Ex Bookie Want To Help The Players Week 17

[ACE-ACE]

OVER $2000 BETS......................21-10...........+$29,505.00

UNDER $1300 BETS...................24-19............+$3375.00

BOWL GAME OVER $2000 BET.....1-0...............+$12,000.00

.............................................TOTAL..............+$44,880.00


AWAY GAMES HAVE WON 22 MORE THAN HOME GAMES
(THIS HAS NOT HAPPEN IN MANY A YEAR)

DOGS WON 123...FAV WON 117

AWAY FAV.......46-31

POINTS THAT MATTER 42 GAMES OUT OF 238 ...18%
(5 MORE THAT COULD OF MATTER)

DOGS WINNING STRAIGHT-UP...81 OUT OF 238..34%

FAV WIN 48% THIS YEAR....

THE 17 WEEK OF NFL IS THE HARDS....I WILL POST MY LINE
BUT.....IT DONT WORK AS WELL ON THE LAST WEEK...
RESTING PLAYERS....
TEAM WILL GO ON 4TH AND 5 YD YO GO....
ITS A HARD WEEK TO CAP......

THE LINE............................................................MY LINE

NE-14............. RESTING PLAYERS??...................-16 1/2

BUF-9............. RESTING PLAYERS??....................PIT -3

BAL-10....................KEY GAME...............................-10

MIN -4.....................KEY GAME...............................-1

CIN -3.............RESTING PLAYERS??.......................-2

CHI-3..............RESTING PLAYERS??.....................GB-12

CAR-7 1/2.................KEY GAME..........................-9 1/2

DET-3.................................................................-4

NYJ -3.......................KEY GAME..........................-14

HOU-10 1/2........................................................-14

ARI-3..................................................................-4

SEA-6......KEY GAME FOR SEA...ATL????...............-2

DEN-9...........RESTING PLAYERS??.......................IND-2

JAC......NO LINE.........KEY GAME..........................-3

KC-3......................SD RESTING PLAYERS??........SD-7

NYG-3................................................................ -5


"MY LINE" WORK GREAT IN THE PAY-OFF...
WEEK 17 IS HARD....

LET TAKE DEN -9........IND IS A VALUE OF+11.....IF IND HAD ALL THERE PLAYERS IN AND THE ODDS MAKER NEW THEY WERE HEAR TO PLAY DEN WOULD NOT BE FAV IN THIS GAME....SO HOW DO YOU BET A GAME LIKE THIS.......NO PLAY OR WITH YOUR GUT.......

SO AS I SEE IT......7 GAMES THIS WEEK TEAMS ARE RESTING PLAYERS
AT LESS .............5 GAMES ARE KEY GAMES
THAN THE REST ARE GAMES THAT TEAM WANT TO WIN THE GAME AND WILL TRY A LOT OF FUNNY THING TO WIN THEM......

SO WITH THAT IN MIND MY BEST PICK OF THE WEEK IS

NYJ -3.....THIS IS A KEY GAME.....IF NYJ LOSE THIS GAME AND BUF AND DENVER BOTH WIN THERE GAME ...THE JETS GO HOME.....

NYJ LESS PENALTIES THAN STL..............NYJ 618 VS STL 978
TURN OVER THE KEY TO ALL GAMES.......NYJ 17...VS STL 33

THE LINE OFF FOR THE WHOLE YEAR....NYJ +37 VS STL-104

I 'M ONE OF THE ONLY CAPPERS THAT I HAVE SEEN THAT USE THIS AS A FACTER!!!
I WILL TELL YOU THAT NO TEAM OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS HAVE MAKE IT TO THE PAY-OFF WITH A (-104)

NO ONE!!!!
THE LINE IS NYJ-3......MY LINE IS -14...A VALUE OF +11
THE JET WIN THIS ONE BY TWO TD+
WITH OUT PUTTING THAT FACTOR IN...I LOVE NYJ TO COVER THIS GAME

MY BET IS NYJ-3 FOR $3000.00.......
(THIS LINE WAS BET ON WED AT8:00AM...4 PLACES HAVE IT AT -3.....2 PLACE HAVE IT A -3 1/2.....



MORE TO COME

ACE

 

[Bennyshoe]

Good luck Ace. Been enjoying your post all football season. Will you be back here next football season?

 

[WCBias]

I really have nothing to add other than its nice to be in the top three posts in this thread before it gets into the 30,000 thousand hit range.

Great job Ace, keep up the good work.

 

[ACE-ACE]

I really have nothing to add other than its nice to be in the top three posts in this thread before it gets into the 30,000 thousand hit range.

Great job Ace, keep up the good work.

HITMAN POST THE OVER AND UNDER THIS WEEK AT 28,500....I TOOK IT UNDER....I HAVE SOME CONTROL OVER THAT


SUPERBOWL....I WILL BE BACK AND POP IN HERE AND THERE IF I HAVE SOMETHING GOOD

 

[RightSide]

GL Ace!! I COULD NOT believe the line that they put out for Cincy/Philly!!! I don't care how many players Philly will be resting...NO WAY should they be DOGS at home! That's a total slap in the face to the defense and they are 7-0 at home! I just can't see Reed letting his team lose two in a row going into the playoffs especially at home. I am ALL OVER Philly this week to defend that perfect home field and for the defense to be the answer for the Bengals. If this were on the road...different story, but IN Philly...NO WAY IMO!! EASY $$$ with the Eagles this week! Yes, they layed an egg in front of the entire NFL world against the Rams, but Reed will NOT let his team go down two weeks in a row before playoff time. DEFENSE will be the key this week! Detmer will produce enough points this week to get this one! GL my friend!

