Day 4:
Koepka(+125) over Rahm
- - I’m finding far more suspicions about Rahm than Koepka in a big spot in the right now.
Kisner(-125) over Scott
- - Scott takes him out?
Zalatoris(-150) over Na
- - Will putt very well.
Stop there, or add the next set of plays, or add just one more play?
Conners(-160) over Kanaya
- - Took out Noren.
Horschel (+130) over Scheffler
- - At first I gave the intangibles to Scheffler, then I wasn’t so sure. Then I decided waiting almost 3 hours for a lengthy playoff was unlikely to be a momentum builder, and it feels like some value with the dog.
Morikawa vs. Ancer
- - I found this to be an interesting quote from Morikawa: “(I played with Abe) last week the first two days at Valspar. But I know he's a good player, he makes a lot of putts, he's a great lag putter . . .” If Collin’s take on a competitor he chooses to mention is that you are a great lag putter, I will put a lot of stock in that. I suspect that would make Augusta a fun favorite for Ancer, and his two prior finishes of 13th and 26th now have him on my radar for going well at the Masters . . . Anyway, I definitely have a slight lean to Morikawa, but not at a steep (-150) price.
GL
Koepka(+125) over Rahm
- - I’m finding far more suspicions about Rahm than Koepka in a big spot in the right now.
Kisner(-125) over Scott
- - Scott takes him out?
Zalatoris(-150) over Na
- - Will putt very well.
Stop there, or add the next set of plays, or add just one more play?
Conners(-160) over Kanaya
- - Took out Noren.
Horschel (+130) over Scheffler
- - At first I gave the intangibles to Scheffler, then I wasn’t so sure. Then I decided waiting almost 3 hours for a lengthy playoff was unlikely to be a momentum builder, and it feels like some value with the dog.
Morikawa vs. Ancer
- - I found this to be an interesting quote from Morikawa: “(I played with Abe) last week the first two days at Valspar. But I know he's a good player, he makes a lot of putts, he's a great lag putter . . .” If Collin’s take on a competitor he chooses to mention is that you are a great lag putter, I will put a lot of stock in that. I suspect that would make Augusta a fun favorite for Ancer, and his two prior finishes of 13th and 26th now have him on my radar for going well at the Masters . . . Anyway, I definitely have a slight lean to Morikawa, but not at a steep (-150) price.
GL
The Masters:
Outrights:
Dustin Johnson(16/1) e.w.
Abraham Ancer(70/1) e.w.
Sam Burns(40/1) e.w.
Brooks Koepka(20/1) e.w.
Tony Finau(45/1) e.w.
Sepp Straka(33/1) e.w. Top European
Hudson Swafford(200/1) e.w. Top American
Si Woo Kim(16/1) e.w. Top R.O.W.
Justin Rose(60/1) e.w. First Round Leader
Harry Higgs(125/1) e.w. First Round Leader
Matchups:
D.Johnson(+100) over McIlroy (Tournament)
Thomas(-105) over Rahm (Tournament)
Schauffele(-110) over Spieth (Tournament)
Woods(-110) to Make Cut
Woods(+138 ) Un72' First Round
Smith(+120) over Casey/DeChambeau (First Round)
Higgs(+250) over Cink/Harman (First Round)
GL
Outrights:
Dustin Johnson(16/1) e.w.
Abraham Ancer(70/1) e.w.
Sam Burns(40/1) e.w.
Brooks Koepka(20/1) e.w.
Tony Finau(45/1) e.w.
Sepp Straka(33/1) e.w. Top European
Hudson Swafford(200/1) e.w. Top American
Si Woo Kim(16/1) e.w. Top R.O.W.
Justin Rose(60/1) e.w. First Round Leader
Harry Higgs(125/1) e.w. First Round Leader
Matchups:
D.Johnson(+100) over McIlroy (Tournament)
Thomas(-105) over Rahm (Tournament)
Schauffele(-110) over Spieth (Tournament)
Woods(-110) to Make Cut
Woods(+138 ) Un72' First Round
Smith(+120) over Casey/DeChambeau (First Round)
Higgs(+250) over Cink/Harman (First Round)
GL
Friday:
Straka(-120) over Molinari/Mize
Ancer(-120) over Garcia
Harman(-120) over Kisner
MacIntyre(-133) over Schwartzel/Sheperd
Cantlay(+100) over Rahm
Matsuyama(+120) over Thomas/Piot
(Correction: Thursday was Higgs +150(6/4), not +250.)
In-running:
Lucas Glover(500/1) e.w.
- - I'm making a wager on 1/5 for Top 5, with a dab wasted on a lightning strike; MacIntyre(250/1), or even Straka(750/1), are better value for any win, but they are not G.Lover.
GL
Straka(-120) over Molinari/Mize
Ancer(-120) over Garcia
Harman(-120) over Kisner
MacIntyre(-133) over Schwartzel/Sheperd
Cantlay(+100) over Rahm
Matsuyama(+120) over Thomas/Piot
(Correction: Thursday was Higgs +150(6/4), not +250.)
In-running:
Lucas Glover(500/1) e.w.
- - I'm making a wager on 1/5 for Top 5, with a dab wasted on a lightning strike; MacIntyre(250/1), or even Straka(750/1), are better value for any win, but they are not G.Lover.
GL
