k, thnks for your take.
Puzzled as to the line , as Mrs Clinton is a pretty big fav at the books for Nevada, yet the polls have shown different......
did find this on a simple google search;
UPDATED, 11/5/16, 7 AM
Donald Trump will be in Reno on Saturday, but the Republicans almost certainly lost Nevada on Friday.
Trump's path was nearly impossible, as I have been telling you, before what happened in Clark County on Friday. But now he needs a Miracle in Vegas on Election Day -- and a Buffalo Bills Super Bowl championship is more likely -- to turn this around. The ripple effect down the ticket probably will cost the Republicans Harry Reid's Senate seat, two GOP House seats and control of the Legislature.
How devastating was it, epitomized by thousands of mostly Latino voters keeping Cardenas market open open in Vegas until 10 PM? This cataclysmic:
----The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday (final mail count not posted yet), a record margin on a record-setting turnout day of 57,000 voters. The Dems now have a firewall -- approaching 73,000 ballots -- greater than 2012 when Barack Obama won the state by nearly 7 points. The 71,000 of 2012 was slightly higher in percentage terms, but raw votes matter. The lead is 14 percentage points -- right at registration. You know what else matters? Registration advantages (142,000 in Clark). Reminder: When the Clark votes were counted from early/mail voting in 2012, Obama had a 69,000 vote lead in Clark County. Game over.
----The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 -- slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That's 6 percentage points, or right about at registration. The GOP turnout advantage was under a percent, worse than 2012 when it was 1.1 percent.
----The Dems eked out a 200-vote win in Washoe and lead there by 1,000 votes. It was even in 2012. The rural lead, before the stragglers come in, is 27,500. It probably will get above 28,000.
----Total turnout without those rurals: 768,000, or 52.5 percent. If overall turnout ends up being 80 percent, that means two thirds of the vote is in -- close to 2012. Republicans would have to not only win Election Day by close to double digits to turn around the lead Hillary Clinton almost surely has in early voting, but they would have to astronomically boost turnout. The goal for the Dems during early voting was to bank votes and to boost turnout as high as possible to minimize the number of votes left on Election Day to affect races. Folks, the Reid Machine went out with a bang.
As an exclamation point to a historic night in Nevada, in which Clinton essentially locked up the state and Hispanics, insulted all cycle by Trump, streamed into the market, here is what the final Cardenas numbers showed (tallied by an on-the-ground activist):
1,904 voted
1,258: Ds, 66%
165: Rs, 9%
481: NPs, 25%
So Cardenas was responsible for adding 1,000 to the Democratic lead.
Trump has almost no path to the presidency without Nevada. He can say whatever he wants in Reno on Saturday and boost rural turnout a lot, but he made his own bed when he announced his candidacy.
I'll dive deeper into the numbers later to show just how deep the wave could be Tuesday.
http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog
Puzzled as to the line , as Mrs Clinton is a pretty big fav at the books for Nevada, yet the polls have shown different......
did find this on a simple google search;
UPDATED, 11/5/16, 7 AM
Donald Trump will be in Reno on Saturday, but the Republicans almost certainly lost Nevada on Friday.
Trump's path was nearly impossible, as I have been telling you, before what happened in Clark County on Friday. But now he needs a Miracle in Vegas on Election Day -- and a Buffalo Bills Super Bowl championship is more likely -- to turn this around. The ripple effect down the ticket probably will cost the Republicans Harry Reid's Senate seat, two GOP House seats and control of the Legislature.
How devastating was it, epitomized by thousands of mostly Latino voters keeping Cardenas market open open in Vegas until 10 PM? This cataclysmic:
----The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday (final mail count not posted yet), a record margin on a record-setting turnout day of 57,000 voters. The Dems now have a firewall -- approaching 73,000 ballots -- greater than 2012 when Barack Obama won the state by nearly 7 points. The 71,000 of 2012 was slightly higher in percentage terms, but raw votes matter. The lead is 14 percentage points -- right at registration. You know what else matters? Registration advantages (142,000 in Clark). Reminder: When the Clark votes were counted from early/mail voting in 2012, Obama had a 69,000 vote lead in Clark County. Game over.
----The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 -- slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That's 6 percentage points, or right about at registration. The GOP turnout advantage was under a percent, worse than 2012 when it was 1.1 percent.
----The Dems eked out a 200-vote win in Washoe and lead there by 1,000 votes. It was even in 2012. The rural lead, before the stragglers come in, is 27,500. It probably will get above 28,000.