 

[HacheMan]

Good luck Ace, great work this year.........

 

[PatPatriot]

Ace I can't believe the lambs opened up a -2.5 fav against the jets...Whats that all about? The lambs are one of thee most disintrested lack of focused teams I have seen.And are wicked soft.The Jets are a tough physical team and they should pound them...If the Jets lose, I will believe that the NFL is rigged.

 

[ESQAJM]

It's 10:00AM EST now. I just checked with my 2 offshores and neither one has a line up on the Jet game.

Ace: I know you explained it before, I'm sorry but I can't find your post. Could you explain again how the "LINE OFF" is calculated and what does it mean?

Thanks.
ESQAJM

 

[ACE-ACE]

Ace I can't believe the lambs opened up a -2.5 fav against the jets...Whats that all about? The lambs are one of thee most disintrested lack of focused teams I have seen.And are wicked soft.The Jets are a tough physical team and they should pound them...If the Jets lose, I will believe that the NFL is rigged.

I DIDNOT HAVE TO DO "MYLINE"...TO SEE THE NYJ-3 IS THE BET OF THE WEEK...CANT WAIT FOR THE PLAY-OFF.....

 

[srbunny]

years ago week before playoff

a coach rested his players for playoff, i think was last week + had a buy week and went into playoff FLAT AS HELL and lost. coach said he,ll never do that again= go into playoffs with a win under there belt from last game. ??????? i,m green but i believe that they want a win last game of season before playoff????????????? gb-man

 

[ACE-ACE]

It's 10:00AM EST now. I just checked with my 2 offshores and neither one has a line up on the Jet game.

Ace: I know you explained it before, I'm sorry but I can't find your post. Could you explain again how the "LINE OFF" is calculated and what does it mean?

Thanks.
ESQAJM

TWO WEEK AGO STL WAS FAV BY 3....OR -3.....THEY PLAYED ARIZ....ARIZ WON 31-7....=24 PLUS THE LINE -3....= THE LINE WAS OFF FOR STL -27..
THE LINE WAS OFF FOR ARIZ +27.........IF YOU DO THAT EACH WEEK YOU HAVE A FACTOR OF -104 FOR STL

1 WEEK....TO WEEK 16
FOR STL
-11
-15
-10
+6
+12
+1
-23
-15
+10
-21
-21
-1
-6
-27
+10.....ALL FOR STL...(LINE OFF).

 

[GoFlamesGo!]

Hey ACE, I love the jets pick this week. I''ll be on that with you. Would you mind posting your office pool picks for this week? This week will make or break the year...and it's a tough one

Thanks and keep up the good work!

 

[CrazyDog]

This is the last week for my two confidence pools using spreads. I am in the runnig for some nice cash, but need help with by high confidence games.

The Jets -2.5 may be my 16 point pick. That looks like a good pick.

Any help would be appreciated!!!

 

[ParadisePete]

Colts

<I>LET TAKE DEN -9........IND IS A VALUE OF+11.....IF IND HAD ALL THERE PLAYERS IN AND THE ODDS MAKER NEW THEY WERE HEAR TO PLAY DEN WOULD NOT BE FAV IN THIS GAME....SO HOW DO YOU BET A GAME LIKE THIS.......NO PLAY OR WITH YOUR GUT.......</I><P>
In an interview Manning talked about how last year the team rested players going into the playoffs. He felt they lost their momentum by doing so, and said that he wanted to treat this week like a regular game. Don't know if the coach agrees, but I'd think Manning must have at least some influence.

 

[wahook]

NFL info

ACE,

Where do you get all of your information to assess? I would like to take a look myself at some numbers. Tried one system through the year, worked OK. In the offseason want to try and figure out a better one.

Thanks,
wahook:drink:

 

[mj23]

hey Pete where is Paradise?

 

[ParadisePete]

hey Pete where is Paradise?

Paradise is where you make it. ;-)

 

[bao_hiep]

If the JETS lose this game, can they still make the playoff assuming Denver and Buffalo both win.

(all 3 teams with 10-6 record)


who has the wild card tie breaker

just a question, but I love the JETs in this game

 

[bubba-sc]

THE 17 WEEK OF NFL IS THE HARDS....I WILL POST MY LINE
BUT.....IT DONT WORK AS WELL ON THE LAST WEEK...
RESTING PLAYERS....
TEAM WILL GO ON 4TH AND 5 YD YO GO....
ITS A HARD WEEK TO CAP......

Exactly, caution is advised, but I will look into what Ace-Ace has to offer for week 17. Good luck and Thanks!

 

[ACE-ACE]

Hey ACE, I love the jets pick this week. I''ll be on that with you. Would you mind posting your office pool picks for this week? This week will make or break the year...and it's a tough one

Thanks and keep up the good work!

POOL WITHOUT LINES
NE..BUF..BAL..WAS..CIN..GB..CAR..DET..NYJ..HOU..ARI..SEA..DEN..JAC..KC..NYG...
POINT ON MONDAY NIGHT30

THIS IS AS OF WEDNESDAY...COULD BE DIFF IF I FIND SOMETHING BEFORE THAT.....