
Race 5
(5) SASSA HANOVER romped easily in her Lexington debut and a repeat effort makes her a winner again. (1) DIVINE CAROLINE was a good second last week but needs to stay closer to have a shot to win. (7) IDEAL NUGGETS bested the former last week at big odds and deserves some respect now.
Race 6
(4) MISTRESSTOTHESTARS was used hard and stuck around for fourth last time. She gets the narrow call. (6) JUST FINE gained mildly into fast fractions most recently. (2) BLIXTRA was in over her head in the Bluegrass series; this is easier. (7) SWINGING CAM closed nicely after a good trip last time; player.
Race 7
(5) SHOOT THE THRILL finds a field without an obvious horse despite the possibility of an odds-on favorite from the outside post. New driver Brett Miller can perk this young gelding up. (7) WALTER WHITE has the ability but just isn't right yet. He'll get there eventually, but you might have to wait until next year. (9) SPECIAL ACTION is the one to beat in theory, but he'll have to clear a bunch of horses to make the front and seems unlikely to get an easy trip this week. (1) EXPLOSIVE DRAMA wasn't that bad last time and isn't too much of a stretch.
Race 8
(4) PINKMAN has shown a nose for the wire recently. At least from a time standpoint, there is no reason to think that he can't best the undefeated (6) BILLY FLYNN. The latter has yet to lose in eight starts. (5) CANEPA HANOVER is another with talent that is a work in progress. Don't sell him short if the price is juicy. (7) WHATAWORKOUT could be a player if he minds his manners.
Race 9
(6) MUSCLE DIAMOND took his shot at Billy Flynn but the slow pace set by the winner cost this guy the chance at victory. This field has more early speed and overall ability, which should set up nicely for Muscle Diamond. (9) UNCLE LASSE is the clear one to beat if he minds his manners. (3) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER is a clear player and should at least be ensuring a quick pace.
Race 10
(2) THE BANK could not have won more easily last week; this colt was loaded in deep stretch. The price should be right in what looks like the toughest International Stallion Stakes division. (5) CENTURION ATM was done in by a rough uncovered trip and long layoff last week; deserving favorite. (4) SOUTHWIND STRYKER upset the former last week after tracking him the entire mile. (1) WHOM SHALL I FEAR is started to come into his own after a slow start.
Race 11
(5) CODE BON was carried wide by a breaker, attacked uncovered and still held pretty well in his career debut. He looks like a legit odds-on favorite that should romp. (4) TRUST FUND BABY came up with a big mile on the rim last week. (7) CURFEW & (8) KICKFLIP both appear capable of getting a big piece if they behave.
By Derick Giwner
DRF HARNESS
Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: CODE BON (11th)
Spot Play: SUGARMAKESMECRAZY (4th)
Race 1
(3) ZIP CODE ENVY finds one of the shakier fields she has seen in terms of consistency. Jimmy Takter student can get the jump on this abbreviated field. (2) MY LITTLE DELIGHT had no shot last week after chasing a slow half. (4) BETTOR N BETTER comes off a decent line and doesn't need to step up much to win.
Race 2
(3) BIGHANDSBIGGLOVES is winless on the year but faces a similarly lifeless group. He has as good a shot as any and will offer value. (4) LUCKY TEN K made an early miscue last time, something that is becoming a trend. Colt has a shot if he behaves. (5) MYTHOLOGY BLUECHIP has finished second or third in six straight starts.
Race 3
(1) BETTOR B STEPPIN has to prove she can go with (2) JK SHE'SALADY, but she has the inside post edge and won't find a better chance to unseat the divisional leader. The latter is perfect in seven starts and clearly the one to beat. (7) HEAVENLY BRIDE closed well with no shot in her latest; another tough assignment.
Race 4
(2) SUGARMAKESMECRAZY posted a good uncovered try in his mile track debut. He fits on speed and with only four career starts is eligible to move forward. (1) FRENCH LAUNDRY steps up on Friday but has proven formidable. My only issue is that he won't be worth the probable 2-5 mutuel price. (5) BIG RICH comes off a decent effort for a barn that has started the meet nicely.
Race 5
(5) SASSA HANOVER romped easily in her Lexington debut and a repeat effort makes her a winner again. (1) DIVINE CAROLINE was a good second last week but needs to stay closer to have a shot to win. (7) IDEAL NUGGETS bested the former last week at big odds and deserves some respect now.
Race 6
(4) MISTRESSTOTHESTARS was used hard and stuck around for fourth last time. She gets the narrow call. (6) JUST FINE gained mildly into fast fractions most recently. (2) BLIXTRA was in over her head in the Bluegrass series; this is easier. (7) SWINGING CAM closed nicely after a good trip last time; player.
Race 7
(5) SHOOT THE THRILL finds a field without an obvious horse despite the possibility of an odds-on favorite from the outside post. New driver Brett Miller can perk this young gelding up. (7) WALTER WHITE has the ability but just isn't right yet. He'll get there eventually, but you might have to wait until next year. (9) SPECIAL ACTION is the one to beat in theory, but he'll have to clear a bunch of horses to make the front and seems unlikely to get an easy trip this week. (1) EXPLOSIVE DRAMA wasn't that bad last time and isn't too much of a stretch.
Race 8
(4) PINKMAN has shown a nose for the wire recently. At least from a time standpoint, there is no reason to think that he can't best the undefeated (6) BILLY FLYNN. The latter has yet to lose in eight starts. (5) CANEPA HANOVER is another with talent that is a work in progress. Don't sell him short if the price is juicy. (7) WHATAWORKOUT could be a player if he minds his manners.
Race 9
(6) MUSCLE DIAMOND took his shot at Billy Flynn but the slow pace set by the winner cost this guy the chance at victory. This field has more early speed and overall ability, which should set up nicely for Muscle Diamond. (9) UNCLE LASSE is the clear one to beat if he minds his manners. (3) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER is a clear player and should at least be ensuring a quick pace.
Race 10
(2) THE BANK could not have won more easily last week; this colt was loaded in deep stretch. The price should be right in what looks like the toughest International Stallion Stakes division. (5) CENTURION ATM was done in by a rough uncovered trip and long layoff last week; deserving favorite. (4) SOUTHWIND STRYKER upset the former last week after tracking him the entire mile. (1) WHOM SHALL I FEAR is started to come into his own after a slow start.
Race 11
(5) CODE BON was carried wide by a breaker, attacked uncovered and still held pretty well in his career debut. He looks like a legit odds-on favorite that should romp. (4) TRUST FUND BABY came up with a big mile on the rim last week. (7) CURFEW & (8) KICKFLIP both appear capable of getting a big piece if they behave.
