Exbookie want to help the players week 15

[ACE-ACE]

POSTED RECORD
INV………………………..14-15-1………………….-4427……………………………MY. 15-15………..-2427. (MIN -4 EARLY BET)

ACTION…………………27-13…………………….+9447

TOTAL……………………41-28-1…………………+5020


DID THE MATH 7 games that i bet early. Vs what the line was on Saturday. 6 less lost. 4 more wins
that mean it could look like this

TOTAL…………………5020 +15,284 = +20,304

but it not…..the battle will alway be. When to bet….its like trying to find the right spot to get into a stock. And we all know you cant find a bottom of a stock price.

love to know and would be proud of anyone that follow me this year how many of those 7 plays did you win…….feed back welcome



5 system that go into my bets…..everyone need different views of the game….it helps

AFS=. 7-1. LAST WK LAC

411 14-13

NUMBERS. 22-17

MYLINE. EDGE. 42-24

ALL 411 NUMBERS. 35-31

ALL NUMBERS TOGETHER. 14-9


POINTS THAT MATTER THIS YEAR. 208 GAMES. 36 GAMES. MATTER. 17%. THIS MEAN. A DOG THAT DONT WIN BUT COVER.

83% FAV WIN OR DOGS WIN OUT RIGHT

MAKES YOU THINK

ACE

 

[ACE-ACE]

If AFS match 411. It will be a 2500 plus play…..lucky to have one a year need one now!!!!!

 

[ACE-ACE]

Points that matter took a jump in the last two weeks. 29 games. 11 games matter. 37%. That high and move the year avg up to 17%

 

[Mofome2]

If AFS match 411. It will be a 2500 plus play…..lucky to have one a year need one now!!!!!

Ace I always feel the later the season goes the more the lines tighten and harder to make a profit this late in the season if it's not going. I know before you had stated that after week 10 or 11 this happens. With that being said are you saying now that one of these plays are on the horizon to add to a profit you already have this season?

 

[exploited17]

Points don't matter once again is a retarded way to look at things.
1. Eliminate dogs because obviously if they win they cover. Eliminate favorites of 3 or less as winners don't win by 1 or 2 very often. So, of favorites who are 4 or more what percentage when they win cover? You could break it down even more 4-6 7-10. 10 ore more. I doubt you find any advantage. There is no way to cap just pick the winner. Even then you have to pick the right favorite.
If your life depended on picking a SU winner of a game who is favored by 7 or more you would almost always pick the favorite. In other words most people taking the dogs aren't saying the dog wins just the spot, the matchup or something keeps them hanging around and MAYBE they have a chance.

Someone posts a ridiculous ats spread record of"the team that wins" and people think it means something. Think about the context of it.

 

[Mofome2]

I will go back and recheck but dogs that closed at +2.5 where pretty successful this year. I know over 55 percent. Will pull it from lap top tonight and post

 

[ACE-ACE]

Ace I always feel the later the season goes the more the lines tighten and harder to make a profit this late in the season if it's not going. I know before you had stated that after week 10 or 11 this happens. With that being said are you saying now that one of these plays are on the horizon to add to a profit you already have this season?

Hoping I will know the AFS on Wednesday. I like LAC this week and when the AFS I rise the dollar. But LAC was not a 411
i have seen it happen after week 10 before.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Points don't matter once again is a retarded way to look at things.
1. Eliminate dogs because obviously if they win they cover. Eliminate favorites of 3 or less as winners don't win by 1 or 2 very often. So, of favorites who are 4 or more what percentage when they win cover? You could break it down even more 4-6 7-10. 10 ore more. I doubt you find any advantage. There is no way to cap just pick the winner. Even then you have to pick the right favorite.
If your life depended on picking a SU winner of a game who is favored by 7 or more you would almost always pick the favorite. In other words most people taking the dogs aren't saying the dog wins just the spot, the matchup or something keeps them hanging around and MAYBE they have a chance.