----Total turnout without those rurals: 768,000, or 52.5 percent. If overall turnout ends up being 80 percent, that means two thirds of the vote is in -- close to 2012. Republicans would have to not only win Election Day by close to double digits to turn around the lead Hillary Clinton almost surely has in early voting, but they would have to astronomically boost turnout. The goal for the Dems during early voting was to bank votes and to boost turnout as high as possible to minimize the number of votes left on Election Day to affect races. Folks, the Reid Machine went out with a bang.
As an exclamation point to a historic night in Nevada, in which Clinton essentially locked up the state and Hispanics, insulted all cycle by Trump, streamed into the market, here is what the final Cardenas numbers showed (tallied by an on-the-ground activist):
1,904 voted
1,258: Ds, 66%
165: Rs, 9%
481: NPs, 25%
So Cardenas was responsible for adding 1,000 to the Democratic lead.
Trump has almost no path to the presidency without Nevada. He can say whatever he wants in Reno on Saturday and boost rural turnout a lot, but he made his own bed when he announced his candidacy.
I'll dive deeper into the numbers later to show just how deep the wave could be Tuesday.
http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog
Yes, quite discouraging, that ^^^
Too conveniently so (hopefully) as at Key Points along the process of compiling these numbers for "reporting" there are Shills the transparently want to see Hillary Win and discouraging turnout for Trump is among the final weapons they have left, in their arsenal.
Arguably, manipulating Trump Voters into concluding that turning out to Vote would be a complete waste of time is the most powerful card they have left to play.
Likely this strategy of their works. At the least it will have some impact, to see their goal of a Hillary Win accomplished.
Perhaps, in the future we forego the entire election process and just let The Media decide who gets into Office.
Too conveniently so (hopefully) as at Key Points along the process of compiling these numbers for "reporting" there are Shills the transparently want to see Hillary Win and discouraging turnout for Trump is among the final weapons they have left, in their arsenal.
Arguably, manipulating Trump Voters into concluding that turning out to Vote would be a complete waste of time is the most powerful card they have left to play.
Likely this strategy of their works. At the least it will have some impact, to see their goal of a Hillary Win accomplished.
Perhaps, in the future we forego the entire election process and just let The Media decide who gets into Office.
unethical folks in all professions (not saying the author is........). Is what it is...........nevada line is juicy for Trump, given most polls show a tight race. Only brought this up because of the divergence and wanted opinions... we shall see..............dagone......
thks for the input alwayzright
thks for the input alwayzright
Latinos, Blacks, Whites, Asians, and so on SHOULD all be voting for Trump, if you want your ancestors to be able to walk down the streets of America in the future without being raped, assaulted, or having their throats sliced by a Muslim terrorist.
Wake up ppl & come together against these ppl who are all of our enemies.
Hillary is all for letting them flood into our country.
If you think this is all an exaggeration, just go to youtube & do some searches at the horror they are bringing to other countries who made the same mistake of letting them in freely...
Comey is protecting Satan worshiping pedophiles.
Girls as young as 7 at Podesta's pool party with adult men. These are some sick people.
WikiLeaks: Clinton campaign chair John Podesta caught throwing HOT TUB PARTIES WITH CHILDREN as young as 7 YEARS OLD
>> On Thu, Oct 8, 2015 at 9:26 AM, Tamera Luzzatto <tluzzatto@pewtrusts.org>
>> wrote:
>>
>> With enormous gratitude to Advance Man Extraordinaire Haber, I am popping
>> up again to share our excitement about the Reprise of Our Gang’s visit to
>> the farm in Lovettsville. And I thought I’d share a couple more notes:
>> We plan to heat the pool, so a swim is a possibility. Bonnie will be
>> Uber Service to transport Ruby, Emerson, and Maeve Luzzatto (11, 9, and
>> almost 7) so you’ll have some further entertainment, and they will be in
>> that pool for sure. And with the forecast showing prospects of some sun,
>> and a cooler temp of lower 60s, I suggest you bring sweaters of whatever
>> attire will enable us to use our outdoor table with a pergola overhead so
>> we dine al fresco (and ideally not al-CHILLo).
https://twitter.com/_Makada_/status/794697713350742017</tluzzatto@pewtrusts.org>
Girls as young as 7 at Podesta's pool party with adult men. These are some sick people.
