my two bets of the week....nyj under 38 for 1500.00
and dallas -4......1000.00
dallas has163 less plt....yds than wash
3 less turn overs
27min more in total time...
and they do better vs points....
dont let the game with T.BAY.... fool you.
THE LINE SURE BE{DALL-11}...I MADE A COMP PROGRAM....THAT FIND THE LINE ON THE GAMES...MOST THE GAMES ARE RIGHT ON .....1 OR 2 POINTS DIFF.......
ALSO ONE I'AM THINK OF IS S.D +2 1/2
MY COMP PROGRAM SAYS.....SD BY 9........
ITS BASE ON .......
TURN OVERS VS PLT. VS TOTAL TIME....DID THEY GO OVER.....UNDER........VS THE BOOKIES LINE........
THE LINE ON CHI IS -2 1/2
a bit on how it works.....last week they played det....chi-3.......they won the game by 8.......the means the bookie was off +5.....do this each week and chi is -44.........do the same for s.d......SD IS -21.....THAT FOR THE LAST 8 WEEKS.THE DIFF IS SD GETS +23 =2.3 PT
TIME...SD+4 VS CHI -12 =3.1 PT
PLT.....CHI 467YD VS SD 572YDS =-1.0
TURN OVER CHI 16 VS SD 14 = .7 PT
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SD +5 THE FAV
PLUS THE COMP DOES OVER VS UNDER
PASSING...RUNING.....ECT = SD +2
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SO THE LINE IN {MY EYES} SURE BE SD-7
THE LINE IS CHI -2+ TO A 9 POINT FAC......
I DO THIS TO ALL GAMES....HOPE YOU GUYS CAN UNDERSTAND THIS .........
ONLY TWO GAMES THIS WEEKS WORKS THIS WAY ALL THE OTHER GAMES ARE RIGHT ON THE BOOKIES LINE -OR + 1 OR 2......
ACE- Thanks so much. Got your message in the one play of the week thread. I'm with you all the way on your picks this week. Sounds like you are having a great season! Good luck to everyone this week!
DUMP......on my part......im from det,mi........its the best bet I got this weekend.......madebe 2 td........3 fg..=23pts
IN MY COMPUTER PROGRAM.....I made a small change......still come out the same......and my 30 years of doing this made it one of the top 10 of the year.......
Ace-Ace,
as you saw in my thread, couldn't agree more on Dallas!
scepticle on the NYJ under, however the Giants put up 29 on a much improved Minny D in the dome and the Jets have Pennington back, now for a whole game. He can spark that offense in a way that Vinny couldn't. I'm not on the over, but I do worry about a relatively low total and a perfect weather forcast.
I will be playing San Diego as well. I think LaDanien should be able to do what he wants against a very bad Chicago Defense. I think this line is that way because a victory for Chicago last week against a pathetic Lions team and a loss on National TV to Miami. Brees isn't great, but respectible and David Boston showed promise.