Someone posts a ridiculous ats spread record of"the team that wins" and people think it means something. Think about the context of it.

Points matter this year after I bet and lost lol …. Point is it just something to think about. 36 games points matter and if i bet a dog I still want the points…where I should bet the money line or move it off -3………but I dont

 

[ACE-ACE]

QUESTION OF THE DAY

do you bet the early line or wait until game day or some where in between

for me the line out on sunday and you could bet it than I wait until Thursday. And my betting this season say I should wait until Saturday……if I did I have a lot more profit this year. Betting all my life it’s alway been on Wednesday or Thursday……cant change now….just something Isee happing to me.

so who bet. Early. So who bets. Game day ???????

 

[Mofome2]

QUESTION OF THE DAY

do you bet the early line or wait until game day or some where in between

for me the line out on sunday and you could bet it than I wait until Thursday. And my betting this season say I should wait until Saturday……if I did I have a lot more profit this year. Betting all my life it’s alway been on Wednesday or Thursday……cant change now….just something Isee happing to me.

so who bet. Early. So who bets. Game day ???????

Some may not agree at all. But with that being said, I will play the number near game time and I will buy the points if needed (minimal) when I place the wager.
Only reason I wait is because injuries and any other factor that may come into play before Sunday.
Too many times in 34 years I have lost by a half point or pushed which cost me quite a bit over the years. To me points like that matter, the ones that cost me.
Last week the one out had 3 on Detroit. I did not buy to 2.5. Push. I was fine with it. Sort of....

 

[itchyback]

POSTED RECORD
INV………………………..14-15-1………………….-4427……………………………MY. 15-15………..-2427. (MIN -4 EARLY BET)

ACTION…………………27-13…………………….+9447

TOTAL……………………41-28-1…………………+5020


DID THE MATH 7 games that i bet early. Vs what the line was on Saturday. 6 less lost. 4 more wins
that mean it could look like this

TOTAL…………………5020 +15,284 = +20,304

but it not…..the battle will alway be. When to bet….its like trying to find the right spot to get into a stock. And we all know you cant find a bottom of a stock price.

love to know and would be proud of anyone that follow me this year how many of those 7 plays did you win…….feed back welcome



5 system that go into my bets…..everyone need different views of the game….it helps

AFS=. 7-1. LAST WK LAC

411 14-13

NUMBERS. 22-17

MYLINE. EDGE. 42-24

ALL 411 NUMBERS. 35-31

ALL NUMBERS TOGETHER. 14-9


POINTS THAT MATTER THIS YEAR. 208 GAMES. 36 GAMES. MATTER. 17%. THIS MEAN. A DOG THAT DONT WIN BUT COVER.

83% FAV WIN OR DOGS WIN OUT RIGHT

MAKES YOU THINK

ACE

 

[itchyback]

POSTED RECORD
INV………………………..14-15-1………………….-4427……………………………MY. 15-15………..-2427. (MIN -4 EARLY BET)

ACTION…………………27-13…………………….+9447

TOTAL……………………41-28-1…………………+5020


DID THE MATH 7 games that i bet early. Vs what the line was on Saturday. 6 less lost. 4 more wins
that mean it could look like this

TOTAL…………………5020 +15,284 = +20,304

but it not…..the battle will alway be. When to bet….its like trying to find the right spot to get into a stock. And we all know you cant find a bottom of a stock price.

love to know and would be proud of anyone that follow me this year how many of those 7 plays did you win…….feed back welcome



5 system that go into my bets…..everyone need different views of the game….it helps

AFS=. 7-1. LAST WK LAC

411 14-13

NUMBERS. 22-17

MYLINE. EDGE. 42-24

ALL 411 NUMBERS. 35-31

ALL NUMBERS TOGETHER. 14-9


POINTS THAT MATTER THIS YEAR. 208 GAMES. 36 GAMES. MATTER. 17%. THIS MEAN. A DOG THAT DONT WIN BUT COVER.

