Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac - Your Ticket to Fortune (and possibly Fame)

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what's your projected high on these two??? Like what is the realistic limit that can be reached if I buy now and sell later. LOOKS like both are around 6 now.
 

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what's your projected high on these two??? Like what is the realistic limit that can be reached if I buy now and sell later. LOOKS like both are around 6 now.

Which tickers are you referring to? The commons (FNMA and FMCC) could potentially trade in the mid-teens ($14-18) after recap, dillution, etc. The Preferreds i feel will likely trade close to 80% of Par over the next several months as Mnuchin's plan advances.
 

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Which tickers are you referring to? The commons (FNMA and FMCC) could potentially trade in the mid-teens ($14-18) after recap, dillution, etc. The Preferreds i feel will likely trade close to 80% of Par over the next several months as Mnuchin's plan advances.

yeah the commons seeing that I'm very new to this would be where I'm at. Not sure what preferred entails but I just bought 1000 share of fnma at $2.75
 

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yeah the commons seeing that I'm very new to this would be where I'm at. Not sure what preferred entails but I just bought 1000 share of fnma at $2.75

I think you'll see $8-10 on the Common shares in the next 3-4 years, possibly much sooner.
 

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Here are the details on the Paulson/Blackstone proposal put out by Moelis. This projects Commons could be in the $9-13 range by 2018-2020. This has been near my projections as well. Long-term they could be significantly higher. My whole plan is to convert ~50% from Preferred to Common in this scenario. It's a really good read:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/mhoquf811tljksb/Safety-and-Soundness-Blueprint.pdf?dl=0
 

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Big Win on the Remand today. Blue skies from here:

http://www.glenbradford.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/14-5243-1684471.pdf


Full opinion here:

https://www.cadc.uscourts.gov/internet/opinions.nsf/82D64389A0983CF585258160006833BC/$file/14-5243-1684473.pdf


"FHFA, like the FDIC before it, was given broad powers to enable it to respond in a perilous time in U.S. financial history. But with great power comes great responsibility. Here, those responsibilities and the authority FHFA received to address them were well-defined, and yet FHFA disregarded them. In so doing, FHFA abandoned the protection of the anti-injunction provision, and it should be required to defend against the Institutional and Class Plaintiffs’ claims."


Now we get to argue our contract rights, which should be Par for Preferreds. Surprised prices didn't jump more today. I imagine we see big buying through the end of the week.
 

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Big change in Freddie's 10Q wording:

Based on our Net Worth Amount of $2.6 billion as of June 30, 2017 and the Capital Reserve Amount of $600 million in 2017, our dividend requirement to Treasury in September 2017 will be $2.0 billion. If the Conservator declares a senior preferred stock dividend equal to our dividend requirement and directs us to pay it before September 30, 2017, we would expect to pay a dividend of $2.0 billion by September 30, 2017.
 

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Hope you guys are ready for some fun. Preferreds are about to party cheersgif
 

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