FLAWLESS NBA FORMULA (1st year)

[jdaiuto420]

gettin crushed tonight... doublin down on Denver

 

[jdaiuto420]

cant catch a break tonight... another wierd night in the NBA, 59 points by the Magic .... what a joke

lookin like a 1-5 night cuz nothing will fall for denver and dallas got a magnet attached to there shots

 

[jdaiuto420]

1-5 last night... horrid

Tonight's Plays

01:30PM LA Clippers vs. Indiana 03/20/12
07:05PM 651 Over 188 -110

01:30PM Phoenix vs. Miami - NBA 03/20/12
07:35PM 653 Over 199½ -110

01:30PM Toronto vs. New York 03/20/12
07:35PM 656 NEW YORK KNICKS -9 -110

01:30PM Toronto vs. New York 03/20/12
07:35PM 656 Under 199½ -110

01:30PM Oklahoma City vs. Utah 03/20/12
09:05PM 659 OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -3 -110

01:30PM Memphis vs. Sacramento 03/20/12
10:05PM 662 SACRAMENTO KINGS +3 -110

01:30PM Milwaukee vs. Portland 03/20/12
10:05PM 663 MILWAUKEE BUCKS +4 -110

 

[TerribleCapper]

I have 2 words for you

Ignor List

 

[Bruins4Life]

I have 2 words for you

Ignor List

I have 7 words for you:

You do not know how to spell.

 

[Bruins4Life]

Looks like 5-2

 

[jdaiuto420]

5-2 Last night...

TODAYS PLAYS

10:28AM New York vs. Philadelphia - ESPN 03/21/12
07:05PM 752 Under 192 -110

10:28AM Chicago vs. Toronto 03/21/12
07:05PM 753 CHICAGO BULLS -7½ -110

10:28AM Phoenix vs. Orlando 03/21/12
07:05PM 755 PHOENIX SUNS +8½ -110

10:28AM Phoenix vs. Orlando 03/21/12
07:05PM 756 Under 192 -110

10:28AM Cleveland vs. Atlanta 03/21/12
07:35PM 758 ATLANTA HAWKS -7½ -110

10:28AM Washington vs. New Jersey 03/21/12
07:35PM 760 Under 204 -110

10:28AM Golden State vs. New Orleans 03/21/12
08:05PM 761 Over 188 -110

10:28AM LA Lakers vs. Dallas - ESPN 03/21/12
09:35PM 769 Over 188 -110

10:28AM LA Lakers vs. Dallas - ESPN 03/21/12
09:35PM 770 DALLAS MAVERICKS -4½ -110


Still waiting on the MIN/SAS and DET/DEN lines.... will post any further plays

 

[jdaiuto420]

adding...

12:22PM LA Clippers vs. Oklahoma City 03/21/12
08:05PM 764 Under 197 -110

12:22PM Minnesota vs. San Antonio 03/21/12
08:35PM 766 SAN ANTONIO SPURS -9½ -110

12:22PM Minnesota vs. San Antonio 03/21/12
08:35PM 766 Under 208½ -110

....12 total plays.....:shocked:...2n should be interesting@)

 

[jdaiuto420]

I'm taking Phoenix ML +325(1/2 unit) ,OFF THE RECORD, I got them winning by 8


Orlando has been really weak, while Phoenix has been fire lately... lead Miami the whole time... Defense really shut them down for the most part.. however it's hard to beat the Heat @ home...

Orlando on the other hand....Phoenix didn't have to double travel, just a short bus trip to Orlando from Miami

Home team is getting way to much love, wrong team favored in my opinion... and the formula agrees

 

[TerribleCapper]

I have 7 words for you:

You do not know how to spell.

You mite be rigth

 

[jdaiuto420]

6-6 last night.... could have been a lot worse

...moving on...

tonights plays

801 Indiana vs. Washington
INDIANA PACERS -6½ -110

804 Boston vs. Milwaukee - NBAtv
MILWAUKEE BUCKS -3½ -110

Boston vs. Milwaukee - NBAtv
Under 199 -110

805 Golden State vs. Houston
Over 195½ -110

807 LA Clippers vs. New Orleans
Over 181 -110

809 Memphis vs. Portland
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -1 -110

809 Memphis vs. Portland
Over 194 -110

 

[jdaiuto420]

aright guys... I GOT SOME SICK NEWS!!