83% FAV WIN OR DOGS WIN OUT RIGHT

MAKES YOU THINK

ACE

Underdogs win outright one out of 3 game 33%
Add to your 17%
50 %

 

[brendanjack]

QUESTION OF THE DAY

do you bet the early line or wait until game day or some where in between

for me the line out on sunday and you could bet it than I wait until Thursday. And my betting this season say I should wait until Saturday……if I did I have a lot more profit this year. Betting all my life it’s alway been on Wednesday or Thursday……cant change now….just something Isee happing to me.

so who bet. Early. So who bets. Game day ???????

i Typically bet Thursday usually a teaser and parlay of my contest plays .

 

[itchyback]

POSTED RECORD
INV………………………..14-15-1………………….-4427……………………………MY. 15-15………..-2427. (MIN -4 EARLY BET)

ACTION…………………27-13…………………….+9447

TOTAL……………………41-28-1…………………+5020


DID THE MATH 7 games that i bet early. Vs what the line was on Saturday. 6 less lost. 4 more wins
that mean it could look like this

TOTAL…………………5020 +15,284 = +20,304

but it not…..the battle will alway be. When to bet….its like trying to find the right spot to get into a stock. And we all know you cant find a bottom of a stock price.

love to know and would be proud of anyone that follow me this year how many of those 7 plays did you win…….feed back welcome



5 system that go into my bets…..everyone need different views of the game….it helps

AFS=. 7-1. LAST WK LAC

411 14-13

NUMBERS. 22-17

MYLINE. EDGE. 42-24

ALL 411 NUMBERS. 35-31

ALL NUMBERS TOGETHER. 14-9


POINTS THAT MATTER THIS YEAR. 208 GAMES. 36 GAMES. MATTER. 17%. THIS MEAN. A DOG THAT DONT WIN BUT COVER.

83% FAV WIN OR DOGS WIN OUT RIGHT

MAKES YOU THINK

ACE

It would be more interesting to see % of -3 or less cover
-4 -6 etc

 

[slapshot]

Both early and game day

 

[HotRocks]

I will go back and recheck but dogs that closed at +2.5 where pretty successful this year. I know over 55 percent. Will pull it from lap top tonight and post

in NCAAF this year it hit way higher, I told a buddy of mine about it (who is also here on the forum) a few weeks back about +2.5

NFL +5.5 hits also, just as much as +2.5

 

[Mofome2]

in NCAAF this year it hit way higher, I told a buddy of mine about it (who is also here on the forum) a few weeks back about +2.5

NFL +5.5 hits also, just as much as +2.5

Thxs bud was not aware of the NCAA or 5.5

 

[Biz]

Points don't matter once again is a retarded way to look at things.
1. Eliminate dogs because obviously if they win they cover. Eliminate favorites of 3 or less as winners don't win by 1 or 2 very often. So, of favorites who are 4 or more what percentage when they win cover? You could break it down even more 4-6 7-10. 10 ore more. I doubt you find any advantage. There is no way to cap just pick the winner. Even then you have to pick the right favorite.
If your life depended on picking a SU winner of a game who is favored by 7 or more you would almost always pick the favorite. In other words most people taking the dogs aren't saying the dog wins just the spot, the matchup or something keeps them hanging around and MAYBE they have a chance.

Someone posts a ridiculous ats spread record of"the team that wins" and people think it means something. Think about the context of it.

I explained how obviously ignorant that statement was. Laughably incorrect.

Then goofy moves the goalposts

 

[Loves2kickass]

I explained how obviously ignorant that statement was. Laughably incorrect.

Then goofy moves the goalposts

If you think outside the box with a little bit of common sense you'd understand what I said. Obviously if you bet ML on dogs of 7+ your win % would be quite lower. If you don't take comments to literally maybe it would make more sense to you big guy.

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Biz
Never has anything good to say
He knows it all
He needs to bury that pride
Our sweet savior hates pride
And it won’t get us to the promised land
Gl