FHMESQ Footie Thread

[fhmesq44]

8/19 - San Marino is tied for the worst senior team in the world in FIFA rankings and Moldova isn't much better. Expect both teams to walk over these two minnows.

- Hungary U21 -2000/Germany U21 -600 - 3 to win .6750

Results:



YTD:

Total = 70-41-18 +11.4774
08/09 EPL = 4-2-1 -3.0861
2008 Friendlies = 11-2-4 +1.8054
WCQ10 = 1-0 (RR 0-1) -6.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 1-5 -3.0482
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-0 +7.8436
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133

 

[fhmesq44]

God damn it, second time I am saying this but this time for real, I am done with action plays. F*ing Germany gives up an early own goal and can't score against f*ing Moldova. Still down 1-0 in the 60th.

 

[MrCleo]

absolutely ridicolous. had been shut out 6 straight games. only way they'd be able to score a an own goal. literally

 

[fhmesq44]

8/19 Results - You said it Cleo, Germany average 4+ goals per game in their other 5 qualifiers too. Unbelievable. Last stat driven play where I don't know anything else about the teams I make, last action too. Wow.

- Hungary U21 -2000/Germany U21 -600 - 3 to win .6750 - loss

Results:

0-1 for -3

YTD:

Total = 70-42-18 +8.4774
08/09 EPL = 4-2-1 -3.0861
2008 Friendlies = 11-2-4 +1.8054
WCQ10 = 1-0 (RR 0-1) -6.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 1-5 -3.0482
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-1 +4.8436
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133

 

[fhmesq44]

8/20 - Few thoughts on these games:

- Italy's first game with Lippi back in charge. He has said he will be playing an attacking formation likely with 3 forwards and played good attacking football (with positive results and goals) last time he was in charge. Game is in Nice, which is very close to the Italian border, so expect a pro-Azzurri crowd and Italian players out to impress Lippi to earn spots.
- Portugal is playing the Faroes at home, speaks for itself.
- Mexico is in a similar situation to Italy with the new coach, though they are playing an important WC qualifier at their preferred stadium (Azteca). Very important game for the team, players and coach, expect them to come out strong. SGE also called up Blanco who can still bring it and is probably Mexico's best creative player.
- Costa Rica - following Tapa Rosca on that one.
- Germany - although Loew has said he will give some fringe players a game they are vastly superior to Belgium and playing in Nuremburg, a stadium which I believe they have never lost in (may be wrong since I think the Italy/Germany WC semi was there, that may have been their first and only loss). Belgium also was thrashed by Italy in their last friendly before Euros. many of their best players are young and featuring at the Olympics. They still have a bronze medal game to play so none of their Olys guys will feature in this game.

- Italy -222/Germany -369/Portugal -3000/Italy -320/Costa Rica -240 - round robin of 2 and 3 team parlays for .5 units each - total risk of 10 units to win 9.1776
- Italy -1 -129/Portugal -3000 - 2.25 units
- Italy >2.5 +103/Portugal -3000 - 1 unit


Results:



YTD:

Total = 70-42-18 +8.4774
08/09 EPL = 4-2-1 -3.0861
2008 Friendlies = 11-2-4 +1.8054
WCQ10 = 1-0 (RR 0-1) -6.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 1-5 -3.0482
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-1 +4.8436
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133

 

[fhmesq44]

Adding:


Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : Internationl Soccer (International Friendlies)
Italy (Friendly) 8/20/2008 2:45 PM - (EST)
Spread -1 -136 for Game
Select #2 : Internationl Soccer (International Friendlies)
Germany (Friendly) 8/20/2008 3:00 PM - (EST)
Money Line -369 for Game
Select #3 : Internationl Soccer (International Friendlies)
Portugal (Friendly) 8/20/2008 3:45 PM - (EST)
Money Line -3000 for Game
Select #4 : Internationl Soccer (World Cup Qualification, CONCACAF Group 3)
Costa Rica (WCQ) 8/20/2008 10:00 PM - (EST)
Spread -1 -155 for Game
Select #5 : Internationl Soccer (World Cup Qualification, CONCACAF Group 2)
Mexico (WCQ) 8/20/2008 9:00 PM - (EST)
Money Line -329 for Game
Amount : Risking .5 To Win 1.9446 </pre>

 

[fhmesq44]

Spain going with their WC squad sans Marchena and Fabregas who both have knocks. New coach, figure they are out to impress. Villa, Silva, Iniesta, Xavi and Torres all still in good form based on recently games/friendlies. The below is Spain +.5 at roughly -328

Wager type : Straight Bet(s)

Select #1 : Internationl Soccer (International Friendlies)
Spain (Friendly) 8/20/2008 2:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line +115 for Game
Risking 2.4280 To Win 2.7922
Select #2 : Internationl Soccer (International Friendlies)
Draw (Spain (Friendly) vs Denmark (Friendly)) 8/20/2008 2:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line +232 for Game
Risking 1.5720 To Win 3.6470 </pre>

 

[fhmesq44]

Adding:

- USA <2.5 -150 - 1 unit

US is 1-4-4 at Guatemala and hasn't won there in 20 years. 6 of the last 7 between these two have stayed under with only a 4-0 US friendly win in Texas going over. Comments by Landie Cakes indicate they are hoping for a draw and won't be playing a terribly offensive game.

