4/15 Results:
Phillies RL +145 / LOSE
Marlins ML +154 / LOSE
Astros ML +176 / LOSE
-1.96 UNITS
The 11 day total of plays posted in this thread = -1.21 UNITS
Going to eliminate the 3 game won/loss rule because it doesn't seem to being doing any good at keeping the system off of these shit teams. Instead I'm going to add a new rule, any money line play +150 or higher will no longer be a play. Money line plays must be between +100 to +149 in order to be a play. Run line plays will stay the same as before. Hopefully this will keep us off the majority of the Marlins, Astros and Padres games.
I'm personally still up a couple of units with this system but if I see it start to really tank, I'm pulling the plug and going to look for something else.
Phillies RL +145 / LOSE
Marlins ML +154 / LOSE
Astros ML +176 / LOSE
-1.96 UNITS
The 11 day total of plays posted in this thread = -1.21 UNITS
Going to eliminate the 3 game won/loss rule because it doesn't seem to being doing any good at keeping the system off of these shit teams. Instead I'm going to add a new rule, any money line play +150 or higher will no longer be a play. Money line plays must be between +100 to +149 in order to be a play. Run line plays will stay the same as before. Hopefully this will keep us off the majority of the Marlins, Astros and Padres games.
I'm personally still up a couple of units with this system but if I see it start to really tank, I'm pulling the plug and going to look for something else.
Pimp,
I tried filtering your Fade the Experts selections but I could not come up with anything. It was 50/50 for me. Something I noticed but have not looked into yet is the fact that some "experts" can be on bad runs but still in the top 20 for a team expert. I might randomly select 3 teams and track those experts who are bad runs vs. good runs.
If a guy is 9-1 L10 side picks and has Team X but an expert who is 3-7 L10 side picks has Team Y then I'd like to see the history of who wins. The 9-1 guy could be #12 but the 3-7 guy could be #1.
I tried filtering your Fade the Experts selections but I could not come up with anything. It was 50/50 for me. Something I noticed but have not looked into yet is the fact that some "experts" can be on bad runs but still in the top 20 for a team expert. I might randomly select 3 teams and track those experts who are bad runs vs. good runs.
If a guy is 9-1 L10 side picks and has Team X but an expert who is 3-7 L10 side picks has Team Y then I'd like to see the history of who wins. The 9-1 guy could be #12 but the 3-7 guy could be #1.
I went back to running an old system, the MLB Dog system. Had success with it in the past.
Can read about the system here: http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/story.cfm/story/571442/
I'm still using Sagarin's 2012 stats on pitchers until probably around May, then I'll start using the stats from this season to decide plays.
I've had 6 plays so far and have gone 4-2, +2.3 Units. Very small sample size but we shall see how it goes. This system is usually good for the first half and then tanks in the 2nd half. Probably best to set a goal, like win 20 units and then stop. A couple of years ago I saw this system tracked at another forum and they made 20 Units in the 1st month and stopped.
Can read about the system here: http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/story.cfm/story/571442/
I'm still using Sagarin's 2012 stats on pitchers until probably around May, then I'll start using the stats from this season to decide plays.
I've had 6 plays so far and have gone 4-2, +2.3 Units. Very small sample size but we shall see how it goes. This system is usually good for the first half and then tanks in the 2nd half. Probably best to set a goal, like win 20 units and then stop. A couple of years ago I saw this system tracked at another forum and they made 20 Units in the 1st month and stopped.