I've been saying for a while that I was going to get my friend to input all the stats we use for our formula into his actuary program and I finally got him to do it...

Pretty much we input the stats, click a button, and it wrote a new formula for us...

I'm still waiting on him to transfer the new formula into our excel program and then... it's profits from here on out!!

Just a little sneak preview of what is to come in the near future..aka TOMORROW


Teams A-Score F-Score

Phoenix 93.000 89.910
Orlando 103.000 102.242

New York 82.000 80.747
Philadelphia 79.000 81.074

Chicago 94.000 92.427
Toronto 82.000 82.515

Cleveland 102.000 103.083
Atlanta 103.000 104.762

Washington 108.000 105.070
New Jersey 89.000 88.658

Golden State 101.000 101.665
New Orleans 92.000 93.018

Clippers 91.000 93.906
Oklahoma City 114.000 116.582

Minnesota 100.000 98.606
San Antonio 116.000 114.493

Detroit 115.000 113.516
Denver 116.000 115.775

Lakers 109.000 110.130
Dallas 93.000 93.822

... in case this this doesnt format right when I submit the post....

The Scores on the Left are the Actual Scores, and the Scores on the right are the Formula Scores... How sickeningly close are those scores..

IM PUMPED! I HOPE YOU GUYS ARE!!!!

 

[Bruins4Life]

Hope it works. Were you able to back test anything?

 

[ECC]

interesting to see how this one turns out...until now that you have a spread sheet in the works, what was the determination that you use to make a play? or were you just playing your predicted outcomes and inputing the spreads?

 

[jdaiuto420]

interesting to see how this one turns out...until now that you have a spread sheet in the works, what was the determination that you use to make a play? or were you just playing your predicted outcomes and inputing the spreads?

I was basing my plays off my original formula that was red hot off the bat...clearly a fluke...

this new formula took past data and outcomes to and ran it through millions and millions of simulations and wrote this formula I have now... as I continue to add data.. it gets more accurate

 

[jdaiuto420]

tonight's plays


03:36PM Phoenix vs. Indiana 03/23/12
07:05PM 857 Over 196 -110

03:36PM Phoenix vs. Indiana 03/23/12
07:05PM 858 INDIANA PACERS -3½ -110

03:36PM Miami vs. Detroit 03/23/12
07:35PM 860 DETROIT PISTONS +9 -110

03:36PM Miami vs. Detroit 03/23/12
07:35PM 860 Under 192 -110

03:36PM Boston vs. Philadelphia - ESPN 03/23/12
08:05PM 864 Under 177½ -110

03:36PM Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City 03/23/12
08:05PM 865 MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +10½ -110

03:36PM Dallas vs. San Antonio 03/23/12
08:35PM 867 Over 200½ -110

03:36PM Portland vs. LA Lakers 03/23/12
10:35PM 870 LA LAKERS -9 -110

03:36PM Denver vs. Utah - ESPN 03/23/12
10:35PM 872 UTAH JAZZ -1½ -110

03:36PM Denver vs. Utah - ESPN 03/23/12
10:35PM 872 Under 207 -110

DO NOT UNLOAD ON THIS.. tread lightly, the computer back testing shows stability but like I said a while ago I don't trust back testing

I want to see physical results before I adjust my units

GL TO ALL

 

[jdaiuto420]

Hope it works. Were you able to back test anything?

It back tested data and outcomes to write a formula accordingly... the only stats it came back with were the teams that are too erratic to predict

here they are(no surprise)

Knicks
Orlando
Atlanta
Charlotte
Nets

 

[Bruins4Life]

4-6 night.

 

[jdaiuto420]

tonights plays

03:38PM Atlanta vs. Washington 03/24/12
07:05PM 503 Over 191 -110

03:38PM Detroit vs. New York 03/24/12
07:35PM 505 Over 193½ -110

03:38PM Dallas vs. Houston - NBAtv 03/24/12
08:05PM 509 Over 195½ -110

03:38PM San Antonio vs. New Orleans 03/24/12
08:05PM 512 Under 191 -110

03:38PM Indiana vs. Milwaukee 03/24/12
08:35PM 516 Under 204½ -110

taking a different approach today... only OVER/UNDERS

 

[Bruins4Life]

2-3 on the night.