8/23 Kansas State -24 for 2.5%,
at -25 doesnt change it much. KState regularly destroys weak defensive teams by more than 30. New QB for Cal, many question marks elsewhere. KState may play for the nat'l title this year, their QB and RB can both break any play for a TD, Snyder does not run the clock out, even when up by 30 or more, this is at Arrowhead Stadium, so it's not exactly a home game, but CAL does not travel well, and it's a short drive from Manhattan, KS. I have taken big dogs against KState in the past and have learned my lesson after they fail to cover by more than 3 TDs. I typically dont wager more than 1.5% on NCAA football but I like my initial position and can middle this later if I decide to. The Wildcats may win this by 35-40, a lot depends on what CAL does on offense, KState has the athletes to destroy CAL on both sides of the ball.
NFL week one: ATL -2
I'm not sure if there are any 2's or 2.5's left, and I posted in the NFL forum that this was definitely going to 3, but if you can find one then think back to the SF/NYG game in week one last year, it's nice to start the season well ahead. The result could be the same, I am probably going to middle quite a bit of this back at +3.5 or better. It's tough to determine what the odds of the middle hitting with Dallas' lack of offensive showing but after that game I knew this was going to at least 3. Teams with new coaches typically struggle for a while as they learn the system.