"It's vital to get off to a good start: ideal world three points but at a minimum you want to get a point out of this game," U.S. forward Landon Donovan said. "In theory, we should beat a team like Guatemala. The reality is is playing in Guatemala becomes very difficult, and they use all the other factors besides soccer and talent on the field to their advantage, so the atmosphere, the crowd, the travel that we go through, the field, the temperatures there, those can all become excuses for us and benefit to them."

 

[JohnMolson]

do they not have any lights at that stadium in Guatamala..holy fvk looks like they're playing in the dark :lol:

 

[fhmesq44]

I thought the same thing. It's like a high school stadium.

 

[fhmesq44]

8/20 Results - Italy was miserable and absolutely killed what would and should have been a good day. Just looked pretty poor all around.

- Italy -222/Germany -369/Portugal -3000/Italy -320/Costa Rica -240 - round robin of 2 and 3 team parlays for .5 units each - total risk of 10 units to win 9.1776 - loss of 1.3347
- Italy -1 -129/Portugal -3000 - 2.25 units - loss
- Italy >2.5 +103/Portugal -3000 - 1 unit - win
- USA <2.5 -150 - 1 unit - win
- 5 team parlay with the above for .5 - loss
- Spain +.5 -328 - win 1.2202

Results:

3-2 (0-1 in RR) for -.7668

YTD:

Total = 75-44-18 (RR 0-2) +7.7106
08/09 EPL = 4-2-1 -3.0861
2008 Friendlies = 13-4-4 +1.3733
WCQ10 = 2-0 (RR 0-1) -5.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 1-5 -3.0482
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-2 +3.5089
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604

 

[hm2.0]

do they not have any lights at that stadium in Guatamala..holy fvk looks like they're playing in the dark :lol:

I was thinking the same:lolBIG:throw in the fence surrounding the stands....must've felt like playing in a prison facility.

 

[fhmesq44]

I'm going to be out of town this weekend so I am going to post a bit of information about two weekend games.

Spanish Supercopa Game 2:

Valencia beat Real Madrid 3-2 at Valencia last weekend and the second game of the tie is this weekend in Madrid. I wanted so badly to play the over in this game but historically the first games of the Supercopas were low scoring. Valencia had the 18th worst defense last year, only relegated Murcia and Levante gave up more goals. Conversely, Real had the best offense scoring 84 goals last year (only Barca and Sevilla had more than 70). Goals per game for each of them last year were 3.15 for Real and 2.89 for Valencia. Further, the second leg of the last 5 and 6 of the last 7 and 11 of the last 14 second legs have all had at least 3 goals scored in them. Also, 6 of the last 7 times the first leg ended with 1 team up 1 goal, the second leg had 3+ goals. Valencia having a one goal lead is almost an ideal situation to play the over. They are an attacking team with quality attacking players and a poor defense. Real has to come out attacking from the start. Definitely expect this game to go over.

Cruyff Shield - Netherlands

Similar numbers in this game as with the Supercopa. PSV and Feyenoord are the teams. This is a one game season opener like the Community Shield. 6 of the last 7 have had at least 3 goals, only last year didn't (1-0), 9 of 12 in total have had at least 3. PSV's league games last year had 2.61 gpg and Feyenoord had 3.09 and the Eredivisie is the highest scoring major league in Europe.

 

[fhmesq44]

8/22 - I am heading out of town this weekend and won't be able to post so I want to get everything posted before leaving. Unfortunately I haven't yet made these plays so I don't have lines. I may end up passing on a couple if the lines are poor, but here is what I am planning to play. I will treat it as if I played all these at the lines I get or am quoted.

Saturday

Lyon -1 - 1 unit
Liverpool +.5/Arsenal +.5 - 5 units
Aston Villa PK - 2.5 units
Cruyff Shield > - 2 units

Sunday

Chelsea +.5 - 10 unit risk
Chelsea -1 - 3 units
Valencia > - 3 units

 

[fhmesq44]

8/24 Results - Brutal weekend, can't believe Arsenal and Villa lost. Seems to happen every time I go out of town and have to make an effort to get plays in. - Arsenal +.5/Liverpool +.5 = -5
- Aston Villa PK = -9.625
- Lyon -1 = +1
- Cruyff Shield >2.5 = -2.18
- Chelsea +.5 = +.8928
- Chelsea -1 = push
- Valencia >2.5 = +3

Results:

3-3-1 for -11.9122

YTD:

Total = 78-47-19 (RR 0-2) -4.2016
08/09 EPL = 5-4-2 -16.8183
08/09 Eredivisie = 0-1 -2.18
08/09 La Liga = 1-0 +3
08/09 Ligue 1 = 1-0 +1
2008 Friendlies = 13-4-4 +1.3733
WCQ10 = 2-0 (RR 0-1) -5.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 1-5 -3.0482
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-2 +3.5089
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604

 

[fhmesq44]

