Pretty much. Just a little common sense goes a long way.
I have always been good at reading the public and having a feel for where a line will move, and it helps if you can do that, that will determine your betting early or waiting, why else would you not? I mean if you like teams A and they open at +6 and you feel or know the line will drop of course you are going to grab the 6, and come Sunday morning the line is 4.5, well you did yourself a favor by getting 1.5 pts its commen sense, now sometimes it might go other way, but I have always been pretty good at it.....its why I sometimes bet right away this week I took Pitt right away I do not think it would go up, unless a mid week injury, but I think its always been a huge advantage to gauge the betting public and maybe that is because of being a book for 35+ years its just something ya kind of learn , just replying to that ? of the day it can always matter when you bet, always try and get the best line possible...that's what we all should always want to do correct???
gl this week ACE
I forget about NFL on thurs every week because of hoops..lol like the Rams I think tonight at +3
gl this week ACE
I forget about NFL on thurs every week because of hoops..lol like the Rams I think tonight at +3
Spot on….with me at docsports for 20 years the picks had to be out on Thursdays at 6 pm est……got to a point that i bet the same lines that I send out. Many time the picks I send out was not the line I got the game at. The rule is when you send the picks out. The line has to be at most of the sport books 10 have -3. 1 has -2.5…..I have to put -3….. me I got it at -2.5. Every year my record is different from what I posted…….still I believe that when I pick a game I feel that team will win by 7-10 points more. With that in mind. You can bet a game at. -2.5. To -4.5. And still win if the pick is right. Just saying
lets win
I agree I just too the points because it does matter to both, but Rams I think been playing better winning 3 of last 4 and 2 on the road, its revenge for SF but don't think that matters that much, should be close, had to get over 3 so bought up, Rams are about as healthy as they are going to get Rams need to stay 1 game behind, SF still got dolphins and lions and Cardinals LA has jets Cardinals and Seattle last game both need it should be good like the Over TT also
It never stop. Thursday and the early line you can bet….than Friday CFB. Lot of calls. 40 % on the Friday game and a lot of betting on CFB……than Saturday. All CFB and 40 % nfl for Sunday. I would say you are right. 60% of the sunday plays on sunday…..the sharps would set there weekend on Friday…..betting just what they wanted for the whole weekend. And never get a call again. (20%)…..monday. 40% of my players would bet on the game. If they are down that dont want to see me so they try to break even. Lol. I would say. 90% of the player lose every year. It’s the one that set there bets up early that always wins every season.
10 % winners a year seems higher than I would expect.Personally I only have 4 outs, unless I am in LV or a legal sports book state then at least one more.I still use 2 locals.They tell me over half their players only use them as an out. Did a lot of your players only have you as an out? Over the years you ever stop taking anyone's action because they were very selective, only bet with you on good numbers and consistently won? Nice having locals and basically playing on credit .On some of your numbers you bet, some that were losses I did have pushes on.I think as important as the handicap on the game is, players really need to follow line movements and always get the best numbers, to the extreme where you miss the move, you lose value, how much is debatable, but often better just passing the game if it moves to much.The juice and playing bad numbers will destroy a BR. Theres always going to be more betting opportunities.Thanks for posting Ace, You add a lot of knowledge,info. and great picks to the Forum and I Love the old stories and history you have and know. GL
Can’t remember the year of the blood bath….but 100 players winning $500 each = $50,000 that week now do that for 4 weeks….I was two weeks away from closing it down. I was doing less payout like the ones that give me half of what they lose….. and than. It came back the next two weeks. lot of money back than.
dartboard pick
