I suppose it is not a dumb move because a hail mary can travel such a long distance in a short time. Get the FG first and save time. People are getting pissed(and rightly so) because they are use to teams playing a certain way and when they change it is screwing their bets up. These things are still not normal and it is like coaches flip a coin game to game deciding how to play things Feels like if there is consistency you can deal with it. Otherwise it just feels like bad luck
Why wouldn't they go down 10 and try the 2 pointer on the next TD if they want to try to win in regulation?
This backwards ass shit makes no sense. You're saying on one hand to win the game in regulation, and then you're saying go ahead and kick a fg on 1st down and give yourself one chance to score a TD and maybe tie the game if you get the conversion, instead of giving yourself two chances to score the TD and maybe even win the game in regulation.The downs are meaningless, you're playing the clock at that point, you need a TD and a FG. How many times have we all seen teams down 2 scores end up running the clock down and getting one score but not leaving any time left to potentially win the game. We've all seen that scenario play out countless time for years. As for going for 2 down 11 he's trying to win the game in regulation(2 pt Conversion rates have been close to 50% I believe) so if you're trying to win the game and can get the lead down to 9 points instead of 10 your win % is going to increase instead of hoping to win the game in overtime after you've made this dramatic comeback. This all just goes back to analytics and seeing things we're not used to seeing because coaches have played the wrong %'s for so many years when they should have been doing things differently.
You know what else can travel a long distance in a short amount of time?
A field goal kick. With a much higher success rate than a hail mary.
You only need 1 TD and you're at the 25 with 3 timeouts, with optimal playcalling you can put yourself in a situation where you have a TD or you don't within 20-25 seconds.
Unless you get a recovery, you're going to need to go full length of the field with no timeouts to get a TD so you should value the opportunity you have to get 1 in their position significantly more than they did. But that's why they suck, 1 of the reasons anyway.