First Impressions / Leans - Week 4

[Sekrah]

Really kicking myself for not locking in Tennessee early. 20.5 was a gift and I slept on it and blew it.

I see PSU/Iowa total up to 41.. I might wait on that one a bit.

There's a couple team totals I'm eyeing up that i may pound this weekend as well.

 

[Sekrah]

1-0 on the early leans but no play on South Carolina.. Shoulda pulled the trigger when it touched +4.. Ah well. Had to work last night anyway and couldn't watch the game. That's half the fun

 

[Sekrah]

Adding another 2 units on Nevada +8.5 at Sports Interaction.

Also going to play 0.25 units on Nevada ML +265.


Nevada is my GOW.

 

[Sekrah]

Nevada +7.5 over Missouri
Navy -27.5 over Western Kentucky
Georgia Tech -2.5 over North Carolina
MSU/Wisc Over 53

Adding..

Virginia Tech +3.5 over Miami FL (Buy Hook)
Idaho +16 over Northern Illinois


I did play Indiana, but won't count it towards any records as I didn't get a chance to post it. Wasn't in the mood to get on after the ass-rape screwjob I took last night.

 

[Sekrah]

Nevada +7.5 over Missouri
Navy -27.5 over Western Kentucky
Georgia Tech -2.5 over North Carolina
MSU/Wisc Over 53
Virginia Tech +3.5 over Miami FL (Buy Hook)
Idaho +16 over Northern Illinois

Adding...

Miami FL Team Total Under 24.5

 

[Sekrah]

Early Leans

South Carolina +3.5 vs Mississippi - Gamecocks play to their competiton. I'm always interested when they get points, especially at home.

Georgia Tech -2.5 vs North Carolina - Still not sold on UNC. They are definently nowhere near the calibre of Miami's O-Line nor the team speed on defense. Paul Johnson will have some solutions and Ga Tech will be much sharper in this game than they were last Thurs, especially with the couple days rest.

Indiana +20 at Michigan - Indiana looked better than I thought they would vs Akron. This could be a good spot for them to try to swipe a Big Ten win with Michigan having a rivalry game with Michigan State the following week.

Michigan St. at Wisconsin (Over ?) - If this is anywhere around 54-55, I may pounce on the over here, maybe all the way up to 57. This looks like a potential shootout. Neither side looks like they have much of a defense while both have very capable mid-deep range passing games of 9 yards/attempt.

Mississippi St. +14 vs LSU - Seems like alot of points to give the Bulldogs here. There offense has improved dramatically from last year and LSU looks a year away from being automatic for 10+ wins again.

Not too shabby in the early games... <<

 

[Sekrah]

I need to find some late games to play don't I?

 

[freshjive]

Thoughts on WASH +9?

 

[Sekrah]

Thoughts on WASH +9?

Nooo... Negative. Definently Stanford -9 if anything. I'm kicking myself I didn't take the -7 early in the week.

This is a terrrrrrrrrible spot for Washington.

 

[Sekrah]

Okay, I'm going to make a small 1.5 unit play on a game I haven't mentioned yet.

6:00pm Kickoff

Colorado State +19 over BYU. This line has steadily increased throughout the week. I think it's gotten to the point where it is way too many points (opening line was probably fair IMO). Colorado St. has a very experienced offensive line and can pass the ball and keep up with BYU if this turns into a shootout. CSU's rush D ain't that shabby.

Slight lean on the Over 56, but not gonna touch it, but I don't think it's a bad play.

 

[Sekrah]

Adding another small play, just 1 unit

Tennessee -13 1st Half

gl

 

[Sekrah]

Adding a ML Parlay

Tennessee -1700
Stanford -300
New Mexico -405

1.35 units to win 1 unit.

 

[Sekrah]

Adding..

Iowa/Penn St. under 40.5

1.5 units

 

[Sekrah]

Updating..

Nevada +7.5 over Missouri
Navy -27.5 over Western Kentucky
Georgia Tech -2.5 over North Carolina
MSU/Wisc Over 53
Virginia Tech +3.5 over Miami FL (Buy Hook)
Idaho +16 over Northern Illinois
Miami FL Team Total Under 24.5
-
Colorado State +19 over BYU
Tennessee -13 1st Half over Ohio
Tenn/Stan/NewM ML Parlay -135
Iowa/Penn St. under 40.5

 

[Sekrah]

Okay, I'm going to make a small 1.5 unit play on a game I haven't mentioned yet.

6:00pm Kickoff

Colorado State +19 over BYU. This line has steadily increased throughout the week. I think it's gotten to the point where it is way too many points (opening line was probably fair IMO). Colorado St. has a very experienced offensive line and can pass the ball and keep up with BYU if this turns into a shootout. CSU's rush D ain't that shabby.

Slight lean on the Over 56, but not gonna touch it, but I don't think it's a bad play.

Peckerhead CSU head coach going for 2 when it wasnt necessary may have just cost me the cover here. Ughhhhh....

 

[Sekrah]

Another jackass call by the CSU!! Instead of keeping game alive by kicking field goal and making it a 2 possession game they went for it on 4th down

WHAT A PILE OF FUCKING BULLSHIT.. Robbed by a fucking retarded head coach.

 

[Sekrah]

Adding..

Auburn -13 Second Half

1 unit