WikiLeaks: Clinton campaign chair John Podesta caught throwing HOT TUB PARTIES WITH CHILDREN as young as 7 YEARS OLD
>> On Thu, Oct 8, 2015 at 9:26 AM, Tamera Luzzatto <tluzzatto@pewtrusts.org>
>> wrote:
>>
>> With enormous gratitude to Advance Man Extraordinaire Haber, I am popping
>> up again to share our excitement about the Reprise of Our Gang’s visit to
>> the farm in Lovettsville. And I thought I’d share a couple more notes:
>> We plan to heat the pool, so a swim is a possibility. Bonnie will be
>> Uber Service to transport Ruby, Emerson, and Maeve Luzzatto (11, 9, and
>> almost 7) so you’ll have some further entertainment, and they will be in
>> that pool for sure. And with the forecast showing prospects of some sun,
>> and a cooler temp of lower 60s, I suggest you bring sweaters of whatever
>> attire will enable us to use our outdoor table with a pergola overhead so
>> we dine al fresco (and ideally not al-CHILLo).
https://twitter.com/_Makada_/status/794697713350742017</tluzzatto@pewtrusts.org>
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-latinos-idUSKBN1310YU
[h=1]Jump in Florida, Nevada early voting could reap Latino gains for Clinton[/h]
The man answering a volunteer's knock on the door in the Kendall section of Miami-Dade County on Saturday was emphatic: Not only would he vote but “esperamos que la presidenta gane" - Spanish for "we hope Madam President wins."
Volunteers across Florida made a last-minute push to get voters to the polls this weekend with early voting ending on Sunday ahead of Election Day on Tuesday, pitting Republican Donald Trump against Democrat Hillary Clinton, or "la presidenta," as the man at the door called her.
Latino voters like the man in Kendall and elsewhere could have an outsized influence in Tuesday's election. Early voting data may portend a jump in the number of Hispanic voters this year, especially in the key swing states of Nevada and Florida, and Clinton would likely be the biggest beneficiary.
Clinton has polled much stronger among Latino voters nationwide: a Washington Post/Univision poll released last week gave her 67 percent of the Hispanic vote to Trump's 19 percent. Trump has fared poorly with America's largest minority voting group, having repeatedly angered Hispanics with disparaging comments about their communities.
A recent poll conducted by the firms The Tarrance Group and Bendixen and Amandi found that Hispanic registered voters in Florida favor Clinton 60 percent to 30 percent. In Nevada the gap was even wider - 72 percent for Clinton and 19 percent for Trump.
In Florida, the Clinton campaign estimates early Latino voting is up 139 percent, or more than twice as much, compared to 2012, according to a field report dated Wednesday.
Democratic strategist Steve Schale, a Florida expert, estimated that 170,000 more Hispanics had voted early or by mail as of Wednesday than had voted early or by mail in the entire 2012 election, according to a post on his blog.
“And keep in mind, because Hispanic is a self-identifying marker, studies have found that the real Hispanic vote is larger than the registration. So while Hispanics might make up 14.2 percent of the voters who have voted so far, in reality, the number is larger,” he wrote.
Despite the surge in early voting, there is no certainty about which candidate people chose for president. There is also no guarantee that the higher Latino turnout rate will continue on Election Day and that they and other minority voters will make enough of a difference to swing Florida and other states.
Trump kicked off his maverick campaign last year by describing Mexican immigrants as rapists and criminals, and made a tough stance on immigration a signature part of his vision for America. He called for a wall to be built on the border and said an American-born federal judge could not do his job because of his Mexican heritage.
That rhetoric might be hurting him in an increasingly diverse Florida, where many election watchers believe Trump must win to have a chance to secure the minimum 270 votes in the Electoral College needed to claim the White House.
Daniel Smith, a political science professor at the University of Florida who also does voting research, said Democrats have a strong lead among Hispanics who have voted early in Florida.
"From my perspective this is Hispanics in Florida reacting viscerally to Donald Trump," said Smith. "His scorched earth campaign against immigrants and especially Hispanics is coming home to roost in Florida."
DEMOCRATIC EDGE IN KEY COUNTY
The state of Nevada does not note race or ethnicity on its voter registration but other data there suggest Latinos also are turning out in force.
For one thing, Clark County has seen a surge in early voting. Between in-person and absentee voting, registered Democrats have now returned over 72,000 more ballots than registered Republicans there. Those figures do not indicate which candidate voters picked, only the party with which the voters are registered.
Friday alone saw 57,172 votes in person in Clark County. Photos making the rounds on social media showed especially long lines at a Cardenas market voting site, which stayed open late to accommodate the surge of voters.
Clark County, which includes Las Vegas, has a large Latino population – 30.6 percent, compared to 28.1 percent for Nevada as a whole, according to the U.S. Census.
Even more Republican votes elsewhere in the state are so far not enough to counterbalance that Democratic lead in Clark County. Overall, the Democrats have cast around 46,000 more ballots in Nevada than Republicans.
It makes me sick to see how easy blacks and hispanics are manipulated. What a disgrace. We really need to stop allowing anyone to vote. This is sickening all these dumb spics going out to vote because they want to stop Trump. How about you vote because you love America. Of course not, most of these idiots don't give a shit about this country.