8/26 - The below are Juve +.5 -966 and Barcelona +.5 -1340

- Juventus -178 - 3.5333 to win 1.985
- Juventus Draw +276 - 1.467 to win 4.0489
- Barcelona -210 - 3.63 to win 1.73
- Barcelona Draw +295 - 1.36 to win 4.012

Results:



YTD:

Total = 78-47-19 (RR 0-2) -4.2016
08/09 EPL = 5-4-2 -16.8183
08/09 Eredivisie = 0-1 -2.18
08/09 La Liga = 1-0 +3
08/09 Ligue 1 = 1-0 +1
2008 Friendlies = 13-4-4 +1.3733
WCQ10 = 2-0 (RR 0-1) -5.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 1-5 -3.0482
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-2 +3.5089
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604

 

[JohnMolson]

fvkin Barca pisses down their leg hno:

 

[fhmesq44]

8/26 Results - Man do I suck right now. Juve draw and Barca f*ing lose.

- Juventus -178 - 3.5333 to win 1.985 - loss
- Juventus Draw +276 - 1.467 to win 4.0489 - win
- Barcelona -210 - 3.63 to win 1.73 - loss
- Barcelona Draw +295 - 1.36 to win 4.012 - loss

Results:

1-1 -4.4744

YTD:

Total = 79-48-19 (RR 0-2) -8.676
08/09 EPL = 5-4-2 -16.8183
08/09 Eredivisie = 0-1 -2.18
08/09 La Liga = 1-0 +3
08/09 Ligue 1 = 1-0 +1
2008 Friendlies = 13-4-4 +1.3733
WCQ10 = 2-0 (RR 0-1) -5.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 2-6 -7.5226
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-2 +3.5089
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604

 

[fhmesq44]

8/27 - Massive game for Liverpool today and they are home. They don't take care of business and they are OUT of the Champions League. I simply can't see them losing or tying this game. A scored draw also means they are out, so they absolutely have to push and play for the win.

<table border="1"><tbody><tr><td nowrap="nowrap"> 22364073-1 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> 8/27/2008 12:08 PM </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Parlay </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 2
</td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.0028 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Soccer - 108 West Ham United (Carling Cup) -453 for Game
Soccer - 174 Liverpool FC (UCL) -435 for Game </td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap"> 22364073-2 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> 8/27/2008 12:09 PM </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Parlay </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 2
</td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.0583 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Soccer - 174 Liverpool FC (UCL) -435 for Game
Soccer - 111 Blackburn Rovers (Carling Cup) -411 for Game </td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap"> 22364038-1 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> 8/27/2008 12:05 PM </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Parlay </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 2
</td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.0355 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Soccer - 108 West Ham United (Carling Cup) -453 for Game
Soccer - 111 Blackburn Rovers (Carling Cup) -411 for Game </td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap"> 22364018-1 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> 8/27/2008 12:04 PM </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Spread </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> .5000 </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> .66
</td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Soccer - 174 Liverpool FC (UCL) -2 +132 for Game </td></tr><tr><td nowrap="nowrap"> 22364018-2 </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> 8/27/2008 12:04 PM </td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Money Line </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 6.5250 </td><td align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.5
</td><td nowrap="nowrap"> Soccer - 174 Liverpool FC (UCL) -435 for Game </td></tr></tbody></table>
Results:



YTD:

Total = 79-48-19 (RR 0-2) -8.676
08/09 EPL = 5-4-2 -16.8183
08/09 Eredivisie = 0-1 -2.18
08/09 La Liga = 1-0 +3
08/09 Ligue 1 = 1-0 +1
2008 Friendlies = 13-4-4 +1.3733
WCQ10 = 2-0 (RR 0-1) -5.5368
08/09 UEFA Cup = 1-1 -1.7742
08/09 Champions League = 2-6 -7.5226
Misc & Inter-League Parlays = 3-2 +3.5089
Euro 2008 = 46-31-13 +10.3133
2008 Olympics = 5-0 +5.9604

 

[fhmesq44]

8/27 Adding - each of the 5 games in yesterday's Scottish League Cup involving a SPL team went over. There are 4 more today, see if the trend continues.


Wager type : Straight Bet(s)

Select #1 : Other Euro Soccer (Scotland CIS Insurance Cup)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle (Sco Cup)/Arbroath FC (Sco Cup) 8/27/2008 2:45 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 2½ -145 for Game
Risking .725 To Win .5 USD
Select #2 : Other Euro Soccer (Scotland CIS Insurance Cup)
Aberdeen FC (Sco Cup)/AYR United (Sco Cup) 8/27/2008 2:45 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 2½ -143 for Game
Risking .715 To Win .5 USD
Select #3 : Other Euro Soccer (Scotland CIS Insurance Cup)
Kilmarnock FC (Sco Cup)/Brechin City (Sco Cup) 8/27/2008 2:45 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 2½ -122 for Game
Risking .61 To Win .5 USD
Select #4 : Other Euro Soccer (Scotland CIS Insurance Cup)
Airdrie United (Sco Cup)/Heart of Midlothian (Sco Cup) 8/27/2008 2:45 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 2½ -165 for Game
Risking .825 To Win .5 USD </pre>